2024 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2024 · MetLife Stadium

Baltimore RavensWinner

New York Giants

BAL -16.5 ✓O 43.5 ✓Ravens closed -16.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Baltimore Ravens 35–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:14, BAL +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 14:14BAL 0 — NYG 0BAL ball · 1st & 10BAL 97%

(14:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right tackle to NYG 12 for 15 yards (21-A.Jackson; 24-D.Belton). FUMBLES (21-A.Jackson), RECOVERED by NYG-21-A.Jackson at NYG 12. 21-A.Jackson to NYG 12 for no gain (8-L.Jackson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 14:14BAL +9% win prob(14:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right tackle to NYG 12 for 15 yards (21-A.Jackson; 24-D.Belton). FUMBLES (21-A.Jackson), RECOVERED by NYG-21-A.Jackson at NYG 12. 21-A.Jackson to NYG 12 for no gain (8-L.Jackson).
Q1 · 8:28BAL +6% win prob(8:28) 11-J.Stout punts 42 yards to NYG 12, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 87-I.Smith-Marsette.
Q1 · 10:53BAL +5% win prob(10:53) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 42 for 0 yards (41-M.McFadden).
Q2 · 13:51BAL +5% win prob(13:51) (No Huddle) 15-T.DeVito up the middle to BAL 30 for no gain (29-A.Washington; 40-M.Harrison).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 3:23BAL Touchdown
(3:23) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 7 — NYG 0
Q2 · 11:03BAL Touchdown
(11:03) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 7-R.Bateman for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 14 — NYG 0
Q2 · 2:19NYG Touchdown
(2:19) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 14 — NYG 7
Q2 · 0:36BAL Touchdown
(:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 7-R.Bateman for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 21 — NYG 7
Q3 · 4:07BAL Touchdown
(4:07) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 81-D.Walker for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 28 — NYG 7
Q4 · 10:53BAL Touchdown
(10:53) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 43-J.Hill for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 35 — NYG 7
Q4 · 6:41NYG Touchdown
(6:41) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 35 — NYG 14

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Ravens	Giants
Offensive plays	58	59
Total yards	446 (edge)	237
Yards per play	7.7 (edge)	4.0
Expected points added / play	0.44 (edge)	-0.23
Success rate	60% (edge)	32%
Dropback rate	50%	68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.85 (edge)	-0.23
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.04 (edge)	-0.23
Third downs	9/11 (edge)	2/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	11 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	26 (edge)	11
Sacks taken	3	3
Turnovers	1	1

Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.44 expected points added per play vs -0.23.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

21/25, 290 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT

24.6 expected points added · +24.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Tim BoyleQB

12/24, 123 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-7.4 expected points added · -9.5% completion over expected

Rushing · BAL

Derrick HenryRB

14 att, 67 yds, 0 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

6 att, 65 yds, 0 TD

-1.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

10/14 for 82 yds, 1 TD

41% of team targets · -1.0 expected points added

Receiving · BAL

Rashod BatemanWR

3/5 for 80 yds, 2 TD

21% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	BAL	NYG 37	3	25	0:55	Fumble
2	NYG	NYG 12	4	8	1:23	Punt
3	BAL	BAL 29	7	22	4:21	Punt
4	NYG	NYG 12	4	6	1:34	Punt
5	BAL	NYG 33	7	33	3:29	Touchdown +7
6	NYG	NYG 26	10	44	4:30	Turnover on downs
7	BAL	BAL 30	6	75	2:55	Touchdown +7
8	NYG	NYG 20	15	39	8:38	Touchdown +7
9	BAL	BAL 20	11	80	1:43	Touchdown +7
10	NYG	NYG 11	2	0	0:32	End of half
11	NYG	NYG 30	8	31	4:21	Punt
12	BAL	BAL 14	13	86	6:38	Touchdown +7
13	NYG	NYG 30	12	57	4:08	Turnover on downs
14	BAL	BAL 3	10	98	4:07	Touchdown +7
15	NYG	NYG 30	12	46	4:10	Touchdown +7
16	BAL	BAL 15	8	17	2:42	Punt
17	NYG	NYG 9	4	6	1:46	Interception
18	BAL	NYG 21	4	10	2:08	End of game

7 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 98 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Lamar Jackson	21/25	290	5	0	2	24.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Derrick Henry	14	67	4.8	2.4
Lamar Jackson	6	65	10.8	-1.7
Rasheen Ali	8	32	4.0	0.7
Justice Hill	2	7	3.5	0.9
Josh Johnson	1	-1	-1.0	-3.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Rashod Bateman	3	5	80	2	21%	8.2
Justice Hill	5	5	61	1	21%	6.2
Zay Flowers	6	7	53	0	29%	2.8
Nelson Agholor	1	1	26	0	4%	1.6
Mark Andrews	2	2	24	1	8%	4.3
Devontez Walker	1	1	21	1	4%	2.9
Isaiah Likely	2	2	17	0	8%	1.6
Tylan Wallace	1	1	8	0	4%	0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Malik Harrison	2	6	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hamilton	4	2	0.0	0	0
Ar'Darius Washington	2	3	0.0	1	1
Roquan Smith	3	2	0.0	0	1
Travis Jones	1	3	0.0	0	0
Nate Wiggins	2	2	0.0	0	1
Marlon Humphrey	1	3	0.0	0	0
Tavius Robinson	1	2	0.0	0	0
Kyle Van Noy	2	1	1.0	0	0
Tre'Davious White	2	1	0.0	0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Tim Boyle	12/24	123	1	1	1	-7.4
Tommy DeVito	10/13	68	0	0	2	-1.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tyrone Tracy	10	31	3.1	0	-0.5
Devin Singletary	8	25	3.1	1	-0.4
Tommy DeVito	1	0	0.0	0	-3.5
Tim Boyle	1	-1	-1.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Malik Nabers	10	14	82	1	41%	-1.0
Wan'Dale Robinson	4	9	38	0	26%	-2.9
Daniel Bellinger	3	3	35	0	9%	1.9
Devin Singletary	3	3	16	0	9%	0.3
Darius Slayton	1	1	16	0	3%	1.9
Tyrone Tracy	1	4	4	0	12%	-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Dane Belton	7	8	1.0	1
Micah McFadden	7	4	1.0	0
Jason Pinnock	2	4	0.0	0
Darius Muasau	1	5	0.0	0
Adoree' Jackson	2	3	0.0	0
Greg Stroman	4	1	0.0	0
Art Green	4	0	0.0	0
Elijah Garcia	2	1	0.0	0
Jordon Riley	1	1	0.0	0
Cory Durden	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -16.5
Closing total: 43.5
BAL moneyline: -1800
NYG moneyline: +1000

Ravens closed -16.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 49 — over by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 36°F, wind 6 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: BAL 14 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: John Harbaugh vs Brian Daboll