For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2024 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2024 · Nissan Stadium

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

37

Tennessee Titans

27

CIN -6 ✓O 46.5 ✓

Cincinnati Bengals 37–27. Biggest swing: Q2 14:08, CIN +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3TENCIN
Q2 · 14:08CIN 7TEN 14CIN ball · 2nd & 9CIN 58%

(14:08) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at TEN 11 for -2 yards (58-H.Landry). FUMBLES (58-H.Landry) [58-H.Landry], RECOVERED by TEN-93-T.Sweat at TEN 11. 93-T.Sweat pushed ob at TEN 41 for 30 yards (67-C.Volson; 71-A.Mims).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 14:08CIN +16% win prob(14:08) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at TEN 11 for -2 yards (58-H.Landry). FUMBLES (58-H.Landry) [58-H.Landry], RECOVERED by TEN-93-T.Sweat at TEN 11. 93-T.Sweat pushed ob at TEN 41 for 30 yards (67-C.Volson; 71-A.Mims). Fumble Forced by 93-T.Sweat.
  2. Q2 · 1:18TEN +14% win prob(1:18) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 5-T.Higgins for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN [49-A.Key].
  3. Q1 · 4:53TEN +12% win prob(4:53) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short left to 83-T.Boyd to CIN 29 for 40 yards (29-C.Taylor-Britt).
  4. Q2 · 2:08CIN +11% win prob(2:08) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short left intended for 83-T.Boyd INTERCEPTED by 29-C.Taylor-Britt at CIN 49. 29-C.Taylor-Britt pushed ob at TEN 23 for 28 yards (15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine). PENALTY on CIN-91-T.Hendrickson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 23.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:55TEN Touchdown

    (10:55) 61-J.Ojukwu and 98-J.Simmons reported in as eligible. 20-T.Pollard up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 0TEN 7
  2. Q1 · 6:46CIN Touchdown

    (6:46) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 30-C.Brown for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 7TEN 7
  3. Q1 · 4:02TEN Touchdown

    (4:02) 61-J.Ojukwu and 98-J.Simmons reported in as eligible. 2-T.Spears up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 7TEN 14
  4. Q2 · 5:18CIN Touchdown

    (5:18) 94-S.Hubbard reported in as eligible. 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 94-S.Hubbard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 14TEN 14
  5. Q2 · 1:18CIN Touchdown

    (1:18) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 5-T.Higgins for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN [49-A.Key]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 21TEN 14
  6. Q2 · 0:06CIN Field goal

    (:06) 3-C.York 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

    Score after this play: CIN 24TEN 14
  7. Q3 · 7:35CIN Touchdown

    (7:35) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle intended for 85-C.Okonkwo INTERCEPTED by 22-G.Stone at TEN 39. 22-G.Stone for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 31TEN 14
  8. Q4 · 6:56TEN Touchdown

    (6:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph pass short middle to 2-T.Spears for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 31TEN 21
  9. Q4 · 1:14CIN Touchdown

    (1:14) 30-C.Brown up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CIN 37TEN 21
  10. Q4 · 0:05TEN Touchdown

    (:05) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph pass short left to 81-J.Whyle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CIN 37TEN 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBengalsTitans
Offensive plays6364
Total yards370374 (edge)
Yards per play5.9 (edge)5.8
Expected points added / play0.19 (edge)-0.12
Success rate48%53% (edge)
Dropback rate59%61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.21 (edge)-0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.17 (edge)-0.21
Third downs10/13 (edge)5/8
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)66
First downs gained on snaps2122 (edge)
Sacks taken11
Turnovers3 (edge)6

Titans outgained Bengals 374–370 but lost the turnover battle 6–3. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

26/37, 271 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

7.1 expected points added · +8.4% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Mason RudolphQB

21/26, 209 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

9.5 expected points added · +12.7% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Chase BrownRB

25 att, 97 yds, 1 TD

4.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Tony PollardRB

17 att, 45 yds, 1 TD

-3.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Ja'Marr ChaseWR

9/11 for 94 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 1.7 expected points added

Receiving · CIN

Tee HigginsWR

5/8 for 88 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 8.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CINCIN 20340:45Interception
2TENCIN 297293:23Touchdown +7
3CINCIN 3011704:16Touchdown +7
4TENTEN 307482:38Touchdown +7
5CINCIN 308385:03Fumble
6TENTEN 418213:50Fumble
7CINCIN 3810574:52Touchdown +7
8TENTEN 306193:14Interception
9CINTEN 384440:47Touchdown +7
10TENTEN 30200:05Interception
11CINTEN 3811451:05Field goal +3
12TEN100:02End of half
13TENTEN 30502:45Punt
14CINCIN 335193:26Interception
15TENTEN 33181:25Defensive touchdown
16TENTEN 308314:21Defensive touchdown
17TENTEN 2011514:58Interception
18CINCIN 296222:36Punt
19TENTEN 1310873:39Touchdown +7
20CINCIN 3316715:41Touchdown +6
21TENTEN 308701:09Touchdown +6

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 87 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Burrow26/372713217.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chase Brown25973.914.2
Khalil Herbert144.000.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Ja'Marr Chase91194031%1.7
Tee Higgins5888123%8.1
Mike Gesicki3437011%4.2
Chase Brown331619%1.2
Cam Grandy221206%2.4
Tanner Hudson11903%0.6
Drew Sample11803%1.0
Andrei Iosivas145011%-5.8
Sam Hubbard11213%2.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordan Battle550.000
Akeem Davis-Gaither360.000
Germaine Pratt350.000
Cam Taylor-Britt600.012
Mike Hilton510.011
Geno Stone140.011
Josh Newton400.013
B.J. Hill301.000
McKinnley Jackson110.000
Trey Hendrickson110.000

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Mason Rudolph21/262092109.5
Will Levis8/1289031-12.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard17452.61-3.9
Calvin Ridley11919.001.1
Mason Rudolph2147.001.1
Tyjae Spears451.310.0
Will Levis200.00-3.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyjae Spears6787119%4.5
Chigoziem Okonkwo81059027%-9.6
Calvin Ridley3541014%2.1
Tyler Boyd233908%-1.1
Josh Whyle5537114%5.5
Mason Kinsey111103%0.6
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine23908%-3.6
Bryce Oliver12805%0.2
Nick Vannett11703%0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Luke Gifford530.011
Jeffery Simmons340.000
Kenneth Murray420.000
Darrell Baker320.000
James Williams320.000
Amani Hooker230.000
Daryl Worley400.011
Chidobe Awuzie220.002
T'Vondre Sweat120.000
Sebastian Joseph110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CIN -6
Closing total
46.5
CIN moneyline
-250
TEN moneyline
+205

Bengals closed -6 and covered, winning by 10.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 64 — over by 17.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
52°F, wind 12 mph
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
CIN 6 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches
Zac Taylor vs Brian Callahan