2024 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2024 · Lincoln Financial Field

Pittsburgh Steelers

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

PHI -5.5 ✓U 43 ✓Eagles closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Philadelphia Eagles 27–13. Biggest swing: Q1 4:25, PHI +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 4:25PIT 0 — PHI 3PIT ball · 4th & 21PHI 79%

(4:25) 8-C.Waitman punts 49 yards to PHI 7, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 33-C.DeJean to PHI 17 for 10 yards (93-M.Robinson). FUMBLES (93-M.Robinson), RECOVERED by PIT-51-Ni.Herbig at PHI 11.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 4:25PHI +15% win prob(4:25) 8-C.Waitman punts 49 yards to PHI 7, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 33-C.DeJean to PHI 17 for 10 yards (93-M.Robinson). FUMBLES (93-M.Robinson), RECOVERED by PIT-51-Ni.Herbig at PHI 11.
Q3 · 5:56PIT +13% win prob(5:56) (No Huddle) 3-R.Wilson FUMBLES (Aborted) at PHI 34, touched at PHI 32, RECOVERED by PHI-2-D.Slay at PHI 26.
Q1 · 5:17PIT +9% win prob(5:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles left tackle to PHI 45 for 2 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), RECOVERED by PIT-31-B.Bishop at PHI 45.
Q2 · 2:40PHI +9% win prob(2:40) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 88-P.Freiermuth for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:00PHI Field goal
(10:00) 4-J.Elliott 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PIT 0 — PHI 3
Q1 · 3:46PIT Field goal
(3:46) 9-C.Boswell 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-8-C.Waitman.
Score after this play: PIT 3 — PHI 3
Q1 · 1:18PHI Touchdown
(1:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 11-A.Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 3 — PHI 10
Q2 · 9:11PHI Touchdown
(9:11) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 6-D.Smith for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 3 — PHI 17
Q2 · 2:40PIT Touchdown
(2:40) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 88-P.Freiermuth for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 10 — PHI 17
Q2 · 0:42PIT Field goal
(:42) 9-C.Boswell 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-8-C.Waitman.
Score after this play: PIT 13 — PHI 17
Q3 · 7:55PHI Field goal
(7:55) 4-J.Elliott 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PIT 13 — PHI 20
Q4 · 14:20PHI Touchdown
(14:20) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 13 — PHI 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Steelers	Eagles
Offensive plays	41	74
Total yards	163	402 (edge)
Yards per play	4.0	5.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.28	0.20 (edge)
Success rate	37%	47% (edge)
Dropback rate	63%	51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18	0.44 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.45	-0.05 (edge)
Third downs	3/10	10/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	1	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	9	25 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	1	1

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs -0.28.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

25/32, 290 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

21.3 expected points added · +13.6% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Russell WilsonQB

14/22, 128 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-5.9 expected points added · -1.1% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

19 att, 65 yds, 0 TD

-2.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

15 att, 45 yds, 1 TD

-6.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

8/11 for 110 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

11/12 for 109 yds, 1 TD

39% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PIT	PIT 31	5	3	1:31	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 30	7	54	3:33	Field goal +3
3	PIT	PIT 32	5	2	1:37	Punt
4	PHI	PHI 21	6	24	3:13	Fumble
5	PIT	PHI 45	4	-11	0:53	Punt
6	PIT	PHI 11	4	7	0:31	Field goal +3
7	PHI	PHI 30	8	70	2:29	Touchdown +7
8	PIT	PIT 30	5	10	2:33	Punt
9	PHI	PIT 45	10	45	4:33	Touchdown +7
10	PIT	PIT 30	13	55	6:33	Touchdown +7
11	PHI	PHI 30	5	-9	1:17	Punt
12	PIT	PHI 45	5	14	0:40	Field goal +3
13	PHI	PHI 35	2	-8	0:37	End of half
14	PHI	PHI 30	14	52	7:08	Field goal +3
15	PIT	PIT 30	5	44	2:02	Fumble
16	PHI	PHI 26	14	74	6:33	Touchdown +7
17	PIT	PIT 30	9	39	3:48	Punt
18	PHI	PHI 3	21	100	10:29	End of game

8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 100 scrimmage yards over 21 plays for a end of game.

Full stat lines

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	14/22	128	1	0	2	-5.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Najee Harris	6	14	2.3	-1.8
Russell Wilson	4	13	3.3	-3.9
Jaylen Warren	4	12	3.0	-0.7
Cordarrelle Patterson	2	9	4.5	-0.6
Justin Fields	1	8	8.0	1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Calvin Austin	5	5	65	0	24%	3.4
Pat Freiermuth	3	6	22	1	29%	2.3
Ben Skowronek	1	1	17	0	5%	1.1
Mike Williams	1	2	15	0	10%	-1.2
Najee Harris	1	1	7	0	5%	-1.6
Jaylen Warren	1	2	3	0	10%	-1.9
Scott Miller	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.5
Van Jefferson	1	2	0	0	10%	-2.2
Cordarrelle Patterson	1	1	-1	0	5%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Patrick Queen	6	5	0.0	0
Damontae Kazee	4	4	0.0	0
Minkah Fitzpatrick	2	6	0.0	0
T.J. Watt	5	2	2.0	0
Alex Highsmith	5	2	1.0	0
Payton Wilson	3	3	0.0	1
Cameron Heyward	2	3	0.0	0
James Pierre	3	2	0.0	0
Joey Porter	5	0	0.0	1
Elandon Roberts	2	2	0.0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	25/32	290	2	0	3	21.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	19	65	3.4	0	-2.7
Jalen Hurts	15	45	3.0	1	-6.6
Kenneth Gainwell	7	20	2.9	0	-1.1
DeVonta Smith	1	1	1.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	8	11	110	1	35%	8.6
DeVonta Smith	11	12	109	1	39%	8.6
Kenneth Gainwell	3	3	40	0	10%	6.5
Grant Calcaterra	1	1	22	0	3%	1.3
Saquon Barkley	2	2	9	0	6%	0.4
Jahan Dotson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.9
Johnny Wilson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Nakobe Dean	7	3	0.0	0
Zack Baun	4	0	0.0	0
Reed Blankenship	2	1	0.0	0
Nolan Smith	2	1	1.0	1
Jalen Carter	2	0	0.0	1
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson	2	0	0.0	0
Milton Williams	0	2	0.0	1
Jalyx Hunt	1	1	0.0	0
Josh Sweat	2	0	1.0	0
Oren Burks	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -5.5
Closing total: 43
PIT moneyline: +215
PHI moneyline: -265

Eagles closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 43; the game landed 40 — under by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 37°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Alan Eck
Rest: PIT 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Mike Tomlin vs Nick Sirianni