2024 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 22, 2024 · MetLife Stadium

Los Angeles RamsWinner

New York Jets

LA -3 ✓U 47 ✓23°FRams closed -3 and covered, winning by 10.

Los Angeles Rams 19–9. Biggest swing: Q4 11:53, LA +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 11:53LA 9 — NYJ 9NYJ ball · 3rd & 7LA 58%

(11:53) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at NYJ 21 for -10 yards (3-K.Curl). FUMBLES (3-K.Curl) [3-K.Curl], RECOVERED by LA-8-J.Verse at NYJ 21.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 11:53LA +15% win prob(11:53) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at NYJ 21 for -10 yards (3-K.Curl). FUMBLES (3-K.Curl) [3-K.Curl], RECOVERED by LA-8-J.Verse at NYJ 21.
Q4 · 10:17NYJ +11% win prob(10:17) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 5:19LA +10% win prob(5:19) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 17-D.Adams (4-A.Witherspoon).
Q3 · 13:43NYJ +10% win prob(13:43) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 5-G.Wilson ran ob at NYJ 44 for 19 yards.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 0:30NYJ Touchdown
(:30) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LA 0 — NYJ 6
Q2 · 6:25LA Touchdown
(6:25) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LA 6 — NYJ 6
Q2 · 0:03NYJ Field goal
(:03) 18-A.Carlson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
Score after this play: LA 6 — NYJ 9
Q4 · 12:47LA Field goal
(12:47) 16-J.Karty 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: LA 9 — NYJ 9
Q4 · 10:17LA Touchdown
(10:17) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 16 — NYJ 9
Q4 · 5:22LA Field goal
(5:22) 16-J.Karty 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: LA 19 — NYJ 9

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Rams	Jets
Offensive plays	47	63
Total yards	246	321 (edge)
Yards per play	5.2 (edge)	5.1
Expected points added / play	0.11 (edge)	-0.03
Success rate	51% (edge)	46%
Dropback rate	40%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.17 (edge)	0.06
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.07 (edge)	-0.24
Third downs	5/9 (edge)	5/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3 (edge)	1
First downs gained on snaps	16	17 (edge)
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	1
Turnovers	1	1

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.03.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYJ

Aaron RodgersQB

28/42, 256 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.8 expected points added · -3.4% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

14/19, 110 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

3.2 expected points added · -1.8% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

23 att, 122 yds, 1 TD

3.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

14 att, 52 yds, 0 TD

-4.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Davante AdamsWR

7/13 for 68 yds, 1 TD

31% of team targets · 1.1 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Tyler ConklinTE

5/7 for 59 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · -0.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 21	13	42	6:15	Punt
2	NYJ	NYJ 1	15	99	8:22	Touchdown +6
3	LA	LA 12	11	42	6:00	Interception
4	NYJ	NYJ 24	4	9	1:27	Turnover on downs
5	LA	NYJ 33	4	33	1:34	Touchdown +6
6	NYJ	NYJ 30	16	82	6:22	Field goal +3
7	NYJ	NYJ 29	15	78	9:45	Turnover on downs
8	LA	LA 14	13	59	7:31	Field goal +3
9	NYJ	NYJ 28	4	-7	1:01	Fumble
10	LA	NYJ 21	4	21	1:32	Touchdown +7
11	NYJ	NYJ 41	5	16	1:48	Turnover on downs
12	LA	NYJ 46	6	44	3:06	Field goal +3
13	NYJ	NYJ 30	12	44	3:20	Missed field goal
14	LA	LA 39	4	5	0:23	Punt
15	LA	NYJ 13	3	0	1:34	End of game

6 of 15 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jets gained 99 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matthew Stafford	14/19	110	1	1	0	3.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kyren Williams	23	122	5.3	1	3.7
Blake Corum	5	14	2.8	0	-1.8
Matthew Stafford	3	-4	-1.3	0	-3.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Puka Nacua	8	9	56	0	47%	0.9
Cooper Kupp	3	3	24	0	16%	2.2
Tutu Atwell	1	2	12	0	11%	1.6
Tyler Higbee	1	2	11	1	11%	1.6
Kyren Williams	1	1	7	0	5%	0.1
Demarcus Robinson	0	1	0	0	5%	-2.6
Colby Parkinson	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jaylen McCollough	7	2	0.0	0
Christian Rozeboom	2	6	0.0	0
Quentin Lake	4	3	0.0	0
Kamren Curl	1	4	1.0	1
Ahkello Witherspoon	4	1	0.0	1
Darious Williams	0	5	0.0	1
Omar Speights	3	1	0.0	1
Kamren Kinchens	2	2	0.0	0
Jared Verse	1	3	0.0	0
Braden Fiske	1	2	0.0	0

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Aaron Rodgers	28/42	256	1	0	1	2.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Breece Hall	14	52	3.7	-4.2
Isaiah Davis	3	12	4.0	0.2
Aaron Rodgers	1	6	6.0	-0.3
Braelon Allen	2	5	2.5	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Davante Adams	7	13	68	1	31%	1.1
Tyler Conklin	5	7	59	0	17%	-0.1
Garrett Wilson	6	7	54	0	17%	4.7
Breece Hall	5	6	38	0	14%	0.5
Allen Lazard	2	5	20	0	12%	1.4
Jeremy Ruckert	2	2	12	0	5%	0.4
Braelon Allen	1	1	5	0	2%	0.0
Kenny Yeboah	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Jamien Sherwood	6	2	0	0
Chuck Clark	3	4	0	0
Isaiah Oliver	2	3	0	0
Ashtyn Davis	2	2	0	0
Tony Adams	1	3	1	1
D.J. Reed	3	1	0	0
Quincy Williams	1	2	0	0
Javon Kinlaw	2	1	0	0
Brandin Echols	1	2	0	0
Leonard Taylor	2	1	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -3
Closing total: 47
LA moneyline: -162
NYJ moneyline: +136

Rams closed -3 and covered, winning by 10.

Total closed 47; the game landed 28 — under by 19.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 23°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Ron Torbert
Rest: LA 10 days · NYJ 7 days
Coaches: Sean McVay vs Robert Saleh