For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2024 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 23, 2024 · Lambeau Field

New Orleans Saints

0

Green Bay PackersWinner

34

GB -14 ✓U 44 ✓

Green Bay Packers 34–0 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:27, NO +5% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3GB ↑NO ↓
Q1 · 13:27NO 0 — GB 0GB ball · 3rd & 1GB 91%

(13:27) 8-J.Jacobs right end to GB 49 for 3 yards (0-U.Amadi).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 13:27NO +5% win prob(13:27) 8-J.Jacobs right end to GB 49 for 3 yards (0-U.Amadi).
  2. Q1 · 12:49GB +5% win prob(12:49) 8-J.Jacobs left end to NO 44 for 7 yards (95-J.Ridgeway).
  3. Q1 · 8:45GB +4% win prob(8:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 13-D.Wicks for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-D.Davis].
  4. Q1 · 8:02GB +3% win prob(8:02) 25-K.Miller left guard to NO 45 for 4 yards (52-R.Gary).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:45GB Touchdown

    (8:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 13-D.Wicks for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-D.Davis]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 0 — GB 7
  2. Q2 · 11:47GB Touchdown

    (11:47) (No Huddle) 8-J.Jacobs left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 0 — GB 14
  3. Q2 · 6:32GB Touchdown

    (6:32) (No Huddle) 30-C.Brooks up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 0 — GB 21
  4. Q3 · 7:08GB Field goal

    (7:08) 17-B.McManus 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: NO 0 — GB 24
  5. Q4 · 7:17GB Field goal

    (7:17) 17-B.McManus 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: NO 0 — GB 27
  6. Q4 · 2:50GB Touchdown

    (2:50) 31-Em.Wilson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 0 — GB 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSaintsPackers
Offensive plays5367
Total yards196406 (edge)
Yards per play3.76.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.350.26 (edge)
Success rate32%51% (edge)
Dropback rate72%45%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.410.20 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.190.31 (edge)
Third downs4/116/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)39 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1224 (edge)
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers20 (edge)

Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.26 expected points added per play vs -0.35.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

16/28, 182 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.3 expected points added · -4.4% completion over expected

Passing · NO

Spencer RattlerQB

15/30, 153 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-17.4 expected points added · -14.1% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Josh JacobsRB

13 att, 69 yds, 1 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Emanuel WilsonRB

11 att, 52 yds, 1 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Jayden ReedWR

3/4 for 76 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Tucker KraftTE

3/4 for 63 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 5.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GBGB 3712586:19Touchdown +7
2NONO 348263:03Punt
3GBGB 418918:55Touchdown +7
4NONO 30552:18Punt
5GBGB 337672:57Touchdown +7
6NONO 397323:43Fumble
7GBGB 34460:56Punt
8NONO 208181:49End of half
9NONO 227192:46Punt
10GBGB 1610475:11Field goal +3
11NONO 3010434:52Interception
12GBGB 208334:04Punt
13NONO 345131:17Punt
14GBGB 169564:37Field goal +3
15NONO 305131:29Turnover on downs
16GBNO 488483:03Touchdown +7
17NONO 229271:30Turnover on downs
18GBNO 49201:11End of game

6 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 91 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Spencer Rattler15/30153013-17.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Spencer Rattler5285.601.7
Jordan Mims4164.000.0
Kendre Miller8151.90-1.6
Jamaal Williams382.70-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Foster Moreau2333011%-3.3
Dante Pettis2731025%-1.8
Juwan Johnson222707%2.8
Kevin Austin1417014%-3.8
Jordan Mims5816029%-4.0
Kendre Miller221607%1.5
Cedrick Wilson111304%0.6
Mason Tipton01004%-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Demario Davis640.000
Pete Werner270.000
Will Harris620.000
Alontae Taylor240.001
Ugochukwu Amadi320.000
Tyrann Mathieu500.000
Khalen Saunders130.002
Cameron Jordan220.000
Kool-Aid McKinstry210.000
Chase Young200.000

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love16/281821003.3
Malik Willis1/2340002.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs13695.313.0
Emanuel Wilson11524.712.4
Christopher Brooks6233.811.1
Christian Watson22311.501.8
Bo Melton11414.001.4
Jayden Reed155.000.0
Jordan Love122.001.9
Tucker Kraft122.000.6
Malik Willis3-2-0.70-2.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jayden Reed3476015%7.0
Tucker Kraft3463015%5.1
Josh Jacobs4438015%1.7
Romeo Doubs2320011%1.5
Dontayvion Wicks3713126%-3.0
Emanuel Wilson11404%-0.5
Christopher Brooks11204%-1.3
Christian Watson01004%-1.4
Bo Melton01004%-0.5
Luke Musgrave01004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Edgerrin Cooper820.000
Eric Wilson360.000
Eric Stokes310.000
Devonte Wyatt311.000
Carrington Valentine300.000
Keisean Nixon301.000
Zayne Anderson210.012
Brenton Cox201.000
Kenny Clark110.000
Rashan Gary110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -14
Closing total
44
NO moneyline
+625
GB moneyline
-950

Packers closed -14 and covered, winning by 34.

Total closed 44; the game landed 34 — under by 10.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lambeau Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
34°F, wind 12 mph
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
NO 8 days · GB 8 days
Coaches
Dennis Allen vs Matt LaFleur