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2024 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 22, 2024 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

New York Giants

7

Atlanta FalconsWinner

34

ATL -9.5 ✓U 42.5 ✓Dome

Atlanta Falcons 34–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 8:05, NYG +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ATL ↑NYG ↓
Q2 · 8:05NYG 7 — ATL 9NYG ball · 2nd & 7ATL 55%

(8:05) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short left intended for 17-W.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 3-J.Bates [55-K.Elliss] at ATL 45. 3-J.Bates for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-1-M.Nabers, Illegal Shift, declined.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 8:05NYG +23% win prob(8:05) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short left intended for 17-W.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 3-J.Bates [55-K.Elliss] at ATL 45. 3-J.Bates for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-1-M.Nabers, Illegal Shift, declined.
  2. Q2 · 10:41ATL +8% win prob(10:41) 37-R.Patterson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
  3. Q1 · 10:52ATL +7% win prob(10:52) 6-J.Gillan punts 51 yards to ATL 10, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 26-A.Williams.
  4. Q1 · 11:48NYG +6% win prob(11:48) 37-R.Patterson 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 15:00NYG Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short left to 29-T.Tracy for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — ATL 0
  2. Q2 · 10:41ATL Field goal

    (10:41) 37-R.Patterson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — ATL 3
  3. Q2 · 8:05ATL Touchdown

    (8:05) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short left intended for 17-W.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 3-J.Bates [55-K.Elliss] at ATL 45. 3-J.Bates for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-1-M.Nabers, Illegal Shift, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — ATL 10
  4. Q2 · 1:48ATL Touchdown

    (1:48) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — ATL 17
  5. Q3 · 14:27ATL Touchdown

    (14:27) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short middle intended for 1-M.Nabers INTERCEPTED by 15-M.Judon (96-Z.Harrison) at NYG 27. 15-M.Judon for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — ATL 24
  6. Q3 · 7:19ATL Touchdown

    (7:19) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — ATL 31
  7. Q4 · 10:50ATL Field goal

    (10:50) 37-R.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — ATL 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsFalcons
Offensive plays5563
Total yards234332 (edge)
Yards per play4.35.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.430.08 (edge)
Success rate45%51% (edge)
Dropback rate76%46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.510.18 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.17-0.00 (edge)
Third downs3/98/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)25 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1421 (edge)
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers31 (edge)

Falcons won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.43.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Drew LockQB

22/39, 210 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-21.5 expected points added · -8.8% completion over expected

Passing · ATL

Michael PenixQB

18/27, 202 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

6.5 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Rushing · ATL

Bijan RobinsonRB

22 att, 94 yds, 2 TD

2.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone TracyRB

7 att, 26 yds, 0 TD

-0.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ATL

Darnell MooneyWR

5/6 for 82 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 4.7 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

7/14 for 68 yds, 0 TD

38% of team targets · -6.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ATLATL 309403:16Missed field goal
2NYGNYG 33460:59Punt
3ATLATL 106202:40Punt
4NYGNYG 3015708:12Touchdown +7
5ATLATL 309364:17Field goal +3
6NYGNYG 306322:40Defensive touchdown
7NYGNYG 307102:47Punt
8ATLATL 1410563:26Touchdown +7
9NYGNYG 412-100:17Fumble
10ATLNYG 316241:19Interception
11NYGNYG 40200:07End of half
12NYGNYG 30330:40Defensive touchdown
13NYGNYG 30540:49Punt
14ATLATL 3113696:17Touchdown +7
15NYGNYG 30561:23Punt
16ATLATL 13157910:04Field goal +3
17NYGNYG 307103:24Punt
18ATLATL 39481:57Punt
19NYGNYG 11121034:14Turnover on downs
20ATLATL 22201:12End of game

5 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 103 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Drew Lock22/39210123-21.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy7263.70-0.5
Devin Singletary4123.00-1.0
Darius Slayton166.000.2
Drew Lock111.00-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Malik Nabers71468038%-6.1
Wan'Dale Robinson71262032%-10.0
Tyrone Tracy4443111%6.0
Darius Slayton122105%-1.2
Jalin Hyatt12905%-0.3
Daniel Bellinger12505%0.9
Eric Gray11203%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Darius Muasau370.000
Ty Summers340.000
Dane Belton150.001
Jason Pinnock330.000
Micah McFadden320.000
Cory Durden140.000
Andru Phillips320.000
Carlos Basham120.000
Raheem Layne300.000
Kayvon Thibodeaux120.000

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Michael Penix18/272020106.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Bijan Robinson22944.322.3
Tyler Allgeier11222.00-2.7
Ray-Ray McCloud188.000.4
Michael Penix430.80-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darnell Mooney5682023%4.7
Drake London5859031%4.0
Ray-Ray McCloud3419015%0.1
Chris Blair111704%1.0
Bijan Robinson22908%1.1
Tyler Allgeier11904%0.7
Kyle Pitts12708%-3.2
Charlie Woerner02008%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kaden Elliss251.000
Mike Hughes240.002
Arnold Ebiketie231.000
Dee Alford310.002
J.D. Bertrand310.000
Justin Simmons210.000
David Onyemata210.000
Kentavius Street110.000
Jessie Bates110.012
Zach Harrison020.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ATL -9.5
Closing total
42.5
NYG moneyline
+410
ATL moneyline
-550

Falcons closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 27.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 41 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
NYG 7 days · ATL 6 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Raheem Morris