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2024 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 29, 2024 · Lincoln Financial Field

Dallas Cowboys

7

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

41

PHI -7.5 ✓O 37.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 41–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 11:55, DAL +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑DAL ↓
Q1 · 11:55DAL 0 — PHI 6DAL ball · 3rd & 3PHI 74%

(11:55) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short middle intended for 3-B.Cooks INTERCEPTED by 8-C.Gardner-Johnson [93-M.Williams] at PHI 31. 8-C.Gardner-Johnson for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 11:55DAL +16% win prob(11:55) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short middle intended for 3-B.Cooks INTERCEPTED by 8-C.Gardner-Johnson [93-M.Williams] at PHI 31. 8-C.Gardner-Johnson for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 8:45PHI +8% win prob(8:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-K.Pickett pass deep right to 81-G.Calcaterra to DAL 20 for 34 yards (24-I.Mukuamu).
  3. Q2 · 6:38DAL +8% win prob(6:38) 10-C.Rush pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 36 for 6 yards (42-O.Burks). FUMBLES (42-O.Burks), RECOVERED by PHI-90-J.Davis at DAL 39.
  4. Q1 · 7:28PHI +6% win prob(7:28) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass deep right to 3-B.Cooks to PHI 12 for 22 yards (2-D.Slay). Penalty on PHI-2-D.Slay, Defensive Holding, declined.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:55PHI Touchdown

    (11:55) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short middle intended for 3-B.Cooks INTERCEPTED by 8-C.Gardner-Johnson [93-M.Williams] at PHI 31. 8-C.Gardner-Johnson for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q1 · 5:42DAL Touchdown

    (5:42) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left to 1-J.Tolbert for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 7
  3. Q2 · 6:44PHI Touchdown

    (6:44) (Shotgun) 7-K.Pickett pass deep left to 6-D.Smith for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 14
  4. Q2 · 1:58PHI Field goal

    (1:58) 4-J.Elliott 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 17
  5. Q2 · 0:02PHI Touchdown

    (:02) 7-K.Pickett up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 24
  6. Q3 · 8:07PHI Field goal

    (8:07) 4-J.Elliott 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 27
  7. Q3 · 2:48PHI Touchdown

    (2:48) (Shotgun) 16-T.McKee pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 34
  8. Q4 · 10:09PHI Touchdown

    (10:09) (Shotgun) 16-T.McKee pass short right to 6-D.Smith for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysEagles
Offensive plays6059
Total yards268378 (edge)
Yards per play4.56.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.300.27 (edge)
Success rate40%47% (edge)
Dropback rate52%32%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.460.75 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.130.05 (edge)
Third downs6/146/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)49 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1517 (edge)
Sacks taken10 (edge)
Turnovers40 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.27 expected points added per play vs -0.30.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

15/28, 147 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-8.8 expected points added · -10.6% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Kenny PickettQB

10/15, 143 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

7.0 expected points added · +7.1% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

31 att, 167 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Rico DowdleRB

23 att, 104 yds, 0 TD

-4.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

6/7 for 120 yds, 2 TD

39% of team targets · 12.5 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Brandin CooksWR

4/8 for 52 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · -6.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 308353:17Defensive touchdown
2DALDAL 3014656:05Touchdown +7
3PHIPHI 39551:09Punt
4DALDAL 9481:41Punt
5PHIPHI 37491:52Punt
6DALDAL 207313:07Punt
7PHIPHI 1911766:11Touchdown +7
8DALDAL 30260:08Fumble
9PHIDAL 3911214:35Field goal +3
10DALDAL 267161:19Interception
11PHIPHI 355650:36Touchdown +7
12PHIPHI 3313556:57Field goal +3
13DALDAL 30501:29Punt
14PHIPHI 359653:50Touchdown +7
15DALDAL 3010603:19Fumble
16PHIPHI 258754:22Touchdown +7
17DALDAL 1312445:23Missed field goal
18PHIDAL 49472:16Punt
19DALDAL 20431:23Punt
20PHIPHI 15201:01End of game

7 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 76 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cooper Rush15/28147121-8.8
Trey Lance1/11000-0.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Rico Dowdle231044.50-4.1
Kavontae Turpin2189.001.3
Cooper Rush122.000.4
Ezekiel Elliott320.70-1.6
Trey Lance111.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brandin Cooks4852028%-6.4
Jalen Tolbert3430114%2.7
Jake Ferguson3518017%-4.8
Kavontae Turpin1416014%-0.5
Jonathan Mingo1312010%-1.6
Jalen Brooks111203%1.4
Rico Dowdle11403%-0.1
Ryan Flournoy12307%-1.4
Hunter Luepke11103%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Malik Hooker630.000
Eric Kendricks440.000
Daron Bland420.001
Andrew Booth330.001
Jourdan Lewis140.000
Chauncey Golston400.001
Marist Liufau310.000
Mazi Smith210.000
Micah Parsons200.000
Osa Odighizuwa200.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kenny Pickett10/151431007.0
Tanner McKee3/4542007.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley311675.401.3
Tyrion Davis-Price372.30-1.9
Kenneth Gainwell341.30-1.4
Kenny Pickett331.013.7
Tanner McKee2-2-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith67120239%12.5
A.J. Brown3536128%2.3
Grant Calcaterra1234011%2.8
Kenneth Gainwell11506%-0.7
Saquon Barkley222011%-1.1
E.J. Jenkins01006%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Oren Burks260.000
Zack Baun160.001
Jalyx Hunt420.000
Cooper DeJean420.000
Thomas Booker230.500
Quinyon Mitchell500.001
Josh Sweat320.000
Reed Blankenship120.000
Jeremiah Trotter120.500
Darius Slay210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -7.5
Closing total
37.5
DAL moneyline
+260
PHI moneyline
-325

Eagles closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 34.

Total closed 37.5; the game landed 48 — over by 10.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
62°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
DAL 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Nick Sirianni

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.