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2024 Week 17 · Wed, Dec 25, 2024 · Acrisure Stadium

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

29

Pittsburgh Steelers

10

KC -3 ✓U 43.5 ✓

Kansas City Chiefs 29–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:03, KC +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PIT ↑KC ↓
Q1 · 14:03KC 0 — PIT 0PIT ball · 3rd & 2KC 59%

(14:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at PIT 27 for -11 yards (51-M.Danna). FUMBLES (51-M.Danna) [51-M.Danna], and recovers at PIT 27.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 14:03KC +10% win prob(14:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at PIT 27 for -11 yards (51-M.Danna). FUMBLES (51-M.Danna) [51-M.Danna], and recovers at PIT 27.
  2. Q1 · 12:06KC +8% win prob(12:06) (Shotgun) 29-K.Hunt right tackle to PIT 33 for no gain (97-Ca.Heyward; 6-P.Queen).
  3. Q2 · 0:38PIT +6% win prob(:38) 14-M.Araiza punts 72 yards to end zone, Center-41-J.Winchester, Touchback.
  4. Q2 · 10:35PIT +6% win prob(10:35) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 3-R.Wilson scrambles left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:23KC Touchdown

    (9:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-X.Worthy for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-1-X.Worthy, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: KC 6 — PIT 0
  2. Q1 · 4:05KC Touchdown

    (4:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 84-Ju.Watson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 13 — PIT 0
  3. Q2 · 10:35PIT Touchdown

    (10:35) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 3-R.Wilson scrambles left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 13 — PIT 7
  4. Q3 · 12:24KC Field goal

    (12:24) 7-H.Butker 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

    Score after this play: KC 16 — PIT 7
  5. Q3 · 5:49PIT Field goal

    (5:49) 9-C.Boswell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-8-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: KC 16 — PIT 10
  6. Q4 · 15:00KC Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 29-K.Hunt right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: KC 22 — PIT 10
  7. Q4 · 12:44KC Touchdown

    (12:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PIT-97-Ca.Heyward was injured during the play. PENALTY on KC-87-T.Kelce, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 29 — PIT 10

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChiefsSteelers
Offensive plays5973
Total yards389 (edge)364
Yards per play6.6 (edge)5.0
Expected points added / play0.32 (edge)-0.11
Success rate51% (edge)44%
Dropback rate68%66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.51 (edge)-0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.090.09 (edge)
Third downs3/108/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)411 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2122 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)5
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.32 expected points added per play vs -0.11.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

29/38, 320 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

19.2 expected points added · +7.7% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Russell WilsonQB

23/37, 205 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-15.4 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Rushing · PIT

Najee HarrisRB

13 att, 74 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PIT

Jaylen WarrenRB

11 att, 71 yds, 0 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Travis KelceTE

8/11 for 84 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Receiving · KC

Xavier WorthyWR

8/9 for 79 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PITPIT 305-31:45Punt
2KCPIT 429423:56Touchdown +6
3PITPIT 23742:46Punt
4KCKC 218792:33Touchdown +7
5PITPIT 235691:51Interception
6KCKC 20481:33Punt
7PITPIT 2812725:08Touchdown +7
8KCKC 319394:22Punt
9PITPIT 2010255:02Punt
10KCKC 21470:33Punt
11PITPIT 203140:31End of half
12KCKC 339542:39Field goal +3
13PITPIT 3013476:36Field goal +3
14KCKC 2313925:49Touchdown +6
15PITPIT 30450:54Fumble
16KCPIT 345341:24Touchdown +7
17PITPIT 3010382:40Turnover on downs
18KCKC 276253:26Punt
19PITPIT 14480:38Punt
20KCKC 29492:23Punt
21PITPIT 712853:31End of game

7 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 92 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Patrick Mahomes29/3832030019.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kareem Hunt9202.210.6
Isiah Pacheco6183.00-0.8
Patrick Mahomes11212.001.2
Xavier Worthy2105.00-0.7
Samaje Perine294.50-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Travis Kelce81184129%3.3
Xavier Worthy8979124%7.0
Justin Watson226015%6.5
Marquise Brown4746018%1.9
Samaje Perine222005%2.4
JuJu Smith-Schuster221805%-0.0
DeAndre Hopkins247011%-2.1
Noah Gray11603%0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Christian Roland-Wallace640.000
Drue Tranquill630.000
Nick Bolton350.002
Michael Danna322.000
Justin Reid500.011
Trent McDuffie400.001
Jaden Hicks220.001
Deon Bush210.000
Tershawn Wharton121.000
Bryan Cook120.000

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Russell Wilson23/37205015-15.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Najee Harris13745.701.3
Jaylen Warren11716.501.6
Russell Wilson6559.217.8
Cordarrelle Patterson122.00-0.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Pat Freiermuth7860023%-3.7
George Pickens3750020%-1.5
Jaylen Warren5641017%-0.6
Calvin Austin4531014%2.5
Darnell Washington11803%0.4
Connor Heyward11803%0.3
Najee Harris247011%-2.7
Van Jefferson01003%-1.0
Mike Williams02006%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Minkah Fitzpatrick610.000
Patrick Queen520.000
DeShon Elliott220.000
Donte Jackson400.000
Alex Highsmith310.001
Cameron Heyward220.000
Payton Wilson310.000
Cory Trice300.001
Elandon Roberts210.000
T.J. Watt120.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
KC -3
Closing total
43.5
KC moneyline
-162
PIT moneyline
+136

Chiefs closed -3 and covered, winning by 19.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 39 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Acrisure Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
39°F, wind 2 mph
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
KC 4 days · PIT 4 days
Coaches
Andy Reid vs Mike Tomlin