2024 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 29, 2024 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Las Vegas RaidersWinner
25
New Orleans Saints
10
Las Vegas Raiders 25–10. Biggest swing: Q2 2:00, NO +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 16-J.Meyers to NO 33 for 29 yards (0-U.Amadi).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 2:00NO +11% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 16-J.Meyers to NO 33 for 29 yards (0-U.Amadi).
- Q2 · 15:00NO +9% win prob(15:00) 18-S.Rattler pass deep right to 87-F.Moreau for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 3:46NO +9% win prob(3:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Abdullah up the middle to LV 20 for 17 yards (5-W.Harris).
- Q2 · 13:20NO +9% win prob(13:20) 12-A.O'Connell pass deep right to 80-T.Marshall to NO 37 for 28 yards (1-A.Taylor).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 5:53LV Field goal
(5:53) 2-D.Carlson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 3 — NO 0 - Q2 · 15:00NO Touchdown
(15:00) 18-S.Rattler pass deep right to 87-F.Moreau for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 3 — NO 7 - Q2 · 10:23LV Field goal
(10:23) 2-D.Carlson 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 6 — NO 7 - Q2 · 1:01LV Touchdown
(1:01) 77-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 12-A.O'Connell pass short left to 16-J.Meyers for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NO-20-P.Werner has returned to the game. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 13 — NO 7 - Q2 · 0:03NO Field goal
(:03) 19-B.Grupe 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-43-M.Hayball.
Score after this play: LV 13 — NO 10 - Q3 · 8:03LV Field goal
(8:03) 2-D.Carlson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 16 — NO 10 - Q4 · 14:16LV Field goal
(14:16) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 19 — NO 10 - Q4 · 8:27LV Touchdown
(8:27) (Shotgun) 12-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 11-T.Tucker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LV 25 — NO 10
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Raiders | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 72 | 53 |
| Total yards | 390 (edge) | 269 |
| Yards per play | 5.4 (edge) | 5.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.10 (edge) | -0.28 |
| Success rate | 43% (edge) | 40% |
| Dropback rate | 50% | 79% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.27 (edge) | -0.30 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.06 (edge) | -0.19 |
| Third downs | 10/18 (edge) | 1/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 12 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Raiders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.28.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LV
20/35, 242 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
9.7 expected points added · -9.4% completion over expected
Passing · NO
20/36, 218 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-15.6 expected points added · -14.2% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LV | LV 27 | 18 | 55 | 9:11 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | NO | NO 30 | 6 | 32 | 2:33 | Punt | |
| 3 | LV | LV 6 | 4 | 12 | 2:31 | Punt | |
| 4 | NO | 50 | 4 | 50 | 0:53 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | LV | LV 26 | 9 | 53 | 4:33 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | NO | NO 30 | 9 | 53 | 5:58 | Punt | |
| 7 | LV | LV 5 | 10 | 97 | 3:24 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | NO | NO 30 | 8 | 59 | 0:57 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | NO | NO 30 | 7 | 15 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 10 | LV | LV 15 | 10 | 49 | 4:56 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | NO | NO 30 | 5 | 8 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 12 | LV | LV 24 | 4 | 5 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 13 | NO | NO 20 | 4 | -10 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 14 | LV | LV 39 | 12 | 54 | 5:37 | Field goal +3 | |
| 15 | NO | NO 30 | 7 | 20 | 2:52 | Interception | |
| 16 | LV | NO 40 | 7 | 40 | 3:02 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 17 | NO | NO 30 | 5 | -7 | 0:50 | Punt | |
| 18 | LV | LV 33 | 6 | 19 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 19 | NO | NO 10 | 4 | -6 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 20 | LV | NO 49 | 4 | 6 | 0:19 | Punt | |
| 21 | NO | NO 10 | 10 | 55 | 2:10 | Interception | |
| 22 | LV | NO 41 | 2 | 0 | 0:53 | End of game |
8 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 97 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan O'Connell | 20/35 | 242 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameer Abdullah | 20 | 115 | 5.8 | 0 | 4.7 |
| Alexander Mattison | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Chris Collier | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Tre Tucker | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Aidan O'Connell | 3 | -1 | -0.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Brock Bowers | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | 7 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 20% | 6.0 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 5 | 9 | 61 | 1 | 26% | 4.4 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 3 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 11% | 2.7 |
| Terrace Marshall | 1 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 6% | 1.7 |
| Tre Tucker | 2 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 23% | -1.7 |
| Michael Mayer | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6% | 0.0 |
| Alexander Mattison | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9% | -1.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Spillane | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Decamerion Richardson | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Trevon Moehrig | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Pola-Mao | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Adam Butler | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Hobbs | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyree Wilson | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Harper | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jack Jones | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
New Orleans Saints
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Rattler | 20/36 | 218 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -15.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Rattler | 3 | 46 | 15.3 | 0 | 5.3 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Jamaal Williams | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Kendre Miller | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | -3.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Johnson | 6 | 10 | 66 | 0 | 29% | -3.1 |
| Foster Moreau | 3 | 5 | 47 | 1 | 15% | 0.7 |
| Dante Pettis | 3 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 12% | -0.6 |
| Kevin Austin | 1 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 6% | 0.9 |
| Cedrick Wilson | 3 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 12% | -4.8 |
| Kendre Miller | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3% | 1.2 |
| Jamaal Williams | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | 0.3 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 12% | -2.5 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -1.1 |
| Adam Prentice | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.6 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demario Davis | 6 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pete Werner | 7 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Harris | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khalen Saunders | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Shepherd | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ugochukwu Amadi | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kool-Aid McKinstry | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrann Mathieu | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Carl Granderson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Young | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LV -2
- Closing total
- 37.5
- LV moneyline
- -125
- NO moneyline
- +105
Raiders closed -2 and covered, winning by 15.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 35 — under by 2.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
- Roof / surface
- dome · sportturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Land Clark
- Rest
- LV 7 days · NO 6 days
- Coaches
- Antonio Pierce vs Dennis Allen