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2024 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 29, 2024 · FirstEnergy Stadium
20
3
Miami Dolphins 20–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:45, MIA +11% win probability on one snap. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:45) 27-D.Foreman right guard to MIA 38 for no gain (56-Q.Bell).
How the points landed
(5:50) 7-J.Sanders 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.McQuaide, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: MIA 3 — CLE 0(13:29) 7-D.Hopkins 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: MIA 3 — CLE 3(:01) 7-J.Sanders 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.McQuaide, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: MIA 6 — CLE 3(11:12) (Shotgun) 18-T.Huntley scrambles right end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 13 — CLE 3(3:43) (Shotgun) 18-T.Huntley pass short left to 9-J.Smith for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 20 — CLE 3Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Dolphins | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 55 | 76 |
| Total yards | 281 (edge) | 276 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 (edge) | 3.6 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.10 (edge) | -0.36 |
| Success rate | 36% (edge) | 34% |
| Dropback rate | 62% | 64% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.29 (edge) | -0.53 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.72 | -0.07 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/11 | 7/17 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 (edge) | 2 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 (edge) | 15 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 3 |
Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.36.
Who moved the needle
Passing · MIA
22/26, 225 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
5.3 expected points added · +22.4% completion over expected
Passing · CLE
24/47, 170 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-25.2 expected points added · -14.9% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | MIA 30 | 9 | 45 | 4:11 | Punt | |
| 2 | CLE | CLE 19 | 4 | 4 | 1:24 | Punt | |
| 3 | MIA | MIA 38 | 7 | 36 | 3:39 | Field goal +3 | |
| 4 | CLE | CLE 27 | 15 | 61 | 7:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | MIA | MIA 30 | 6 | 26 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 6 | CLE | CLE 20 | 4 | 0 | 0:24 | Fumble | |
| 7 | MIA | MIA 30 | 5 | 17 | 2:56 | Punt | |
| 8 | CLE | CLE 5 | 6 | 37 | 3:27 | Interception | |
| 9 | MIA | MIA 35 | 4 | 6 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 10 | CLE | CLE 42 | 6 | 20 | 1:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | MIA | MIA 38 | 5 | 28 | 0:40 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | CLE | CLE 30 | 5 | 4 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 13 | MIA | MIA 28 | 7 | 57 | 3:05 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | CLE | CLE 30 | 5 | 2 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 15 | MIA | MIA 29 | 4 | 1 | 1:49 | Punt | |
| 16 | CLE | CLE 30 | 6 | 9 | 2:49 | Fumble | |
| 17 | MIA | CLE 45 | 4 | 7 | 2:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | CLE | CLE 38 | 11 | 50 | 4:07 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | MIA | MIA 3 | 4 | 5 | 1:19 | Punt | |
| 20 | CLE | MIA 45 | 4 | 7 | 1:47 | Punt | |
| 21 | MIA | MIA 14 | 9 | 32 | 5:30 | Punt | |
| 22 | CLE | CLE 2 | 7 | 29 | 1:39 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | MIA | CLE 21 | 5 | 21 | 0:18 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 24 | CLE | CLE 30 | 13 | 53 | 3:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | MIA | MIA 17 | 1 | 0 | 0:18 | End of game |
5 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 61 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huntley | 22/26 | 225 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huntley | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Devon Achane | 10 | 25 | 2.5 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Jeffery Wilson | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Raheem Mostert | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Malik Washington | 1 | -11 | -11.0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 9 | 9 | 105 | 0 | 38% | 7.3 |
| Malik Washington | 4 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 21% | 0.7 |
| Jonnu Smith | 3 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 17% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrel Dodson | 5 | 7 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jordyn Brooks | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Storm Duck | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Poyer |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Thompson-Robinson | 24/47 | 170 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -25.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Onta Foreman | 13 | 49 | 3.8 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Dolphins closed -3 and covered, winning by 17.
Total closed 32.5; the game landed 23 — under by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.
| 2.9 |
| Raheem Mostert | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 8% | -0.7 |
| River Cracraft | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 4% | 2.1 |
| Devon Achane | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 8% | -0.7 |
| D'Wayne Eskridge | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | -0.4 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Emmanuel Ogbah | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benito Jones | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kader Kohou | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Calais Campbell | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jevon Holland | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Campbell | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -1.6 |
| Pierre Strong | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Jerome Ford | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Dorian Thompson-Robinson | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 12 | 18 | 94 | 0 | 42% | -0.8 |
| Jordan Akins | 6 | 8 | 49 | 0 | 19% | 0.8 |
| Pierre Strong | 3 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 12% | -2.9 |
| Blake Whiteheart | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2% | 0.1 |
| Mike Woods | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7% | -4.3 |
| Elijah Moore | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12% | -5.3 |
| D'Onta Foreman | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -0.8 |
| Jamari Thrash | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -1.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Delpit | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohamoud Diabate | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Denzel Ward | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Emerson | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Mitchell | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Garrett | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah McGuire | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juan Thornhill | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D'Anthony Bell | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
