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2024 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 5, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field

New York Giants

13

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

20

PHI -3 ✓U 36.5 ✓31°F · 19 mph

Philadelphia Eagles 20–13. Biggest swing: Q4 10:41, PHI +9% win probability on one snap. Played in 19 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑NYG ↓
Q4 · 10:41NYG 9 — PHI 17NYG ball · 3rd & 8PHI 96%

(10:41) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 10:41PHI +9% win prob(10:41) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 2:00PHI +6% win prob(2:00) (Run formation) ** Injury Update: NYG-28-C.Flott has returned to the game. PENALTY on NYG-55-C.Basham, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 41 - No Play.
  3. Q2 · 6:58NYG +6% win prob(6:58) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass incomplete deep right to 1-M.Nabers (34-I.Rodgers).
  4. Q2 · 5:30PHI +5% win prob(5:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.McKee pass deep right to 83-J.Dotson ran ob at PHI 49 for 19 yards (24-D.Belton).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 6:58PHI Touchdown

    (6:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.McKee pass short left to 82-A.Smith for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q2 · 1:47PHI Field goal

    (1:47) 4-J.Elliott 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — PHI 10
  3. Q3 · 7:38NYG Field goal

    (7:38) 9-G.Gano 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — PHI 10
  4. Q4 · 15:00PHI Touchdown

    (15:00) 16-T.McKee pass short right to 84-E.Jenkins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — PHI 17
  5. Q4 · 10:41NYG Touchdown

    (10:41) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — PHI 17
  6. Q4 · 7:26NYG Field goal

    (7:26) 9-G.Gano 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — PHI 17
  7. Q4 · 0:51PHI Field goal

    (:51) 4-J.Elliott 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — PHI 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsEagles
Offensive plays5467
Total yards238304 (edge)
Yards per play4.44.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.12-0.04 (edge)
Success rate39%40% (edge)
Dropback rate54%64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.300.17 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.09 (edge)-0.43
Third downs4/14 (edge)3/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)3 (edge)0
First downs gained on snaps1018 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)2
Turnovers10 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Tanner McKeeQB

27/41, 269 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.5 expected points added · -2.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Drew LockQB

22/29, 138 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-8.7 expected points added · +4.5% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone TracyRB

14 att, 59 yds, 0 TD

-2.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Will ShipleyRB

10 att, 32 yds, 0 TD

-3.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Jahan DotsonWR

7/11 for 94 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 4.9 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

5/8 for 64 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 0.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 2011366:08Turnover on downs
2PHIPHI 495512:01Touchdown +7
3NYGNYG 40531:35Punt
4PHIPHI 1414606:10Missed field goal
5NYGNYG 2912377:15Turnover on downs
6PHIPHI 3513735:07Field goal +3
7NYGNYG 30581:01Punt
8PHIPHI 287270:43Punt
9PHINYG 43581:39Turnover on downs
10NYGNYG 3510585:47Field goal +3
11PHIPHI 295-21:39Punt
12NYGNYG 14452:08Punt
13PHIPHI 398613:52Touchdown +7
14NYGNYG 3010704:23Touchdown +7
15PHIPHI 255-101:39Punt
16NYGPHI 384131:32Field goal +3
17PHIPHI 3017366:34Field goal +3
18NYGNYG 30480:23Interception
19PHINYG 46100:24End of game

7 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 73 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Drew Lock22/29138110-8.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy14594.20-2.3
Devin Singletary7223.101.0
Dane Belton11010.003.1
Eric Gray166.000.2
Drew Lock231.500.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Malik Nabers5864129%0.8
Wan'Dale Robinson101143039%-2.1
Chris Manhertz111604%1.4
Daniel Bellinger22907%-0.9
Tyrone Tracy22707%-0.8
Eric Gray11404%0.0
Jalin Hyatt01004%-1.7
Darius Slayton01004%-2.5
Devin Singletary11-504%-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dyontae Johnson650.000
Darius Muasau250.000
Divaad Wilson410.001
Brian Burns230.500
Dane Belton220.000
Kayvon Thibodeaux131.500
Rakeem Nunez-Roches130.000
Ty Summers220.001
Anthony Johnson120.001
Andru Phillips300.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tanner McKee27/412692027.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Will Shipley10323.20-3.4
Kenneth Gainwell11141.30-6.1
Ainias Smith144.001.0
Tanner McKee310.30-3.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jahan Dotson71194027%4.9
Dallas Goedert4655015%4.1
Will Shipley4435010%2.3
Ainias Smith4635115%0.3
Johnny Wilson3524012%0.1
Grant Calcaterra2410010%-0.8
Kenneth Gainwell249010%-0.8
E.J. Jenkins11712%1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Oren Burks890.000
Jeremiah Trotter290.000
Tristin McCollum270.000
Jordan Davis320.000
Moro Ojomo140.000
Kelee Ringo410.001
Avonte Maddox130.000
Charles Harris120.000
Isaiah Rodgers120.001
Eli Ricks100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -3
Closing total
36.5
NYG moneyline
+130
PHI moneyline
-155

Eagles closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 36.5; the game landed 33 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
31°F, wind 19 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
NYG 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Nick Sirianni

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 19 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.