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2024 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 5, 2025 · SoFi Stadium

Seattle SeahawksWinner

30

Los Angeles Rams

25

SEA -7.5 no coverO 38.5 ✓Dome

Seattle Seahawks 30–25. Biggest swing: Q4 0:21, SEA +25% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LA ↑SEA ↓
Q4 · 0:21SEA 30 — LA 25LA ball · 4th & 3SEA 73%

(:21) (Shotgun) 11-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 88-J.Whittington.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:21SEA +25% win prob(:21) (Shotgun) 11-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 88-J.Whittington.
  2. Q4 · 9:49LA +17% win prob(9:49) (Shotgun) 11-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 88-J.Whittington pushed ob at SEA 22 for 50 yards (20-J.Love).
  3. Q4 · 2:35LA +13% win prob(2:35) (Shotgun) 11-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to SEA 49 for 17 yards (13-E.Jones; 2-R.Jenkins) [90-Ja.Reed].
  4. Q4 · 3:24LA +13% win prob(3:24) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 87-N.Fant for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:24SEA Touchdown

    (5:24) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Bobo for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — LA 0
  2. Q1 · 0:41LA Field goal

    (:41) 16-J.Karty 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — LA 3
  3. Q2 · 12:55SEA Touchdown

    (12:55) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — LA 3
  4. Q2 · 8:51LA Touchdown

    (8:51) 11-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 89-T.Higbee for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — LA 10
  5. Q2 · 3:27SEA Field goal

    (3:27) 5-J.Myers 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 17 — LA 10
  6. Q2 · 0:03LA Field goal

    (:03) 16-J.Karty 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: SEA 17 — LA 13
  7. Q3 · 7:59LA Field goal

    (7:59) 16-J.Karty 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: SEA 17 — LA 16
  8. Q3 · 3:05SEA Touchdown

    (3:05) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 88-A.Barner for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 24 — LA 16
  9. Q4 · 12:48LA Touchdown

    (12:48) (Shotgun) 11-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 18-T.Johnson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: SEA 24 — LA 22
  10. Q4 · 7:33LA Field goal

    (7:33) 16-J.Karty 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: SEA 24 — LA 25
  11. Q4 · 3:24SEA Touchdown

    (3:24) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 87-N.Fant for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: SEA 30 — LA 25

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksRams
Offensive plays5366
Total yards337403 (edge)
Yards per play6.4 (edge)6.1
Expected points added / play0.24 (edge)0.02
Success rate53% (edge)44%
Dropback rate57%70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.33 (edge)0.04
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.13 (edge)-0.02
Third downs6/11 (edge)5/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps1920 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Rams outgained Seahawks 403–337 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jimmy GaroppoloQB

27/41, 334 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

2.1 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

20/27, 223 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

9.8 expected points added · +6.4% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Zach CharbonnetRB

14 att, 59 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Kenny McIntoshRB

7 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Jordan WhittingtonWR

3/4 for 86 yds, 0 TD

10% of team targets · 3.5 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Demarcus RobinsonWR

3/6 for 72 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 2.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 306172:11Punt
2SEASEA 66193:27Punt
3LALA 16450:50Fumble
4SEASEA 456603:11Touchdown +7
5LALA 3710444:44Field goal +3
6SEASEA 309702:49Touchdown +7
7LALA 2210654:01Touchdown +7
8SEASEA 2710355:26Field goal +3
9LALA 45431:03Interception
10SEASEA 45491:25Punt
11LALA 205400:53Field goal +3
12SEASEA 30501:38Punt
13LALA 219405:28Field goal +3
14SEASEA 3012704:54Touchdown +7
15LALA 3011705:17Touchdown +6
16SEASEA 30591:32Punt
17LALA 227583:42Field goal +3
18SEASEA 3010654:10Touchdown +6
19LALA 3013613:01Turnover on downs
20SEASEA 10100:18End of game

11 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 70 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith20/272234029.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zach Charbonnet14594.20-0.7
Kenny McIntosh7497.002.8
Geno Smith2147.001.2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba144.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Noah Fant5663122%4.0
DK Metcalf3553119%3.4
A.J. Barner5534119%3.4
Tyler Lockett2428015%0.8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba459019%1.0
Jake Bobo11414%1.4
Kenny McIntosh01004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devon Witherspoon440.002
Tyrice Knight350.500
Ernest Jones160.500
Coby Bryant430.000
Julian Love320.013
Nehemiah Pritchett410.000
Leonard Williams412.000
Artie Burns210.001
Tre Brown110.000
Boye Mafe200.000

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jimmy Garoppolo27/413342132.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ronnie Rivers12484.00-1.8
Jordan Whittington2126.003.1
Blake Corum2105.00-0.5
Xavier Smith263.001.0
Jimmy Garoppolo252.50-2.0
Cody Schrader133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jordan Whittington3486010%3.5
Demarcus Robinson3672015%2.0
Tyler Higbee5746118%3.9
Tutu Atwell5837020%-1.6
Tyler Johnson4735118%-1.4
Ronnie Rivers4534013%0.1
Blake Corum111203%0.8
Cody Schrader11603%0.4
Colby Parkinson11603%0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jake Hummel430.000
Josh Wallace320.000
Jaylen McCollough320.000
Desjuan Johnson221.000
Emmanuel Forbes310.001
Kamren Kinchens310.000
Michael Hoecht210.000
Omar Speights120.000
Keir Thomas120.000
Bobby Brown110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -7.5
Closing total
38.5
SEA moneyline
-360
LA moneyline
+285

Seahawks closed -7.5, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 55 — over by 16.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Bill Vinovich
Rest
SEA 10 days · LA 8 days
Coaches
Mike Macdonald vs Sean McVay

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.