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2024 Wild Card · Sun, Jan 12, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field

Green Bay Packers

10

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

22

PHI -5.5 ✓U 45.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 22–10. Biggest swing: Q1 15:00, GB +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑GB ↓
Q1 · 15:00GB 0 — PHI 0GB ballPHI 71%

4-J.Elliott kicks 66 yards from PHI 35 to GB -1. 25-K.Nixon to GB 27 for 28 yards (42-O.Burks). FUMBLES (42-O.Burks), RECOVERED by PHI-54-J.Trotter at GB 28. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, a

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 15:00GB +8% win prob4-J.Elliott kicks 66 yards from PHI 35 to GB -1. 25-K.Nixon to GB 27 for 28 yards (42-O.Burks). FUMBLES (42-O.Burks), RECOVERED by PHI-54-J.Trotter at GB 28. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  2. Q3 · 6:45PHI +7% win prob(6:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep left to 13-D.Wicks. PENALTY on PHI-27-Q.Mitchell, Defensive Pass Interference, 24 yards, enforced at PHI 33 - No Play.
  3. Q1 · 14:53PHI +7% win prob(14:53) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley left tackle to GB 12 for 16 yards (29-X.McKinney; 7-Q.Walker).
  4. Q2 · 0:45GB +5% win prob(:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle intended for 18-M.Heath INTERCEPTED by 53-Z.Baun at PHI 39. 53-Z.Baun ran ob at GB 45 for 16 yards (85-T.Kraft).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 13:30PHI Touchdown

    (13:30) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 83-J.Dotson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q1 · 0:22PHI Field goal

    (:22) 4-J.Elliott 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: GB 0 — PHI 10
  3. Q3 · 5:49GB Field goal

    (5:49) 17-B.McManus 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 3 — PHI 10
  4. Q3 · 3:26PHI Touchdown

    (3:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 88-D.Goedert for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 3 — PHI 16
  5. Q4 · 15:00GB Touchdown

    (15:00) 8-J.Jacobs left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 10 — PHI 16
  6. Q4 · 7:36PHI Field goal

    (7:36) 4-J.Elliott 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: GB 10 — PHI 19
  7. Q4 · 3:15PHI Field goal

    (3:15) 4-J.Elliott 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: GB 10 — PHI 22

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersEagles
Offensive plays5956
Total yards303 (edge)291
Yards per play5.15.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.070.05 (edge)
Success rate46% (edge)36%
Dropback rate61%43%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.140.01 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.020.07 (edge)
Third downs7/13 (edge)2/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)56 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps16 (edge)14
Sacks taken22
Turnovers40 (edge)

Packers outgained Eagles 303–291 but lost the turnover battle 4–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

20/33, 212 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-5.5 expected points added · -5.4% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

13/21, 131 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

0.5 expected points added · +3.3% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

25 att, 119 yds, 0 TD

-2.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Josh JacobsRB

18 att, 81 yds, 1 TD

-0.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

4/4 for 55 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

4/6 for 47 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 1.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GB—100:07Fumble
2PHIGB 284281:32Touchdown +7
3GBGB 13521:12Punt
4PHIPHI 356182:56Punt
5GBGB 207113:54Punt
6PHIPHI 3011575:00Field goal +3
7GBGB 30330:27Interception
8PHIPHI 224112:10Punt
9GBGB 4313427:37Missed field goal
10PHIPHI 28451:40Punt
11GBGB 286442:49Interception
12PHIGB 45460:22Punt
13GBGB 11100:14End of half
14PHIPHI 25723:27Punt
15GBGB 1612625:47Field goal +3
16PHIPHI 327682:26Touchdown +6
17GBGB 2211783:24Touchdown +7
18PHIPHI 3014637:23Field goal +3
19GBGB 206212:35Turnover on downs
20PHIGB 416121:46Field goal +3
21GBGB 306401:21Interception
22PHIPHI 203211:51End of game

7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 78 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love20/33212032-5.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs18814.51-0.0
Jordan Love2105.000.6
Tucker Kraft2105.002.6
Emanuel Wilson362.00-2.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jayden Reed4446012%3.4
Josh Jacobs334009%3.4
Dontayvion Wicks2639018%1.0
Tucker Kraft5526015%0.1
Emanuel Wilson132309%0.5
Bo Melton131609%-3.2
Romeo Doubs221306%1.1
Christopher Brooks23909%-0.1
Malik Heath040012%-8.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quay Walker440.000
Edgerrin Cooper250.000
Isaiah McDuffie160.500
Carrington Valentine320.000
Xavier McKinney230.000
Kenny Clark230.000
Lukas Van Ness130.000
Evan Williams220.001
Kingsley Enagbare220.000
Tedarrell Slaton210.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts13/211312020.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley251194.80-2.3
Jalen Hurts6366.002.9
Kenneth Gainwell3144.701.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith4455022%4.5
Dallas Goedert4647133%1.4
Jahan Dotson1211111%1.7
A.J. Brown1310017%-1.9
Saquon Barkley224011%0.1
Grant Calcaterra11406%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Reed Blankenship740.000
Zack Baun440.011
Nolan Smith442.000
Nakobe Dean330.000
Quinyon Mitchell600.011
Oren Burks410.000
Cooper DeJean220.000
Darius Slay210.011
Jalen Carter020.001
Jalyx Hunt110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -5.5
Closing total
45.5
GB moneyline
+205
PHI moneyline
-250

Eagles closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 12.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 32 — under by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
40°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
GB 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Nick Sirianni