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2024 Divisional Round · Sun, Jan 19, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field

Los Angeles Rams

22

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

28

PHI -7 no coverO 43.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 28–22. Biggest swing: Q4 15:00, LA +20% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑LA ↓
Q4 · 15:00LA 15 — PHI 16LA ball · 2nd & 2PHI 62%

(15:00) 23-K.Williams left guard to LA 43 for no gain (98-J.Carter). FUMBLES (98-J.Carter), touched at LA 46, RECOVERED by PHI-34-I.Rodgers at 50. 34-I.Rodgers pushed ob at LA 10 for 40 yards (69-K.Dotson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 15:00LA +20% win prob(15:00) 23-K.Williams left guard to LA 43 for no gain (98-J.Carter). FUMBLES (98-J.Carter), touched at LA 46, RECOVERED by PHI-34-I.Rodgers at 50. 34-I.Rodgers pushed ob at LA 10 for 40 yards (69-K.Dotson).
  2. Q1 · 1:17PHI +13% win prob(1:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 0:31LA +13% win prob(:31) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 17-P.Nacua [98-J.Carter].
  4. Q4 · 1:33PHI +12% win prob(1:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 17-P.Nacua ran ob at PHI 21 for 37 yards.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:04PHI Touchdown

    (12:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts right end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 0 — PHI 6
  2. Q1 · 6:36LA Touchdown

    (6:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 89-T.Higbee for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7 — PHI 6
  3. Q1 · 1:17PHI Touchdown

    (1:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7 — PHI 13
  4. Q2 · 12:51LA Field goal

    (12:51) 16-J.Karty 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 10 — PHI 13
  5. Q3 · 7:41LA Field goal

    (7:41) 16-J.Karty 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 13 — PHI 13
  6. Q3 · 2:24PHI Field goal

    (2:24) 4-J.Elliott 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: LA 13 — PHI 16
  7. Q3 · 0:32LA Safety

    (:32) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts sacked in End Zone for -8 yards, SAFETY (92-N.Gallimore).

    Score after this play: LA 15 — PHI 16
  8. Q4 · 13:26PHI Field goal

    (13:26) 4-J.Elliott 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: LA 15 — PHI 19
  9. Q4 · 6:22PHI Field goal

    (6:22) 4-J.Elliott 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: LA 15 — PHI 22
  10. Q4 · 4:47PHI Touchdown

    (4:47) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley left guard for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 15 — PHI 28
  11. Q4 · 2:51LA Touchdown

    (2:51) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 86-C.Parkinson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 22 — PHI 28

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsEagles
Offensive plays7060
Total yards402 (edge)351
Yards per play5.75.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.070.08 (edge)
Success rate43% (edge)42%
Dropback rate71%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.07 (edge)-0.13
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.420.30 (edge)
Third downs6/166/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps18 (edge)15
Sacks taken5 (edge)7
Turnovers20 (edge)

Rams outgained Eagles 402–351 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

26/44, 324 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

3.7 expected points added · -5.1% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

15/20, 128 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-4.8 expected points added · +4.6% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

26 att, 205 yds, 2 TD

5.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

19 att, 106 yds, 0 TD

-6.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

6/14 for 97 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · -1.5 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Demarcus RobinsonWR

3/7 for 74 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 268743:05Touchdown +6
2LALA 3315675:23Touchdown +7
3PHIPHI 325-51:41Punt
4LALA 34402:10Punt
5PHIPHI 174681:34Touchdown +7
6LALA 307683:20Field goal +3
7PHIPHI 4310184:33Punt
8LALA 76352:56Punt
9PHIPHI 913415:18End of half
10LALA 30571:40Punt
11PHIPHI 15471:21Punt
12LALA 268654:22Field goal +3
13PHIPHI 3010495:18Field goal +3
14LALA 30581:03Punt
15PHIPHI 42-40:50Safety
16LALA 35380:37Fumble
17PHILA 10491:26Field goal +3
18LALA 29792:19Fumble
19PHILA 388194:46Field goal +3
20LALA 30501:31Punt
21PHIPHI 222780:11Touchdown +6
22LALA 3012701:48Touchdown +7
23PHIPHI 305-30:25Punt
24LALA 1810651:57Turnover on downs
25PHIPHI 22100:26End of game

10 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 78 scrimmage yards over 2 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford26/443242053.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams191065.60-6.9
Matthew Stafford252.50-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua61497032%-1.5
Demarcus Robinson3774016%4.6
Cooper Kupp5761016%4.3
Tyler Higbee71054123%4.0
Tutu Atwell111802%1.5
Jordan Whittington111202%1.2
Colby Parkinson22915%1.7
Kyren Williams12-105%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Christian Rozeboom710.000
Omar Speights431.000
Kobie Turner511.000
Quentin Lake320.001
Kamren Kinchens410.000
Bobby Brown220.000
Tyler Davis220.000
Jared Verse402.000
Kamren Curl120.000
Keir Thomas110.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts15/20128007-4.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley262057.925.2
Jalen Hurts77010.014.2
Kenneth Gainwell11010.000.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Dallas Goedert4456020%3.9
Saquon Barkley4427020%2.0
DeVonta Smith4421020%0.3
A.J. Brown2714035%0.2
Kenneth Gainwell111005%0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Oren Burks420.001
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson510.000
Zack Baun510.001
Reed Blankenship420.000
Darius Slay510.003
Isaiah Rodgers410.002
Jalen Carter322.002
Cooper DeJean320.001
Nolan Smith131.000
Jeremiah Trotter200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -7
Closing total
43.5
LA moneyline
+260
PHI moneyline
-325

Eagles closed -7, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 50 — over by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
34°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
LA 6 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Nick Sirianni