2024 Super Bowl · Sun, Feb 9, 2025 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Kansas City Chiefs

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

KC -1.5 upsetO 48.5 ✓DomeChiefs closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Philadelphia Eagles 40–22 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 6:37, PHI +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 6:37KC 0 — PHI 0PHI ball · 2nd & 11KC 52%

(6:37) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 83-J.Dotson for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 83-J.Do

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 6:37PHI +11% win prob(6:37) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 83-J.Dotson for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 83-J.Dotson to KC 1 for 27 yards (35-J.Watson).
Q2 · 11:11PHI +8% win prob(11:11) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 11-A.Brown pushed ob at KC 32 for 22 yards (22-T.McDuffie).
Q2 · 7:16KC +8% win prob(7:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 8-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 33-C.DeJean at KC 38. 33-C.DeJean for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 7:24PHI +7% win prob(7:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Goedert. PENALTY on KC-22-T.McDuffie, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at KC 42 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 6:18PHI Touchdown
(6:18) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 0 — PHI 7
Q2 · 8:42PHI Field goal
(8:42) 4-J.Elliott 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: KC 0 — PHI 10
Q2 · 7:16PHI Touchdown
(7:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 8-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 33-C.DeJean at KC 38. 33-C.DeJean for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 0 — PHI 17
Q2 · 1:40PHI Touchdown
(1:40) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 11-A.Brown for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 0 — PHI 24
Q3 · 5:22PHI Field goal
(5:22) 4-J.Elliott 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: KC 0 — PHI 27
Q3 · 2:47PHI Touchdown
(2:47) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 6-D.Smith for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 0 — PHI 34
Q3 · 0:43KC Touchdown
(:43) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 1-X.Worthy for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: KC 6 — PHI 34
Q4 · 9:56PHI Field goal
(9:56) 4-J.Elliott 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: KC 6 — PHI 37
Q4 · 8:05PHI Field goal
(8:05) 4-J.Elliott 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: KC 6 — PHI 40
Q4 · 2:58KC Touchdown
(2:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: KC 14 — PHI 40
Q4 · 1:56KC Touchdown
(1:56) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 1-X.Worthy for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: KC 22 — PHI 40

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chiefs	Eagles
Offensive plays	51	67
Total yards	277	349 (edge)
Yards per play	5.4 (edge)	5.2
Expected points added / play	-0.34	0.02 (edge)
Success rate	41% (edge)	36%
Dropback rate	86%	45%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.37	0.55 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18 (edge)	-0.41
Third downs	3/11	3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	14	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	2 (edge)
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.34.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

21/32, 257 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

-15.3 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

17/22, 221 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

14.1 expected points added · +9.4% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

11 att, 72 yds, 1 TD

3.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

25 att, 57 yds, 0 TD

-10.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Xavier WorthyWR

8/8 for 157 yds, 2 TD

25% of team targets · 11.1 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

4/5 for 69 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 6.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 30	7	20	3:39	Punt
2	KC	KC 12	5	12	1:41	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 31	8	54	3:25	Touchdown +7
4	KC	KC 33	5	7	1:39	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 20	11	45	5:21	Interception
6	KC	KC 2	4	7	1:38	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 43	7	32	3:59	Field goal +3
8	KC	KC 30	4	-6	1:35	Defensive touchdown
9	KC	KC 30	5	-6	2:14	Punt
10	PHI	PHI 34	8	12	3:00	Punt
11	KC	KC 6	1	0	0:04	Interception
12	PHI	KC 14	3	14	0:10	Touchdown +7
13	KC	KC 30	5	9	1:10	Punt
14	PHI	PHI 37	1	2	0:25	End of half
15	KC	KC 30	7	15	3:00	Punt
16	PHI	PHI 20	12	74	6:42	Field goal +3
17	KC	KC 30	6	27	2:31	Turnover on downs
18	PHI	KC 46	2	46	0:07	Touchdown +7
19	KC	KC 10	7	90	2:06	Touchdown +6
20	PHI	PHI 30	11	40	5:43	Field goal +3
21	KC	KC 30	2	-11	0:09	Fumble
22	PHI	KC 33	4	6	1:41	Field goal +3
23	KC	KC 25	13	81	5:07	Touchdown +8
24	PHI	PHI 46	5	4	0:58	Turnover on downs
25	KC	50	2	52	0:08	Touchdown +8
26	PHI	KC 44	4	0	1:48	End of game

10 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 90 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Patrick Mahomes	21/32	257	3	2	6	-15.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Patrick Mahomes	4	25	6.3	-0.8
Kareem Hunt	3	9	3.0	-1.1
Samaje Perine	1	8	8.0	0.7
Isiah Pacheco	3	7	2.3	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Xavier Worthy	8	8	157	2	25%	11.1
Travis Kelce	4	6	39	0	19%	-0.3
DeAndre Hopkins	2	5	18	1	16%	-5.0
JuJu Smith-Schuster	2	2	16	0	6%	0.5
Marquise Brown	2	6	15	0	19%	-8.4
Kareem Hunt	1	1	5	0	3%	0.1
Isiah Pacheco	1	2	5	0	6%	-0.5
Noah Gray	1	1	2	0	3%	-0.5
Samaje Perine	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Drue Tranquill	7	4	1.0	0	0
Nick Bolton	3	5	0.0	0	0
Justin Reid	5	2	0.0	0	0
Chamarri Conner	3	3	0.0	0	0
Trent McDuffie	4	1	0.0	0	0
Mike Pennel	2	3	0.0	0	0
Tershawn Wharton	3	2	0.0	0	0
George Karlaftis	3	1	1.0	0	0
Bryan Cook	3	1	0.0	1	1
Leo Chenal	3	1	0.0	0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	17/22	221	2	1	2	14.1
Kenny Pickett	0/1	0	0	0	0	-2.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jalen Hurts	11	72	6.5	1	3.1
Saquon Barkley	25	57	2.3	0	-10.2
Kenneth Gainwell	6	10	1.7	0	-3.0
Kenny Pickett	3	-4	-1.3	0	-1.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeVonta Smith	4	5	69	1	22%	6.3
A.J. Brown	3	5	43	1	22%	2.2
Jahan Dotson	2	3	42	0	13%	1.3
Saquon Barkley	6	7	40	0	30%	2.3
Dallas Goedert	2	2	27	0	9%	2.3
Johnny Wilson	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Zack Baun	3	4	0.0	1	1
Josh Sweat	2	4	2.5	0	0
Oren Burks	3	2	0.0	0	0
Milton Williams	3	1	2.0	0	0
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson	1	2	0.0	0	0
Reed Blankenship	1	2	0.0	0	0
Quinyon Mitchell	3	0	0.0	0	0
Cooper DeJean	3	0	0.0	1	1
Kenneth Gainwell	2	0	0.0	0	0
Jordan Davis	2	0	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: KC -1.5
Closing total: 48.5
KC moneyline: -120
PHI moneyline: +100

Chiefs closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 62 — over by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Ron Torbert
Rest: KC 14 days · PHI 14 days
Coaches: Andy Reid vs Nick Sirianni