2025 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Arizona CardinalsWinner

New Orleans Saints

ARI -6 ✓U 44.5 ✓DomeCardinals closed -6 and covered, winning by 7.

Arizona Cardinals 20–13. Biggest swing: Q2 13:41, NO +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 13:41ARI 3 — NO 7ARI ball · 2nd & 4ARI 58%

(13:41) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 18-M.Harrison ran ob at NO 14 for 45 yards (4-K.McKinstry).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 13:41NO +10% win prob(13:41) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 18-M.Harrison ran ob at NO 14 for 45 yards (4-K.McKinstry).
Q1 · 11:39NO +10% win prob(11:39) 12-B.Gillikin punts 60 yards to NO 16, Center-46-A.Brewer. 22-R.Shaheed to NO 23 for 7 yards (27-A.Davis-Gaither; 84-E.Higgins).
Q2 · 14:26NO +10% win prob(14:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara right guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 2:07NO +9% win prob(2:07) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 85-T.McBride to NO 20 for 25 yards (23-J.Blackmon; 4-K.McKinstry).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 5:07ARI Field goal
(5:07) 38-C.Ryland 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 3 — NO 0
Q2 · 14:26NO Touchdown
(14:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara right guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 3 — NO 7
Q2 · 10:10ARI Touchdown
(10:10) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 18-M.Harrison for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 10 — NO 7
Q2 · 5:02NO Field goal
(5:02) 19-B.Grupe 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
Score after this play: ARI 10 — NO 10
Q2 · 0:32ARI Touchdown
(:32) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 6-J.Conner for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 17 — NO 10
Q3 · 9:21ARI Field goal
(9:21) 38-C.Ryland 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 20 — NO 10
Q4 · 2:44NO Field goal
(2:44) 19-B.Grupe 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
Score after this play: ARI 20 — NO 13

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Saints
Offensive plays	61	67
Total yards	276	315 (edge)
Yards per play	4.5	4.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.04 (edge)	-0.04
Success rate	41%	43% (edge)
Dropback rate	61%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.08 (edge)	-0.03
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.02 (edge)	-0.07
Third downs	6/13 (edge)	5/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	16	17 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	1 (edge)
Turnovers	0	0

Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.04.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Spencer RattlerQB

27/46, 214 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-3.9 expected points added · -5.0% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

21/29, 163 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.5 expected points added · -1.7% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

Trey BensonRB

8 att, 69 yds, 0 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Alvin KamaraRB

11 att, 45 yds, 1 TD

-0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Juwan JohnsonTE

8/11 for 76 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Marvin Harrison Jr.WR

5/6 for 71 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 5.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ARI	ARI 22	7	2	3:33	Punt
2	NO	NO 23	4	3	0:53	Punt
3	ARI	ARI 34	11	39	5:31	Field goal +3
4	NO	NO 25	12	90	5:43	Touchdown +7
5	ARI	ARI 35	9	63	4:15	Touchdown +7
6	NO	NO 45	11	41	5:07	Field goal +3
7	ARI	ARI 29	12	61	4:30	Touchdown +7
8	NO	NO 29	2	6	0:28	End of half
9	NO	NO 15	7	16	2:33	Punt
10	ARI	ARI 19	6	49	3:11	Field goal +3
11	NO	NO 27	15	53	5:21	Missed field goal
12	ARI	ARI 28	6	11	3:02	Punt
13	NO	NO 27	5	11	2:02	Punt
14	ARI	ARI 6	10	38	4:42	Punt
15	NO	NO 17	4	0	0:26	Punt
16	ARI	NO 40	8	22	4:09	Missed field goal
17	NO	NO 36	9	55	1:52	Field goal +3
18	ARI	ARI 26	5	-9	0:53	Punt
19	NO	NO 42	13	40	1:49	Turnover on downs

7 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 90 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	21/29	163	2	0	5	1.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Trey Benson	8	69	8.6	1.2
James Conner	12	39	3.3	-2.8
Kyler Murray	7	38	5.4	2.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Marvin Harrison Jr.	5	6	71	1	21%	5.7
Trey McBride	6	9	61	0	31%	4.4
Tip Reiman	1	1	10	0	3%	1.3
Trey Benson	1	1	6	0	3%	0.3
James Conner	4	4	5	1	14%	0.5
Michael Wilson	1	4	5	0	14%	-1.0
Zay Jones	1	1	4	0	3%	0.1
Elijah Higgins	1	2	3	0	7%	-1.2
Greg Dortch	1	1	-2	0	3%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Budda Baker	5	5	0.0	1
Jalen Thompson	4	4	0.0	1
Mack Wilson	3	4	0.0	1
Akeem Davis-Gaither	3	4	0.0	1
Zaven Collins	2	4	0.0	0
Max Melton	3	2	0.0	1
Calais Campbell	3	2	0.0	0
Garrett Williams	2	2	0.0	0
Baron Browning	1	3	1.0	0
Dante Stills	2	1	0.0	0

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Spencer Rattler	27/46	214	0	0	1	-3.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Alvin Kamara	11	45	4.1	1	-0.9
Spencer Rattler	4	29	7.3	0	1.8
Kendre Miller	5	24	4.8	0	0.1
Devin Neal	2	9	4.5	0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Juwan Johnson	8	11	76	27%	4.3
Chris Olave	7	13	54	32%	-2.8
Rashid Shaheed	6	9	33	22%	-2.2
Brandin Cooks	3	4	26	10%	1.5
Devaughn Vele	1	2	13	5%	0.7
Alvin Kamara	2	2	12	5%	0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Pete Werner	7	2	1.0	0
Demario Davis	6	3	0.0	0
Julian Blackmon	4	3	0.0	1
Kool-Aid McKinstry	5	2	0.0	1
Justin Reid	3	3	0.0	0
Carl Granderson	4	1	1.5	2
Isaac Yiadom	2	2	0.0	0
Cameron Jordan	2	1	1.5	1
Nathan Shepherd	1	2	0.0	0
Davon Godchaux	1	2	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ARI -6
Closing total: 44.5
ARI moneyline: -270
NO moneyline: +220

Cardinals closed -6 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 33 — under by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Scott Novak
Rest: ARI 7 days · NO 7 days
Coaches: Jonathan Gannon vs Kellen Moore