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2025 Week 1 · Thu, Sep 4, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field

Dallas Cowboys

20

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

24

PHI -8.5 no coverU 47.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 24–20. Biggest swing: Q3 4:52, DAL +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑DAL ↓
Q3 · 4:52DAL 20 — PHI 24DAL ball · 1st & 10PHI 67%

(4:52) 24-M.Sanders left guard to PHI 10 for 1 yard (30-J.Campbell; 94-B.Young). FUMBLES (30-J.Campbell), RECOVERED by PHI-27-Q.Mitchell at PHI 10. 27-Q.Mitchell to PHI 16 for 6 yards (4-D.Prescott).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 4:52DAL +15% win prob(4:52) 24-M.Sanders left guard to PHI 10 for 1 yard (30-J.Campbell; 94-B.Young). FUMBLES (30-J.Campbell), RECOVERED by PHI-27-Q.Mitchell at PHI 10. 27-Q.Mitchell to PHI 16 for 6 yards (4-D.Prescott).
  2. Q2 · 1:53PHI +14% win prob(1:53) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 2-J.Dotson to DAL 26 for 51 yards (20-K.Elam).
  3. Q3 · 6:21PHI +11% win prob(6:21) (Shotgun) 24-M.Sanders left end to PHI 11 for 49 yards (53-Z.Baun).
  4. Q1 · 12:22PHI +10% win prob(12:22) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb to PHI 1 for 32 yards (8-A.Jackson).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:52DAL Touchdown

    (11:52) 33-J.Williams left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 0
  2. Q1 · 6:01PHI Touchdown

    (6:01) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — PHI 7
  3. Q2 · 15:00DAL Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 14 — PHI 7
  4. Q2 · 6:58PHI Touchdown

    (6:58) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 14 — PHI 14
  5. Q2 · 2:38DAL Field goal

    (2:38) 17-B.Aubrey 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — PHI 14
  6. Q2 · 0:56PHI Touchdown

    (:56) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — PHI 21
  7. Q2 · 0:03DAL Field goal

    (:03) 17-B.Aubrey 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 20 — PHI 21
  8. Q3 · 8:35PHI Field goal

    (8:35) 4-J.Elliott 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: DAL 20 — PHI 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysEagles
Offensive plays5559
Total yards307 (edge)305
Yards per play5.6 (edge)5.2
Expected points added / play0.040.16 (edge)
Success rate45%51% (edge)
Dropback rate62%56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.030.25 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.05 (edge)0.05
Third downs7/118/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)46 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1620 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)1
Turnovers10 (edge)

Cowboys outgained Eagles 307–305 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

21/34, 188 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

1.7 expected points added · +0.2% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

19/23, 152 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

1.6 expected points added · +21.8% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

14 att, 62 yds, 2 TD

5.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

18 att, 60 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

7/13 for 110 yds, 0 TD

39% of team targets · 2.5 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Jahan DotsonWR

3/3 for 59 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 1.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 478533:11Touchdown +7
2PHIPHI 3012705:54Touchdown +7
3DALDAL 1211645:59Touchdown +7
4PHIPHI 3514658:10Touchdown +7
5DALDAL 3111314:12Field goal +3
6PHIPHI 1910811:43Touchdown +7
7DALDAL 128290:51Field goal +3
8PHIPHI 2811326:30Field goal +3
9DALDAL 2910643:46Fumble
10PHIPHI 16471:34Punt
11DALDAL 267233:24Punt
12PHIPHI 1312327:26Punt
13DALDAL 115162:37Punt
14PHIPHI 24471:41Punt
15DALDAL 187271:08Turnover on downs
16PHIDAL 446111:54End of game

8 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 81 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott21/341880001.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Javonte Williams15543.622.9
Miles Sanders45313.30-2.3
KaVontae Turpin294.500.4
Dak Prescott133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb713110039%2.5
George Pickens3430012%1.5
Jake Ferguson5623018%0.4
KaVontae Turpin221806%1.1
Javonte Williams231009%-1.9
Luke Schoonmaker01003%-0.5
Brevyn Spann-Ford01003%-0.5
Jalen Tolbert12006%-0.8
Miles Sanders11-303%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Malik Hooker450.000
Kenneth Murray, Jr.450.000
Kaiir Elam420.000
Damone Clark330.000
Kenny Clark230.000
Sam Williams320.000
Jack Sanborn140.000
Solomon Thomas220.000
Marist Liufau300.000
Osa Odighizuwa120.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts19/231520011.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jalen Hurts14624.425.5
Saquon Barkley18603.31-1.2
Will Shipley3268.701.7
AJ Dillon3103.300.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jahan Dotson3359015%1.7
Dallas Goedert7744035%2.1
Saquon Barkley4524025%1.7
DeVonta Smith3316015%0.7
A.J. Brown11805%0.1
Kylen Granson11105%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zack Baun630.001
Adoree' Jackson520.001
Jordan Davis330.001
Cooper DeJean320.001
Quinyon Mitchell310.001
Nolan Smith130.000
Jakorian Bennett300.000
Jihaad Campbell030.001
Reed Blankenship300.000
Andrew Mukuba210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -8.5
Closing total
47.5
DAL moneyline
+330
PHI moneyline
-425

Eagles closed -8.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 44 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
75°F, wind 11 mph
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
DAL 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Brian Schottenheimer vs Nick Sirianni

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.