2025 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · Lambeau Field
Detroit Lions
13
Green Bay PackersWinner
27
Green Bay Packers 27–13. Biggest swing: Q1 9:31, GB +9% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(9:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 9:31GB +9% win prob(9:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 9:27GB +9% win prob(9:27) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to DET 17 for 48 yards (4-D.Reed; 6-T.Arnold).
- Q1 · 6:05GB +7% win prob(6:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 11-J.Reed to DET 23 for 26 yards (21-A.Robertson).
- Q2 · 1:12DET +7% win prob(1:12) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Williams at GB 13. 33-E.Williams to GB 13 for no gain (14-A.St. Brown).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 9:31GB Touchdown
(9:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 0 — GB 7 - Q1 · 4:02GB Field goal
(4:02) 17-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: DET 0 — GB 10 - Q2 · 9:30DET Field goal
(9:30) 39-J.Bates 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 3 — GB 10 - Q2 · 8:39GB Touchdown
(8:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 11-J.Reed for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 3 — GB 17 - Q3 · 9:43DET Field goal
(9:43) 39-J.Bates 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 6 — GB 17 - Q4 · 8:00GB Touchdown
(8:00) (No Huddle) 8-J.Jacobs left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 6 — GB 24 - Q4 · 4:25GB Field goal
(4:25) 17-B.McManus 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: DET 6 — GB 27 - Q4 · 1:00DET Touchdown
(1:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 18-I.TeSlaa. The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 18-I.TeSlaa for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 13 — GB 27
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Lions | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 46 |
| Total yards | 247 | 267 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.9 | 5.8 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.06 | 0.20 (edge) |
| Success rate | 42% | 43% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 50% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.03 | 0.43 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.26 | -0.03 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/15 | 4/10 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 5 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 (edge) | 12 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs -0.06.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DET
31/39, 225 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
1.4 expected points added · +11.3% completion over expected
Passing · GB
16/22, 188 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
10.1 expected points added · +13.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 17 | 14 | 68 | 5:34 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | DET | DET 24 | 5 | 1 | 2:34 | Punt | |
| 3 | GB | GB 48 | 7 | 36 | 2:54 | Field goal +3 | |
| 4 | DET | DET 10 | 17 | 68 | 9:31 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | GB | GB 35 | 4 | 65 | 0:53 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | DET | DET 29 | 14 | 55 | 7:24 | Interception | |
| 7 | GB | GB 13 | 4 | 9 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 8 | DET | DET 18 | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | End of half | |
| 9 | DET | DET 32 | 10 | 59 | 5:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | GB | GB 24 | 5 | 8 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 11 | DET | DET 21 | 6 | 11 | 3:24 | Punt | |
| 12 | GB | GB 15 | 9 | 34 | 4:15 | Punt | |
| 13 | DET | DET 8 | 4 | -7 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 14 | GB | DET 36 | 9 | 36 | 4:43 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | DET | DET 27 | 5 | 0 | 1:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | GB | DET 27 | 4 | 7 | 2:15 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | DET | DET 35 | 15 | 60 | 3:27 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | GB | DET 49 | 3 | 4 | 0:55 | End of game |
8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 68 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Detroit Lions
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 31/39 | 225 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 11 | 25 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 9 | 19 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Jameson Williams | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Jared Goff | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam LaPorta | 6 | 9 | 79 | 0 | 24% | 2.2 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 4 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 16% | 0.6 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 10 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 26% | -1.3 |
| Jameson Williams | 4 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 13% | 3.5 |
| David Montgomery | 4 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 11% | 0.0 |
| Kalif Raymond | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 8% | 0.9 |
| Isaac TeSlaa | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 3% | 4.3 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Campbell | 5 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrion Arnold | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derrick Barnes | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Branch | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Reed | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Anzalone | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amik Robertson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Davenport | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyleik Williams | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Green Bay Packers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | 16/22 | 188 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10.1 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 19 | 66 | 3.5 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Jordan Love | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Tucker Kraft | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Chris Brooks | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs | 2 | 4 | 68 | 0 | 18% | 3.0 |
| Jayden Reed | 3 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 23% | 2.7 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 9% | 3.4 |
| Tucker Kraft | 2 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 18% | 1.0 |
| Matthew Golden | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 9% | 2.1 |
| Josh Jacobs | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5% | -0.2 |
| Luke Musgrave | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5% | -0.3 |
| Chris Brooks | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5% | -0.5 |
| John FitzPatrick | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5% | -0.6 |
| Savion Williams | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5% | -0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin Cooper | 7 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Bullard | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quay Walker | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Rashan Gary | 3 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Keisean Nixon | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier McKinney | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Niemann | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah McDuffie | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukas Van Ness | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Colby Wooden | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- GB -1.5
- Closing total
- 48.5
- DET moneyline
- +100
- GB moneyline
- -120
Packers closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 14.
Total closed 48.5; the game landed 40 — under by 8.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lambeau Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 60°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Clete Blakeman
- Rest
- DET 7 days · GB 7 days
- Coaches
- Dan Campbell vs Matt LaFleur
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.