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2025 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 14, 2025 · Ford Field

Chicago Bears

21

Detroit LionsWinner

52

DET -6 ✓O 46.5 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 52–21 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 8:38, DET +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DET ↑CHI ↓
Q1 · 8:38CHI 6 — DET 7CHI ball · 3rd & 9DET 77%

(8:38) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 15-R.Odunze for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 8:38DET +8% win prob(8:38) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 15-R.Odunze for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 0:38CHI +7% win prob(:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Swift left end to DET 32 for 1 yard (32-B.Branch). FUMBLES (32-B.Branch), touched at DET 32, RECOVERED by DET-46-J.Campbell at DET 30. 46-J.Campbell to DET 32 for 2 yards (73-J.Jackson).
  3. Q2 · 2:00DET +7% win prob(2:00) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 15-R.Odunze for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q2 · 13:19CHI +6% win prob(13:19) 18-C.Williams up the middle to CHI 37 for no gain (55-D.Barnes). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:17DET Touchdown

    (12:17) 0-J.Gibbs left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — DET 7
  2. Q1 · 8:38CHI Touchdown

    (8:38) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 15-R.Odunze for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — DET 7
  3. Q1 · 2:45DET Touchdown

    (2:45) (No Huddle) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — DET 14
  4. Q2 · 4:53DET Touchdown

    (4:53) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 89-B.Wright for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — DET 21
  5. Q2 · 2:00CHI Touchdown

    (2:00) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 15-R.Odunze for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 14 — DET 21
  6. Q2 · 0:06DET Touchdown

    (:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 14 — DET 28
  7. Q3 · 10:43DET Field goal

    (10:43) 39-J.Bates 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: CHI 14 — DET 31
  8. Q3 · 6:28DET Touchdown

    (6:28) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 1-J.Williams for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 14 — DET 38
  9. Q4 · 15:00DET Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 14 — DET 45
  10. Q4 · 11:47CHI Touchdown

    (11:47) (No Huddle) 4-D.Swift up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 21 — DET 45
  11. Q4 · 8:03DET Touchdown

    (8:03) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 21 — DET 52

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsLions
Offensive plays6458
Total yards339511 (edge)
Yards per play5.38.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.170.41 (edge)
Success rate36%55% (edge)
Dropback rate63%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.010.81 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.460.01 (edge)
Third downs7/13 (edge)4/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)910 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1825 (edge)
Sacks taken40 (edge)
Turnovers20 (edge)

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.41 expected points added per play vs -0.17.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

23/28, 334 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT

24.1 expected points added · +14.9% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

19/30, 207 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-1.0 expected points added · -5.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

12 att, 94 yds, 1 TD

2.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

12 att, 63 yds, 1 TD

-3.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

Rome OdunzeWR

7/11 for 128 yds, 2 TD

33% of team targets · 12.2 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

9/11 for 115 yds, 3 TD

39% of team targets · 12.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DETDET 407602:47Touchdown +7
2CHICHI 2610793:43Touchdown +7
3DETDET 306201:38Punt
4CHICHI 10481:49Punt
5DET505502:24Touchdown +7
6CHICHI 367322:08Fumble
7DETDET 32410:51Punt
8CHICHI 28491:26Turnover on downs
9DETCHI 37401:17Missed field goal
10CHICHI 454172:12Interception
11DETDET 339674:57Touchdown +7
12CHICHI 439572:53Touchdown +7
13DETDET 2410761:53Touchdown +7
14CHI—100:02End of half
15CHICHI 24561:18Punt
16DETDET 245603:03Field goal +3
17CHICHI 316152:58Turnover on downs
18DETCHI 464461:19Touchdown +7
19CHICHI 31762:03Punt
20DETDET 168844:23Touchdown +7
21CHICHI 4010473:11Touchdown +7
22DETCHI 438433:47Touchdown +7
23CHICHI 17551:56Punt
24DETDET 29442:01Punt
25CHICHI 158584:01End of game

11 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 84 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Caleb Williams19/30207214-1.0
Tyson Bagent2/3270000.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift12635.31-3.6
Kyle Monangai7284.00-3.9
Caleb Williams5275.40-3.6
Olamide Zaccheaus199.000.9
Tyson Bagent273.50-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rome Odunze711128233%12.2
DJ Moore5646018%2.2
Cole Kmet222906%2.7
Olamide Zaccheaus2512015%-6.8
Kyle Monangai13809%-0.6
D'Andre Swift33609%-1.3
Luther Burden III12506%-1.2
Colston Loveland01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tremaine Edmunds610.000
Jaquan Brisker520.000
Tyrique Stevenson420.000
Noah Sewell320.000
Montez Sweat310.000
Kevin Byard310.000
Nick McCloud300.000
Jonathan Owens210.000
Dominique Robinson100.000
Jaylon Johnson100.000

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff23/2833450024.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jahmyr Gibbs12947.812.2
David Montgomery11575.21-1.2
Kalif Raymond199.000.6
Amon-Ra St. Brown273.500.9
Jared Goff166.00-0.5
Craig Reynolds341.30-2.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown911115339%12.8
Jameson Williams24108114%7.4
Isaac TeSlaa112904%0.8
Brock Wright3328111%3.0
Sam LaPorta3426014%-0.2
Kalif Raymond111404%1.2
Jahmyr Gibbs3310011%-0.6
David Montgomery11404%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jack Campbell440.000
Terrion Arnold600.001
Derrick Barnes240.000
Alex Anzalone420.000
D.J. Reed500.000
Brian Branch501.001
Zach Cunningham220.000
Al-Quadin Muhammad311.000
Pat O'Connor220.000
Kerby Joseph210.011

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -6
Closing total
46.5
CHI moneyline
+220
DET moneyline
-270

Lions closed -6 and covered, winning by 31.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 73 — over by 26.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Land Clark
Rest
CHI 6 days · DET 7 days
Coaches
Ben Johnson vs Dan Campbell

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.