2025 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 14, 2025 · M&T Bank Stadium

Cleveland Browns

Baltimore RavensWinner

BAL -12.5 ✓O 46.5 ✓Ravens closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Baltimore Ravens 41–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 12:12, CLE +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 12:12CLE 0 — BAL 3CLE ball · 4th & 8BAL 87%

(12:12) 13-C.Bojorquez punt is BLOCKED by 35-J.Hummel, Center-50-R.Sunahara, RECOVERED by BAL-21-S.Kane at CLE 29. 21-S.Kane to CLE 24 for 5 yards (33-R.Hickman).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 12:12CLE +7% win prob(12:12) 13-C.Bojorquez punt is BLOCKED by 35-J.Hummel, Center-50-R.Sunahara, RECOVERED by BAL-21-S.Kane at CLE 29. 21-S.Kane to CLE 24 for 5 yards (33-R.Hickman).
Q3 · 11:46CLE +6% win prob(11:46) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass deep right intended for 85-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 2-N.Wiggins [0-R.Smith] at BAL 34. 2-N.Wiggins to CLE 5 for 61 yards (75-J.Bitonio).
Q1 · 6:57CLE +5% win prob(6:57) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to BAL 28, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 83-L.Wester to CLE 49 for 23 yards (5-R.Jenkins).
Q1 · 11:36BAL +4% win prob(11:36) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 47 yards to BAL 11, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 83-L.Wester.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 3:10BAL Field goal
(3:10) 33-T.Loop 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Score after this play: CLE 0 — BAL 3
Q2 · 11:17BAL Touchdown
(11:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 16-T.Wallace for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — BAL 10
Q2 · 0:33CLE Field goal
(:33) 25-A.Szmyt 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — BAL 10
Q3 · 12:29BAL Field goal
(12:29) 33-T.Loop 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout. Penalty on CLE-99-C.Thomas, Defensive Offside, declined.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — BAL 13
Q3 · 10:13BAL Touchdown
(10:13) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 81-D.Walker for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 3 — BAL 20
Q3 · 5:08CLE Touchdown
(5:08) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass deep right to 19-C.Tillman for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 10 — BAL 20
Q4 · 13:31BAL Touchdown
(13:31) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 81-D.Walker for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 10 — BAL 27
Q4 · 8:33BAL Touchdown
(8:33) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 40 for -7 yards (95-T.Robinson). FUMBLES (95-T.Robinson) [95-T.Robinson], RECOVERED by BAL-0-R.Smith at BAL 37. 0-R.Smith for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the passer was not down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 10 — BAL 34
Q4 · 4:48BAL Touchdown
(4:48) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 10 — BAL 41
Q4 · 1:55CLE Touchdown
(1:55) (Shotgun) 8-D.Gabriel pass short left to 22-D.Sampson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 17 — BAL 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Ravens
Offensive plays	72	50
Total yards	322 (edge)	246
Yards per play	4.5	4.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.26	0.12 (edge)
Success rate	38%	40% (edge)
Dropback rate	71%	66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.43	0.32 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.14 (edge)	-0.26
Third downs	7/18 (edge)	3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	4
First downs gained on snaps	17 (edge)	12
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Browns outgained Ravens 322–246 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

19/29, 225 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

9.3 expected points added · +6.7% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Joe FlaccoQB

25/45, 199 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-26.7 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Quinshon JudkinsRB

10 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Jerome FordRB

6 att, 31 yds, 0 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BAL

Zay FlowersWR

7/11 for 75 yds, 0 TD

39% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Jerry JeudyWR

4/8 for 51 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · -1.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 22	7	25	3:32	Punt
2	BAL	BAL 11	7	16	3:45	Punt
3	CLE	CLE 15	4	4	0:58	Punt
4	BAL	CLE 49	8	24	3:39	Field goal +3
5	CLE	CLE 40	5	-4	0:56	Punt
6	BAL	BAL 22	4	-3	2:18	Punt
7	CLE	CLE 28	7	17	2:46	Punt
8	BAL	CLE 24	3	23	0:53	Touchdown +7
9	CLE	CLE 28	8	32	3:10	Punt
10	BAL	BAL 9	4	6	1:21	Punt
11	CLE	CLE 28	6	18	2:57	Punt
12	BAL	BAL 4	4	9	1:52	Punt
13	CLE	BAL 48	7	28	1:24	Field goal +3
14	BAL	BAL 26	5	6	0:29	Punt
15	BAL	BAL 35	8	55	2:34	Field goal +3
16	CLE	CLE 40	4	6	0:57	Interception
17	BAL	CLE 5	5	5	1:20	Touchdown +7
18	CLE	CLE 29	13	71	5:07	Touchdown +7
19	BAL	BAL 34	12	81	6:36	Touchdown +7
20	CLE	CLE 29	12	44	5:07	Defensive touchdown
21	CLE	CLE 25	7	16	2:02	Turnover on downs
22	BAL	CLE 36	4	24	1:34	Touchdown +7
23	CLE	CLE 35	9	65	2:53	Touchdown +7
24	BAL	BAL 29	4	0	1:50	End of game

9 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 81 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	25/45	199	1	1	2	-26.7
Dillon Gabriel	3/3	19	1	0	0	3.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Quinshon Judkins	10	61	6.1	1.3
Jerome Ford	6	31	5.2	1.6
Isaiah Bond	1	9	9.0	0.9
Joe Flacco	1	8	8.0	1.3
Dylan Sampson	4	6	1.5	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jerry Jeudy	4	8	51	0	20%	-1.4
Harold Fannin Jr.	5	5	48	0	12%	1.6
David Njoku	4	5	40	0	12%	-5.2
Jerome Ford	5	6	23	0	15%	-2.1
Cedric Tillman	2	7	22	1	17%	-0.4
Dylan Sampson	3	3	13	1	7%	1.8
Quinshon Judkins	3	3	10	0	7%	-1.1
Isaiah Bond	1	3	6	0	7%	-1.4
Jamari Thrash	1	1	5	0	2%	1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Devin Bush	4	4	1.0	2
Greg Newsome II	5	1	0.0	0
Mason Graham	3	2	0.0	0
Grant Delpit	3	2	0.0	1
Carson Schwesinger	2	3	0.0	0
Rayshawn Jenkins	2	2	0.0	0
Ronnie Hickman Jr.	2	2	0.0	0
Myles Garrett	1	3	1.5	0
Cameron Thomas	1	2	0.5	0
Myles Harden	1	0	0.0	1

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Lamar Jackson	19/29	225	4	0	3	9.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Derrick Henry	11	23	2.1	-2.8
Lamar Jackson	2	13	6.5	0.8
Justice Hill	3	7	2.3	-1.5
Zay Flowers	1	4	4.0	-0.2
Mark Andrews	1	2	2.0	0.7
Cooper Rush	3	-4	-1.3	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Zay Flowers	7	11	75	0	39%	3.7
DeAndre Hopkins	2	2	64	1	7%	6.7
Devontez Walker	2	2	26	2	7%	7.2
Tylan Wallace	2	2	25	1	7%	3.7
Justice Hill	3	3	18	0	11%	-1.8
Rashod Bateman	2	4	15	0	14%	-1.3
Mark Andrews	1	3	2	0	11%	-3.6
Zaire Mitchell-Paden	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Roquan Smith	7	7	0.0	0	0
Tavius Robinson	4	2	1.0	0	0
Teddye Buchanan	2	4	0.0	0	0
Malaki Starks	3	3	0.0	0	0
Kyle Hamilton	3	2	0.0	0	0
Chidobe Awuzie	3	2	0.0	0	0
Trenton Simpson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Keyon Martin	4	0	0.0	0	0
Marlon Humphrey	3	0	0.0	0	1
Nate Wiggins	2	1	0.0	1	3

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -12.5
Closing total: 46.5
CLE moneyline: +600
BAL moneyline: -900

Ravens closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 58 — over by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 82°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: CLE 7 days · BAL 7 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs John Harbaugh

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.