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2025 Week 2 · Mon, Sep 15, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

20

Las Vegas Raiders

9

LAC -3.5 ✓U 46.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 20–9. Biggest swing: Q2 2:00, LV +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LV ↑LAC ↓
Q2 · 2:00LAC 16 — LV 6LAC ball · 2nd & 3LAC 79%

(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 2:00LV +11% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 11:46LV +7% win prob(11:46) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 10-D.Thornton to LAC 40 for 20 yards (32-A.Gilman).
  3. Q1 · 14:53LAC +7% win prob(14:53) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right intended for 1-T.Tucker INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Henley (32-A.Gilman) at LV 33. 0-D.Henley to LV 25 for 8 yards (87-M.Mayer).
  4. Q1 · 9:53LAC +7% win prob(9:53) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at LAC 36 for -10 yards (52-K.Mack).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 13:47LAC Field goal

    (13:47) 11-C.Dicker 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 3 — LV 0
  2. Q1 · 9:07LV Field goal

    (9:07) 8-D.Carlson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LAC 3 — LV 3
  3. Q1 · 0:28LAC Touchdown

    (:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 13-K.Allen for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 10 — LV 3
  4. Q2 · 9:58LV Field goal

    (9:58) 8-D.Carlson 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LAC 10 — LV 6
  5. Q2 · 2:00LAC Touchdown

    (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 17 — LV 6
  6. Q3 · 7:33LAC Field goal

    (7:33) 11-C.Dicker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 20 — LV 6
  7. Q4 · 11:19LV Field goal

    (11:19) 8-D.Carlson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LAC 20 — LV 9

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersRaiders
Offensive plays5365
Total yards319 (edge)218
Yards per play6.0 (edge)3.4
Expected points added / play-0.02 (edge)-0.39
Success rate43% (edge)31%
Dropback rate60%74%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.40 (edge)-0.46
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.67-0.20 (edge)
Third downs4/119/18 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)56 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps14 (edge)13
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers1 (edge)3

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.39.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

19/27, 242 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.2 expected points added · +0.3% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Geno SmithQB

24/43, 180 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-23.1 expected points added · -15.3% completion over expected

Rushing · LV

Ashton JeantyRB

11 att, 43 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

9 att, 31 yds, 0 TD

-10.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Quentin JohnstonWR

3/7 for 71 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Jakobi MeyersWR

6/12 for 68 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · -3.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LVLV 24200:15Interception
2LACLV 25451:02Field goal +3
3LVLV 2211344:41Field goal +3
4LACLAC 35551:05Punt
5LVLV 16432:23Punt
6LACLAC 289605:14Touchdown +7
7LVLV 3512485:26Field goal +3
8LACLAC 32541:48Punt
9LVLV 117263:32Punt
10LACLAC 96912:43Touchdown +7
11LVLV 285170:47Interception
12LACLAC 14191:04End of half
13LACLAC 2613727:30Field goal +3
14LVLV 20206711:15Field goal +3
15LACLAC 208303:05Turnover on downs
16LVLAC 436232:12Interception
17LACLAC 20461:35Punt
18LVLV 334-40:32Turnover on downs
19LACLV 29100:06Fumble
20LVLV 30440:40Turnover on downs
21LACLV 347273:05End of game

7 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 91 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert19/2724220210.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Justin Herbert9313.40-10.2
Najee Harris8283.50-0.8
Omarion Hampton8243.00-3.4
Quentin Johnston1-2-2.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Quentin Johnston3771126%2.2
Keenan Allen5761126%5.7
Ladd McConkey5548019%3.1
Tre Harris2334011%1.6
Najee Harris222007%1.4
Will Dissly11704%-0.0
Omarion Hampton12107%-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Daiyan Henley631.012
Tarheeb Still620.002
Derwin James340.002
Tony Jefferson230.012
Tuli Tuipulotu410.002
Alohi Gilman210.002
Naquan Jones210.001
Hassan Haskins200.000
Cam Hart200.000
Justin Eboigbe110.000

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith24/43180033-23.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ashton Jeanty11433.90-1.0
Geno Smith5204.001.1
Tre Tucker177.000.3
Zamir White2-2-1.00-2.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jakobi Meyers61268028%-3.5
Brock Bowers5838019%1.3
Dont'e Thornton Jr.142009%-0.8
Dylan Laube221705%0.5
Zamir White231507%-0.7
Tre Tucker3812019%-9.0
Michael Mayer22905%-0.1
Ashton Jeanty34109%-3.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devin White520.000
Jeremy Chinn700.001
Germaine Pratt420.002
Elandon Roberts230.000
Isaiah Pola-Mao320.000
Jonah Laulu212.000
Jamal Adams300.000
Kyu Blu Kelly200.001
Leki Fotu110.000
Dont'e Thornton Jr.100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -3.5
Closing total
46.5
LAC moneyline
-198
LV moneyline
+164

Chargers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 11.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 29 — under by 17.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Clay Martin
Rest
LAC 10 days · LV 8 days
Coaches
Jim Harbaugh vs Pete Carroll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.