2025 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 14, 2025 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Kansas City Chiefs

PHI -1.5 ✓U 46.5 ✓Eagles closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Philadelphia Eagles 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 13:07, PHI +29% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 13:07PHI 13 — KC 10KC ball · 2nd & 6KC 53%

(13:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 24-A.Mukuba [98-J.Carter] at PHI 0. 24-A.Mukuba pushed ob at PHI 41 for 41 yards (71-J.Simmons).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 13:07PHI +29% win prob(13:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 24-A.Mukuba [98-J.Carter] at PHI 0. 24-A.Mukuba pushed ob at PHI 41 for 41 yards (71-J.Simmons).
Q2 · 6:00KC +13% win prob(6:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to PHI 24 for 18 yards (24-A.Mukuba) [53-Z.Baun].
Q4 · 3:07KC +13% win prob(3:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 80-T.Thornton for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 13:00PHI +13% win prob(13:00) 66-M.Caliendo reported in as eligible. 29-K.Hunt right guard to KC 35 for -1 yards (98-J.Carter, 3-N.Smith). FUMBLES (3-N.Smith), and recovers at KC 35.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 0:51PHI Touchdown
(:51) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — KC 0
Q2 · 11:48KC Field goal
(11:48) 7-H.Butker 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: PHI 7 — KC 3
Q2 · 2:53KC Touchdown
(2:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — KC 10
Q2 · 0:02PHI Field goal
(:02) 4-J.Elliott 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 10 — KC 10
Q3 · 11:33PHI Field goal
(11:33) 4-J.Elliott 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 13 — KC 10
Q4 · 7:53PHI Touchdown
(7:53) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 20 — KC 10
Q4 · 3:07KC Touchdown
(3:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 80-T.Thornton for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 20 — KC 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Chiefs
Offensive plays	56	57
Total yards	218	294 (edge)
Yards per play	3.9	5.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.00 (edge)	-0.14
Success rate	43% (edge)	40%
Dropback rate	45%	67%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18	-0.02 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.14 (edge)	-0.37
Third downs	5/14 (edge)	4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	2
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Chiefs outgained Eagles 294–218 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

16/29, 187 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-7.2 expected points added · -5.8% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

15/22, 101 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-4.9 expected points added · +4.4% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

22 att, 88 yds, 1 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

7 att, 66 yds, 1 TD

6.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Travis KelceTE

4/6 for 61 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · -0.3 expected points added

Receiving · KC

Tyquan ThorntonWR

2/5 for 59 yds, 1 TD

17% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 31	8	9	4:37	Punt
2	KC	KC 9	4	7	0:48	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 22	4	0	1:12	Punt
4	KC	KC 35	8	30	3:29	Missed field goal
5	PHI	PHI 48	9	52	4:08	Touchdown +7
6	KC	KC 31	9	31	4:04	Field goal +3
7	PHI	PHI 24	5	15	3:21	Punt
8	KC	KC 31	11	69	5:37	Touchdown +7
9	PHI	PHI 23	10	37	2:44	Field goal +3
10	KC	KC 27	5	8	2:04	Turnover on downs
11	PHI	KC 35	4	2	1:28	Field goal +3
12	KC	KC 29	5	5	0:58	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 10	7	32	4:23	Punt
14	KC	KC 20	14	74	8:11	Interception
15	PHI	PHI 41	11	44	5:08	Touchdown +7
16	KC	KC 26	5	3	0:51	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 16	7	16	2:33	Punt
18	KC	KC 28	7	67	1:24	Touchdown +7
19	PHI	KC 41	6	11	3:00	End of game

7 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 74 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a interception.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	15/22	101	0	0	2	-4.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	22	88	4.0	1	1.4
AJ Dillon	3	19	6.3	0	0.1
Jalen Hurts	9	15	1.7	1	1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
DeVonta Smith	4	6	53	29%	2.5
A.J. Brown	5	8	27	38%	-2.3
Saquon Barkley	2	2	6	10%	-0.6
Grant Calcaterra	1	2	6	10%	-1.5
Kylen Granson	1	1	5	5%	0.4
Jahan Dotson	1	1	4	5%	-0.0
John Metchie III	1	1	0	5%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jihaad Campbell	5	2	0.0	0	0
Cooper DeJean	5	2	0.0	0	0
Zack Baun	5	1	0.0	0	0
Jordan Davis	3	2	0.0	0	2
Andrew Mukuba	4	1	0.5	1	1
Za'Darius Smith	2	2	0.5	0	0
Joshua Uche	2	2	0.0	0	0
Kylen Granson	2	1	0.0	0	0
Quinyon Mitchell	3	0	0.0	0	0
Kelee Ringo	1	1	0.0	0	0

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Patrick Mahomes	16/29	187	1	1	2	-7.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Patrick Mahomes	7	66	9.4	1	6.4
Kareem Hunt	8	31	3.9	0	-2.9
Isiah Pacheco	10	22	2.2	0	-3.7
Brashard Smith	1	2	2.0	0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Travis Kelce	4	6	61	0	21%	-0.3
Tyquan Thornton	2	5	59	1	17%	3.1
Marquise Brown	5	5	30	0	17%	-0.0
Nikko Remigio	1	1	21	0	3%	2.2
Isiah Pacheco	1	2	7	0	7%	-0.0
JuJu Smith-Schuster	1	3	5	0	10%	-1.6
Kareem Hunt	1	1	3	0	3%	-1.3
Noah Gray	1	5	1	0	17%	-4.0
Brashard Smith	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Jaylen Watson	2	7	0
Chamarri Conner	3	6	0
Drue Tranquill	4	2	0
Nick Bolton	3	3	0
Bryan Cook	4	0	1
Derrick Nnadi	1	3	0
Leo Chenal	2	2	0
George Karlaftis	1	2	0
Ashton Gillotte	1	2	0
Trent McDuffie	3	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -1.5
Closing total: 46.5
PHI moneyline: -122
KC moneyline: +102

Eagles closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 37 — under by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 88°F, wind 12 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: PHI 10 days · KC 9 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Andy Reid