2025 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · U.S. Bank Stadium

Cincinnati Bengals

Minnesota VikingsWinner

MIN -3 ✓O 41.5 ✓DomeVikings closed -3 and covered, winning by 38.

Minnesota Vikings 48–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 6:25, CIN +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 6:25CIN 0 — MIN 13CIN ball · 2nd & 9MIN 66%

(6:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass deep right intended for 30-C.Brown INTERCEPTED by 2-I.Rodgers (22-H.Smith) [0-I.Pace] at MIN 13. 2-I.Rodgers for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 6:25CIN +23% win prob(6:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass deep right intended for 30-C.Brown INTERCEPTED by 2-I.Rodgers (22-H.Smith) [0-I.Pace] at MIN 13. 2-I.Rodgers for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 2:00CIN +9% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass short right to 86-N.Fant to MIN 32 for 4 yards (2-I.Rodgers). FUMBLES (2-I.Rodgers), RECOVERED by MIN-2-I.Rodgers at MIN 34. 2-I.Rodgers for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 14:41MIN +6% win prob(14:41) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson to CIN 48 for 1 yard (23-D.Hill). PENALTY on CIN-23-D.Hill, Low Block, 15 yards, enforced at CIN 48.
Q1 · 13:01MIN +5% win prob(13:01) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 84-J.Oliver for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 13:01MIN Touchdown
(13:01) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 84-J.Oliver for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 0 — MIN 7
Q1 · 6:25MIN Touchdown
(6:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass deep right intended for 30-C.Brown INTERCEPTED by 2-I.Rodgers (22-H.Smith) [0-I.Pace] at MIN 13. 2-I.Rodgers for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 0 — MIN 14
Q2 · 9:23MIN Field goal
(9:23) 16-W.Reichard 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: CIN 0 — MIN 17
Q2 · 4:46CIN Field goal
(4:46) 2-E.McPherson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — MIN 17
Q2 · 2:00MIN Touchdown
(2:00) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass short right to 86-N.Fant to MIN 32 for 4 yards (2-I.Rodgers). FUMBLES (2-I.Rodgers), RECOVERED by MIN-2-I.Rodgers at MIN 34. 2-I.Rodgers for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — MIN 24
Q2 · 0:36MIN Touchdown
(:36) (Shotgun) 27-J.Mason left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — MIN 31
Q2 · 0:03MIN Field goal
(:03) 16-W.Reichard 62 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — MIN 34
Q3 · 6:04MIN Touchdown
(6:04) 27-J.Mason up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — MIN 41
Q3 · 0:20MIN Touchdown
(:20) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — MIN 48
Q4 · 11:20CIN Touchdown
(11:20) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass short left to 89-D.Sample for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIN-8-J.Okudah, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 10 — MIN 48

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Vikings
Offensive plays	52	58
Total yards	171	352 (edge)
Yards per play	3.3	6.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.79	0.12 (edge)
Success rate	29%	52% (edge)
Dropback rate	60%	50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-1.09	0.12 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.34	0.12 (edge)
Third downs	3/11	4/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	2	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	10	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	3 (edge)
Turnovers	5	0 (edge)

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.12 expected points added per play vs -0.79.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIN

Carson WentzQB

14/20, 173 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.4 expected points added · +3.8% completion over expected

Passing · CIN

Jake BrowningQB

19/27, 140 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-18.1 expected points added · +0.4% completion over expected

Rushing · MIN

Jordan MasonRB

16 att, 116 yds, 2 TD

5.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIN

Zavier ScottRB

8 att, 30 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIN

Justin JeffersonWR

5/7 for 75 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · CIN

Ja'Marr ChaseWR

5/6 for 50 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · -3.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	MIN	MIN 36	8	44	2:03	Touchdown +7
2	CIN	CIN 29	5	0	1:41	Punt
3	MIN	MIN 26	4	-4	2:27	Punt
4	CIN	CIN 48	5	23	2:41	Defensive touchdown
5	CIN	CIN 25	5	-7	2:22	Punt
6	MIN	MIN 43	4	4	2:07	Punt
7	CIN	CIN 7	7	14	2:51	Punt
8	MIN	CIN 43	10	36	4:28	Field goal +3
9	CIN	CIN 25	10	33	4:38	Field goal +3
10	MIN	MIN 23	5	4	1:50	Punt
11	CIN	MIN 48	3	14	1:05	Defensive touchdown
12	CIN	CIN 27	3	15	0:26	Fumble
13	MIN	MIN 48	4	52	0:48	Touchdown +7
14	CIN	CIN 30	2	5	0:13	Fumble
15	MIN	CIN 47	4	8	0:20	Field goal +3
16	CIN	CIN 24	5	3	2:18	Punt
17	MIN	MIN 26	11	89	6:42	Touchdown +7
18	CIN	CIN 30	6	24	2:11	Interception
19	MIN	MIN 32	7	68	3:32	Touchdown +7
20	CIN	CIN 35	9	45	4:05	Touchdown +7
21	MIN	MIN 35	5	1	0:59	Punt
22	CIN	CIN 20	4	-4	2:16	Punt
23	MIN	MIN 43	4	11	1:59	Punt
24	CIN	CIN 9	4	6	2:17	Punt
25	MIN	MIN 44	6	39	3:41	End of game

8 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 89 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jake Browning	19/27	140	1	2	3	-18.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Samaje Perine	4	21	5.3	-0.6
Tahj Brooks	5	17	3.4	-1.0
Ja'Marr Chase	1	9	9.0	0.7
Jake Browning	1	3	3.0	0.1
Chase Brown	10	3	0.3	-6.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Ja'Marr Chase	5	6	50	0	23%	-3.9
Noah Fant	5	5	26	0	19%	-9.8
Drew Sample	2	3	20	1	12%	2.7
Chase Brown	4	5	17	0	19%	-11.4
Tee Higgins	1	2	15	0	8%	1.9
Mike Gesicki	1	3	6	0	12%	-4.7
Cam Grandy	1	1	6	0	4%	0.2
Mitchell Tinsley	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Jordan Battle	5	2	0.0
Kris Jenkins	2	4	1.5
Demetrius Knight Jr.	3	3	0.0
Oren Burks	2	3	0.0
Logan Wilson	2	3	0.0
Geno Stone	3	1	0.0
Myles Murphy	1	3	0.5
Barrett Carter	1	3	0.0
B.J. Hill	1	2	0.0
Cameron Sample	2	1	0.0

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	14/20	173	2	0	3	9.4
Max Brosmer	2/4	29	0	0	0	-3.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jordan Mason	16	116	7.3	2	5.1
Zavier Scott	8	30	3.8	0	-0.7
Cam Akers	5	19	3.8	0	-0.9
Carson Wentz	2	4	2.0	0	-2.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Justin Jefferson	5	7	75	0	29%	4.8
T.J. Hockenson	5	6	49	1	25%	6.1
Jalen Nailor	3	5	37	0	21%	1.2
Zavier Scott	1	1	20	0	4%	-1.1
Josh Oliver	1	1	12	1	4%	2.5
Tai Felton	1	1	9	0	4%	-0.5
Cam Akers	0	1	0	0	4%	-1.4
Adam Thielen	0	2	0	0	8%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Ivan Pace Jr.	6	3	0.0	0	0
Eric Wilson	4	2	0.0	0	0
Levi Drake Rodriguez	3	1	0.0	0	0
Chaz Chambliss	3	1	1.0	0	0
Josh Metellus	3	1	0.0	1	1
Byron Murphy	2	1	0.0	0	1
Isaiah Rodgers	3	0	0.0	1	2
Jeff Okudah	3	0	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Allen	1	2	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Greenard	2	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIN -3
Closing total: 41.5
CIN moneyline: +136
MIN moneyline: -162

Vikings closed -3 and covered, winning by 38.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 58 — over by 16.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Ron Torbert
Rest: CIN 7 days · MIN 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Kevin O'Connell