2025 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Green Bay Packers

Cleveland BrownsWinner

GB -8.5 upsetU 41.5 ✓Packers closed -8.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Cleveland Browns 13–10 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:27, GB +35% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:27GB 10 — CLE 10GB ball · 4th & 13GB 83%

(:27) 17-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-S.Harris), Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan, RECOVERED by CLE-0-G.Newsome at CLE 47.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:27GB +35% win prob(:27) 17-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-S.Harris), Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan, RECOVERED by CLE-0-G.Newsome at CLE 47.
Q4 · 0:02CLE +26% win prob(:02) 25-A.Szmyt 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. Penalty on GB-25-K.Nixon, Defensive Offside, declined.
Q4 · 3:18GB +18% win prob(3:18) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left intended for 13-D.Wicks INTERCEPTED by 9-G.Delpit at GB 29. 9-G.Delpit pushed ob at GB 4 for 25 yards (75-S.Rhyan).
Q4 · 0:12CLE +15% win prob(:12) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short middle to 85-D.Njoku to GB 37 for 8 yards (33-E.Williams).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q2 · 14:57GB Field goal
(14:57) 17-B.McManus 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: GB 3 — CLE 0
Q3 · 3:29GB Touchdown
(3:29) (No Huddle) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 86-J.FitzPatrick for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 10 — CLE 0
Q4 · 3:45CLE Field goal
(3:45) 25-A.Szmyt 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: GB 10 — CLE 3
Q4 · 3:04CLE Touchdown
(3:04) 74-T.Jenkins and 98-A.Huntington reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 10 — CLE 10
Q4 · 0:02CLE Field goal
(:02) 25-A.Szmyt 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. Penalty on GB-25-K.Nixon, Defensive Offside, declined.
Score after this play: GB 10 — CLE 13

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Packers	Browns
Offensive plays	60	56
Total yards	231 (edge)	221
Yards per play	3.9	3.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.08 (edge)	-0.15
Success rate	37% (edge)	29%
Dropback rate	52%	66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.03 (edge)	-0.25
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.13	0.04 (edge)
Third downs	10/19 (edge)	4/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3 (edge)	2
First downs gained on snaps	12	12
Sacks taken	5	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

18/25, 183 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-0.9 expected points added · -2.7% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Joe FlaccoQB

21/36, 142 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-8.7 expected points added · -3.4% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Quinshon JudkinsRB

18 att, 94 yds, 1 TD

2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Josh JacobsRB

16 att, 30 yds, 0 TD

-3.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Matthew GoldenWR

4/4 for 52 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 3.9 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Josh JacobsRB

5/9 for 44 yds, 0 TD

36% of team targets · -0.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 26	10	30	4:34	Punt
2	GB	GB 20	4	3	1:12	Punt
3	CLE	CLE 21	4	16	1:58	Punt
4	GB	GB 36	13	48	7:23	Field goal +3
5	CLE	CLE 35	8	13	4:01	Punt
6	GB	GB 12	13	40	8:50	Punt
7	CLE	CLE 20	9	47	1:58	Interception
8	GB	GB 9	1	0	0:04	End of half
9	GB	GB 26	5	4	2:28	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 29	4	-8	1:28	Punt
11	GB	GB 29	15	76	7:41	Touchdown +7
12	CLE	CLE 26	7	20	2:11	Punt
13	GB	GB 35	4	-2	1:23	Punt
14	CLE	CLE 25	8	20	3:20	Punt
15	GB	GB 2	7	35	2:03	Punt
16	CLE	CLE 20	12	71	5:48	Field goal +3
17	GB	GB 18	4	7	0:30	Interception
18	CLE	GB 4	2	1	0:07	Touchdown +7
19	GB	GB 40	6	20	2:40	Missed field goal
20	CLE	CLE 47	5	11	0:21	Field goal +3

5 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 76 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jordan Love	18/25	183	1	1	5	-0.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Josh Jacobs	16	30	1.9	-3.7
Emanuel Wilson	6	25	4.2	0.3
Jordan Love	4	18	4.5	1.5
Matthew Golden	3	9	3.0	-0.4
Savion Williams	2	-1	-0.5	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Matthew Golden	4	4	52	0	16%	3.9
Josh Jacobs	5	9	44	0	36%	-0.0
Tucker Kraft	3	4	29	0	16%	1.4
Romeo Doubs	2	2	25	0	8%	3.6
Dontayvion Wicks	2	4	21	0	16%	-4.0
John FitzPatrick	2	2	12	1	8%	3.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Quay Walker	6	8	0.0	0	1
Xavier McKinney	2	4	0.0	1	1
Isaiah McDuffie	3	3	0.0	0	0
Evan Williams	3	2	0.0	0	0
Edgerrin Cooper	2	2	0.0	0	1
Rashan Gary	3	0	2.0	0	0
Keisean Nixon	3	0	0.0	0	0
Zayne Anderson	1	1	0.0	0	0
Nate Hobbs	2	0	0.0	0	0
Micah Parsons	2	0	0.0	0	0

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	21/36	142	0	1	2	-8.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Quinshon Judkins	18	94	5.2	1	2.1
Dylan Sampson	1	2	2.0	0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
David Njoku	5	7	40	21%	0.5
Cedric Tillman	3	3	26	9%	2.2
Harold Fannin Jr.	3	4	25	12%	0.3
Jerry Jeudy	1	5	17	15%	-0.2
Isaiah Bond	2	4	16	12%	-2.7
Jerome Ford	4	4	10	12%	-1.7
Jamari Thrash	2	3	7	9%	-0.6
Quinshon Judkins	1	2	1	6%	-1.0
Luke Wypler	0	1	0	3%	-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Grant Delpit	6	3	0.0	1	1
Devin Bush	3	4	0.0	0	0
Carson Schwesinger	4	3	1.0	0	0
Myles Garrett	2	4	0.5	0	0
Maliek Collins	2	3	1.5	0	0
Denzel Ward	3	1	0.0	0	1
Joe Tryon-Shoyinka	1	3	0.0	0	0
Adin Huntington	2	2	0.5	0	0
Ronnie Hickman Jr.	4	0	0.0	0	0
Mason Graham	0	3	0.5	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: GB -8.5
Closing total: 41.5
GB moneyline: -470
CLE moneyline: +360

Packers closed -8.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 23 — under by 18.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 79°F, wind 10 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: GB 10 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches: Matt LaFleur vs Kevin Stefanski