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2025 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · MetLife Stadium

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

22

New York Giants

9

KC -6 ✓U 44.5 ✓

Kansas City Chiefs 22–9. Biggest swing: Q2 1:35, KC +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYGKC
Q2 · 1:35KC 6NYG 6KC ball · 2nd & 10KC 69%

(1:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 15 for -7 yards (0-B.Burns). FUMBLES (0-B.Burns), touched at KC 12, and recovers at KC 7.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 1:35KC +11% win prob(1:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 15 for -7 yards (0-B.Burns). FUMBLES (0-B.Burns), touched at KC 12, and recovers at KC 7.
  2. Q2 · 1:49NYG +10% win prob(1:49) 44-C.Skattebo right guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 0:56KC +10% win prob(:56) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right intended for 1-M.Nabers INTERCEPTED by 35-J.Watson at KC -8. Touchback.
  4. Q2 · 0:23NYG +9% win prob(:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 5-M.Brown. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 52 yards, enforced at KC 37 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:49KC Field goal

    (3:49) 7-H.Butker 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

    Score after this play: KC 3NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 9:52KC Field goal

    (9:52) 7-H.Butker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

    Score after this play: KC 6NYG 0
  3. Q2 · 1:49NYG Touchdown

    (1:49) 44-C.Skattebo right guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: KC 6NYG 6
  4. Q2 · 0:04KC Field goal

    (:04) 7-H.Butker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

    Score after this play: KC 9NYG 6
  5. Q3 · 8:26KC Touchdown

    (8:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 80-T.Thornton for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 16NYG 6
  6. Q4 · 10:15NYG Field goal

    (10:15) 9-G.Gano 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan. ** Injury Update: NYG-9-G.Gano has returned to the game.

    Score after this play: KC 16NYG 9
  7. Q4 · 6:07KC Touchdown

    (6:07) 29-K.Hunt right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-29-K.Hunt, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: KC 22NYG 9

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChiefsGiants
Offensive plays6461
Total yards309 (edge)281
Yards per play4.8 (edge)4.6
Expected points added / play0.15 (edge)-0.25
Success rate50% (edge)38%
Dropback rate64%62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.19 (edge)-0.42
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.08 (edge)0.02
Third downs8/14 (edge)1/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)57 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps19 (edge)15
Sacks taken22
Turnovers0 (edge)3

Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.15 expected points added per play vs -0.25.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

22/37, 224 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

8.2 expected points added · -1.5% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Russell WilsonQB

18/32, 160 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-14.8 expected points added · -4.9% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Cam SkatteboRB

10 att, 60 yds, 1 TD

3.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Isiah PachecoRB

10 att, 45 yds, 0 TD

0.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Tyquan ThorntonWR

5/9 for 71 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 6.8 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Cam SkatteboRB

6/8 for 61 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 3111415:54Turnover on downs
2KCKC 2812465:21Field goal +3
3NYGNYG 367173:34Punt
4KCKC 199515:23Field goal +3
5NYGNYG 26431:05Interception
6KCNYG 478253:19Missed field goal
7NYGNYG 309503:40Touchdown +6
8KCKC 225-90:33Punt
9NYGKC 41330:22Interception
10KCKC 207120:49Field goal +3
11KCKC 2613746:38Touchdown +7
12NYGNYG 327203:44Punt
13KCKC 197273:29Punt
14NYGNYG 2012685:57Field goal +3
15KCKC 2311774:09Touchdown +6
16NYGNYG 3713683:32Turnover on downs
17KCKC 10460:27Punt
18NYGNYG 394110:22Turnover on downs
19KCNYG 45301:42End of game

7 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 77 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Patrick Mahomes22/372241028.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Isiah Pacheco10454.500.1
Kareem Hunt10343.410.0
Brashard Smith2136.501.0
Nikko Remigio11111.000.6
Patrick Mahomes520.40-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyquan Thornton5971126%6.8
JuJu Smith-Schuster4455011%4.9
Marquise Brown4642017%0.2
Travis Kelce4726020%0.1
Noah Gray3617017%-1.5
Kareem Hunt111003%1.3
Isiah Pacheco11303%-0.5
Brashard Smith01003%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Russell Wilson18/32160022-14.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cam Skattebo10606.013.5
Tyrone Tracy Jr.7294.10-0.5
Russell Wilson5275.40-2.4
Devin Singletary4112.80-0.6
Jaxson Dart133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cam Skattebo6861027%1.9
Darius Slayton4430013%1.9
Wan'Dale Robinson1426013%0.2
Malik Nabers2713023%-8.0
Theo Johnson121007%-2.3
Tyrone Tracy Jr.237010%-3.5
Chris Manhertz11703%0.4
Daniel Bellinger11603%0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bobby Okereke440.000
Paulson Adebo610.001
Brian Burns511.002
Jevon Holland320.000
Tyler Nubin500.000
Andru Phillips310.002
Cordale Flott210.000
Abdul Carter210.000
Kayvon Thibodeaux110.000
Neville Hewitt200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
KC -6
Closing total
44.5
KC moneyline
-325
NYG moneyline
+260

Chiefs closed -6 and covered, winning by 13.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 31 — under by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
65°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Land Clark
Rest
KC 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches
Andy Reid vs Brian Daboll