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2025 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field

Los Angeles Rams

26

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

33

PHI -3.5 ✓O 45.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 33–26. Biggest swing: Q4 0:03, LA +67% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑LA ↓
Q4 · 0:03LA 26 — PHI 33LA ball · 3rd & 3LA 67%

(:03) 16-J.Karty 44 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-J.Davis), Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans, RECOVERED by PHI-90-J.Davis at PHI 39. 90-J.Davis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:03LA +67% win prob(:03) 16-J.Karty 44 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-J.Davis), Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans, RECOVERED by PHI-90-J.Davis at PHI 39. 90-J.Davis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 1:51PHI +26% win prob(1:51) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 4:48PHI +16% win prob(4:48) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 11-A.Brown ran ob at LA 15 for 23 yards (2-J.McCollough).
  4. Q1 · 1:28PHI +13% win prob(1:28) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:12PHI Touchdown

    (8:12) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q1 · 4:05LA Field goal

    (4:05) 16-J.Karty 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 3 — PHI 7
  3. Q1 · 1:28LA Touchdown

    (1:28) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 10 — PHI 7
  4. Q2 · 9:18LA Field goal

    (9:18) 16-J.Karty 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 13 — PHI 7
  5. Q2 · 3:46LA Field goal

    (3:46) 16-J.Karty 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 16 — PHI 7
  6. Q2 · 0:14LA Field goal

    (:14) 16-J.Karty 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 19 — PHI 7
  7. Q3 · 14:12LA Touchdown

    (14:12) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 26 — PHI 7
  8. Q3 · 11:43PHI Touchdown

    (11:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 88-D.Goedert for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 26 — PHI 14
  9. Q3 · 2:19PHI Touchdown

    (2:19) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 11-A.Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 26 — PHI 21
  10. Q4 · 1:51PHI Touchdown

    (1:51) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 26 — PHI 27
  11. Q4 · 0:03PHI Touchdown

    (:03) 16-J.Karty 44 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-J.Davis), Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans, RECOVERED by PHI-90-J.Davis at PHI 39. 90-J.Davis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 26 — PHI 33

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsEagles
Offensive plays6563
Total yards356 (edge)289
Yards per play5.5 (edge)4.6
Expected points added / play-0.030.02 (edge)
Success rate49% (edge)41%
Dropback rate52%60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.07-0.04 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.010.11 (edge)
Third downs4/11 (edge)5/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)7
First downs gained on snaps22 (edge)18
Sacks taken1 (edge)4
Turnovers11

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.03.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

21/32, 226 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

-0.2 expected points added · +6.0% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

19/33, 196 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-2.5 expected points added · -4.7% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

20 att, 94 yds, 0 TD

-2.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Blake CorumRB

8 att, 53 yds, 0 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

11/15 for 112 yds, 0 TD

45% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

6/10 for 109 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 235131:32Interception
2PHILA 3810375:21Touchdown +7
3LALA 3010374:07Field goal +3
4PHIPHI 205-51:45Punt
5LALA 464540:55Touchdown +7
6PHIPHI 195-81:31Punt
7LALA 3412495:34Field goal +3
8PHIPHI 9531:31Punt
9LALA 468394:01Field goal +3
10PHIPHI 14571:51Punt
11LAPHI 485201:42Field goal +3
12PHIPHI 35200:10End of half
13PHIPHI 10300:48Fumble
14LAPHI 102100:06Touchdown +7
15PHIPHI 217892:28Touchdown +7
16LALA 316202:55Punt
17PHIPHI 1314726:27Touchdown +7
18LALA 309383:09Turnover on downs
19PHIPHI 47431:49Turnover on downs
20LA507323:36Missed field goal
21PHIPHI 918916:54Touchdown +6
22LALA 3011441:48Field goal

10 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 91 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford19/33196211-2.5
Joshua Karty0/10000—

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams20944.70-2.6
Blake Corum8536.602.8
Jordan Whittington273.50-0.2
Puka Nacua166.000.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua1115112045%6.4
Davante Adams3856124%-5.1
Kyren Williams231819%2.4
Jordan Whittington23709%-1.4
Davis Allen11303%-0.0
Tyler Higbee02006%-1.4
Tutu Atwell01003%-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kam Curl530.000
Kamren Kinchens430.001
Quentin Lake240.004
Byron Young421.000
Jared Verse321.000
Omar Speights400.000
Jaylen McCollough211.000
Emmanuel Forbes120.001
Nate Landman120.000
Poona Ford211.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts21/32226304-0.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley18462.60-4.7
Jalen Hurts9404.416.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown610109133%6.0
DeVonta Smith8960130%7.0
Dallas Goedert123317%2.4
Saquon Barkley459017%-2.5
John Metchie III11803%0.3
Jahan Dotson137010%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Cooper DeJean540.000
Jihaad Campbell530.000
Zack Baun340.012
Adoree' Jackson320.000
Quinyon Mitchell410.000
Jordan Davis311.000
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.310.000
Reed Blankenship220.001
Nolan Smith300.000
Sydney Brown120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -3.5
Closing total
45.5
LA moneyline
+164
PHI moneyline
-198

Eagles closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 59 — over by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
73°F, wind 9 mph
Referee
Brad Rogers
Rest
LA 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Nick Sirianni