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2025 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · Lumen Field

New Orleans Saints

13

Seattle SeahawksWinner

44

SEA -7.5 ✓O 41.5 ✓

Seattle Seahawks 44–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 11:42, SEA +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SEA ↑NO ↓
Q1 · 11:42NO 0 — SEA 0SEA ball · 2nd & 10SEA 79%

(11:42) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba pushed ob at NO 26 for 29 yards (1-A.Taylor).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 11:42SEA +6% win prob(11:42) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba pushed ob at NO 26 for 29 yards (1-A.Taylor).
  2. Q1 · 7:51NO +6% win prob(7:51) 32-K.Kroeger punts 61 yards to SEA 5, Center-49-Z.Wood. 15-T.Horton for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 4:58NO +3% win prob(4:58) 32-K.Kroeger punt is BLOCKED by 23-D.Bell, Center-49-Z.Wood, recovered by NO-53-J.Ford at NO 11.
  4. Q1 · 12:30NO +2% win prob(12:30) 2-S.Rattler pass incomplete short right to 83-J.Johnson.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:54SEA Touchdown

    (9:54) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 0 — SEA 7
  2. Q1 · 7:51SEA Touchdown

    (7:51) 32-K.Kroeger punts 61 yards to SEA 5, Center-49-Z.Wood. 15-T.Horton for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 0 — SEA 14
  3. Q1 · 4:27SEA Touchdown

    (4:27) 9-K.Walker left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 0 — SEA 21
  4. Q2 · 12:51NO Field goal

    (12:51) 19-B.Grupe 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.

    Score after this play: NO 3 — SEA 21
  5. Q2 · 11:22SEA Touchdown

    (11:22) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 15-T.Horton for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 3 — SEA 28
  6. Q2 · 7:46SEA Touchdown

    (7:46) 74-J.Jones reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 3 — SEA 35
  7. Q2 · 1:34SEA Field goal

    (1:34) 5-J.Myers 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: NO 3 — SEA 38
  8. Q2 · 0:03NO Field goal

    (:03) 19-B.Grupe 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.

    Score after this play: NO 6 — SEA 38
  9. Q3 · 11:33SEA Field goal

    (11:33) 5-J.Myers 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: NO 6 — SEA 41
  10. Q3 · 4:42SEA Field goal

    (4:42) 5-J.Myers 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: NO 6 — SEA 44
  11. Q4 · 15:00NO Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass short right to 88-J.Stoll for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NO 13 — SEA 44

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSaintsSeahawks
Offensive plays7053
Total yards284321 (edge)
Yards per play4.16.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.120.14 (edge)
Success rate43%45% (edge)
Dropback rate64%40%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.010.77 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.32-0.27 (edge)
Third downs5/153/9
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)17 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1618 (edge)
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers11

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Spencer RattlerQB

28/39, 218 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.4 expected points added · +7.2% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Sam DarnoldQB

14/18, 218 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

17.0 expected points added · +25.0% completion over expected

Rushing · NO

Alvin KamaraRB

18 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

-7.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth Walker IIIRB

16 att, 38 yds, 2 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR

5/6 for 96 yds, 1 TD

30% of team targets · 7.5 expected points added

Receiving · NO

Chris OlaveWR

10/14 for 57 yds, 0 TD

34% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NONO 317242:40Turnover on downs
2SEASEA 457432:32Touchdown +7
3NONO 29592:17Defensive touchdown
4NONO 325182:41Punt
5SEANO 113110:28Touchdown +7
6NONO 2617606:35Field goal +3
7SEANO 385381:29Touchdown +7
8NONO 28541:44Punt
9SEASEA 245611:52Touchdown +7
10NONO 2512474:53Missed field goal
11SEASEA 426241:20Field goal +3
12NONO 268441:29Field goal +3
13SEASEA 358373:31Field goal +3
14NONO 245-21:38Punt
15SEASEA 3511465:12Field goal +3
16NONO 2013654:46Touchdown +7
17SEASEA 35572:08Punt
18NOSEA 44461:40Interception
19SEASEA 255172:13Punt
20NONO 13430:58Punt
21SEASEA 457214:23Fumble
22NONO 34460:54Punt
23SEASEA 234162:37End of game

10 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 65 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Spencer Rattler28/392181121.4
Tyler Shough0/20000-1.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Alvin Kamara18422.30-7.3
Kendre Miller7273.90-0.7
Spencer Rattler2105.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Chris Olave101457034%1.9
Juwan Johnson6851020%1.1
Rashid Shaheed4642015%-0.3
Brandin Cooks3524012%-2.1
Jack Stoll232117%2.0
Alvin Kamara121405%-0.8
Kendre Miller22905%-0.1
Kevin Austin Jr.01002%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Pete Werner660.000
Demario Davis190.000
Nathan Shepherd140.000
Chris Rumph II220.000
Justin Reid400.000
Jonas Sanker210.000
Jordan Howden120.000
Cameron Jordan120.000
Terrell Burgess110.000
Isaac Yiadom200.000

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Sam Darnold14/1821820017.0
Drew Lock2/315000-0.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kenneth Walker III16382.42-0.7
George Holani10272.70-7.5
Jacardia Wright5204.000.0
Jalen Milroe133.00-0.5
Drew Lock1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba5696130%7.5
Tory Horton3432120%1.2
Cooper Kupp2331015%3.7
AJ Barner112305%2.0
George Holani2215010%-0.1
Kenneth Walker III111205%0.6
Dareke Young111205%0.8
Eric Saubert111205%1.8
Elijah Arroyo01005%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Josh Jobe920.001
Ty Okada720.500
Ernest Jones240.000
Riq Woolen510.000
Drake Thomas410.000
Mike Morris320.001
Leonard Williams220.500
Derion Kendrick130.013
Tyrice Knight220.000
Coby Bryant300.002

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -7.5
Closing total
41.5
NO moneyline
+295
SEA moneyline
-375

Seahawks closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 31.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 57 — over by 15.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lumen Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
63°F, wind 3 mph
Referee
Alex Moore
Rest
NO 7 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches
Kellen Moore vs Mike Macdonald