2025 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · Ford Field

Cleveland Browns

Detroit LionsWinner

DET -10 ✓U 44.5 ✓DomeLions closed -10 and covered, winning by 24.

Detroit Lions 34–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 4:36, CLE +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 4:36CLE 7 — DET 10CLE ball · 1st & 10DET 79%

(4:36) 15-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 3-J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by 4-D.Reed [55-D.Barnes] at CLE 39. 4-D.Reed pushed ob at CLE 5 for 34 yards (72-K.Leveston). DET-31-K.Joseph was injured during the play. The Replay

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 4:36CLE +10% win prob(4:36) 15-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 3-J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by 4-D.Reed [55-D.Barnes] at CLE 39. 4-D.Reed pushed ob at CLE 5 for 34 yards (72-K.Leveston). DET-31-K.Joseph was injured during the play. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q1 · 5:41DET +7% win prob(5:41) 98-A.Huntington and 56-L.Wypler reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 3:26DET +6% win prob(3:26) 0-J.Gibbs right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 4:50DET +6% win prob(4:50) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 14-A.St. Brown ran ob at CLE 35 for 25 yards.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 5:41CLE Touchdown
(5:41) 98-A.Huntington and 56-L.Wypler reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — DET 0
Q1 · 3:26DET Touchdown
(3:26) 0-J.Gibbs right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — DET 7
Q2 · 14:20DET Field goal
(14:20) 39-J.Bates 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: CLE 7 — DET 10
Q2 · 3:04DET Touchdown
(3:04) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — DET 17
Q2 · 0:12DET Field goal
(:12) 39-J.Bates 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: CLE 7 — DET 20
Q3 · 6:47CLE Field goal
(6:47) 25-A.Szmyt 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 10 — DET 20
Q4 · 13:56DET Touchdown
(13:56) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 39 yards to DET 35, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 11-K.Raymond for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DET-25-J.Saylors was injured during the play. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 10 — DET 27
Q4 · 4:09DET Touchdown
(4:09) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 10 — DET 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Lions
Offensive plays	64	54
Total yards	250	279 (edge)
Yards per play	3.9	5.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.36	-0.13 (edge)
Success rate	28%	39% (edge)
Dropback rate	59%	50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.56	-0.04 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08 (edge)	-0.22
Third downs	3/14	6/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	5 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	15 (edge)	14
Sacks taken	3	0 (edge)
Turnovers	4	1 (edge)

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.36.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Joe FlaccoQB

16/34, 184 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-19.9 expected points added · -15.2% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

16/27, 168 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-1.0 expected points added · -0.5% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

15 att, 91 yds, 1 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Quinshon JudkinsRB

21 att, 82 yds, 1 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

7/7 for 70 yds, 2 TD

28% of team targets · 8.8 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Isaiah BondWR

3/6 for 58 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 31	6	20	2:14	Punt
2	CLE	CLE 12	14	88	7:10	Touchdown +7
3	DET	DET 35	7	46	2:16	Touchdown +7
4	CLE	CLE 23	4	2	1:31	Interception
5	DET	CLE 46	5	21	2:32	Field goal +3
6	CLE	CLE 35	6	10	2:10	Punt
7	DET	DET 15	5	34	2:55	Punt
8	CLE	CLE 8	4	9	1:36	Punt
9	DET	DET 39	4	-1	1:37	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 19	3	11	1:33	Interception
11	DET	CLE 5	4	5	1:26	Touchdown +7
12	CLE	CLE 33	5	13	2:05	Punt
13	DET	DET 16	6	39	0:47	Field goal +3
14	CLE	CLE 31	2	0	0:08	End of half
15	CLE	CLE 28	9	16	2:30	Fumble
16	DET	DET 10	4	12	2:14	Interception
17	CLE	DET 42	8	27	3:32	Field goal +3
18	DET	DET 37	5	6	1:29	Punt
19	CLE	CLE 16	8	51	3:50	Missed field goal
20	DET	DET 46	5	31	1:35	Turnover on downs
21	CLE	CLE 23	4	3	1:10	Defensive touchdown
22	CLE	CLE 35	5	3	0:52	Punt
23	DET	DET 17	7	30	3:48	Punt
24	CLE	CLE 6	5	14	1:58	Fumble
25	DET	CLE 20	7	25	2:58	Touchdown +7
26	CLE	CLE 35	5	3	1:39	Punt
27	DET	DET 21	4	11	2:25	End of game

7 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 88 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	16/34	184	0	2	3	-19.9
Dillon Gabriel	0/1	0	0	0	0	-1.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Quinshon Judkins	21	82	3.9	1	2.4
Harold Fannin Jr.	1	1	1.0	0	-0.5
Joe Flacco	3	-1	-0.3	0	-1.6
Jerome Ford	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.2
Dylan Sampson	1	-2	-2.0	0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Isaiah Bond	3	6	58	18%	3.3
Jerry Jeudy	3	9	48	26%	-9.7
Quinshon Judkins	4	4	33	12%	1.3
Harold Fannin Jr.	2	6	24	18%	-1.7
David Njoku	2	3	11	9%	-1.2
Cedric Tillman	1	2	6	6%	-1.3
Jerome Ford	1	2	4	6%	-1.9
Blake Whiteheart	0	1	0	3%	-0.9
Dylan Sampson	0	1	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Ronnie Hickman Jr.	4	5	0	0
Carson Schwesinger	4	5	0	0
Devin Bush	6	2	0	0
Grant Delpit	4	1	0	0
Maliek Collins	1	4	0	0
Jerome Baker	1	4	0	0
Myles Garrett	2	0	0	0
Denzel Ward	2	0	1	1
Tre Avery	1	1	0	0
Joe Tryon-Shoyinka	1	0	0	0

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	16/27	168	2	1	0	-1.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jahmyr Gibbs	15	91	6.1	1	0.9
David Montgomery	9	12	1.3	0	-4.6
Jacob Saylors	2	11	5.5	0	-1.1
Kyle Allen	2	-2	-1.0	0	0.0
Jameson Williams	1	-3	-3.0	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown	7	7	70	2	28%	8.8
Jameson Williams	2	8	40	0	32%	-5.3
Sam LaPorta	3	4	39	0	16%	1.0
Kalif Raymond	2	3	13	0	12%	-0.7
Jahmyr Gibbs	2	2	6	0	8%	-2.1
David Montgomery	0	1	0	0	4%	-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jack Campbell	6	4	0.0	0	0
Derrick Barnes	2	5	0.0	0	0
Terrion Arnold	4	2	0.0	0	0
Alex Anzalone	4	2	1.0	0	1
D.J. Reed	3	1	0.0	1	3
Brian Branch	2	2	0.0	0	3
Aidan Hutchinson	3	1	2.0	0	0
Grant Stuard	2	1	0.0	0	0
Roy Lopez	2	1	0.0	0	0
Kerby Joseph	1	2	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DET -10
Closing total: 44.5
CLE moneyline: +410
DET moneyline: -550

Lions closed -10 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 44 — under by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Ford Field
Roof / surface: dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Shawn Smith
Rest: CLE 7 days · DET 6 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs Dan Campbell