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2025 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · AT&T Stadium

Green Bay Packers

40

Dallas Cowboys

40

GB -7 upsetO 47.5 ✓Dome

A 40–40 tie. Biggest swing: OT 0:01, GB +42% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4DAL ↑GB ↓
OT · 0:01GB 40 — DAL 40GB ball · 4th & 14GB 92%

(:01) 17-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 0:01GB +42% win prob(:01) 17-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  2. OT · 4:42GB +38% win prob(4:42) 17-B.Aubrey 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  3. Q4 · 0:50DAL +33% win prob(:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [1-M.Parsons].
  4. Q4 · 1:49DAL +23% win prob(1:49) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 87-R.Doubs for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:06GB Touchdown

    (10:06) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 87-R.Doubs for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 7 — DAL 0
  2. Q2 · 10:39GB Touchdown

    (10:39) 10-J.Love pass short left to 87-R.Doubs for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 13 — DAL 0
  3. Q2 · 10:37DAL Score

    17-B.McManus extra point is Blocked (2-J.Thomas), Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 14-M.Bell recovered the blocked kick. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

    Score after this play: GB 13 — DAL 2
  4. Q2 · 0:44DAL Touchdown

    (:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 13 — DAL 9
  5. Q2 · 0:13DAL Touchdown

    (:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 3-G.Pickens for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 13 — DAL 16
  6. Q3 · 7:11GB Touchdown

    (7:11) 8-J.Jacobs left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 20 — DAL 16
  7. Q3 · 0:38DAL Touchdown

    (:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 87-J.Ferguson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 20 — DAL 23
  8. Q4 · 11:45GB Touchdown

    (11:45) 8-J.Jacobs right guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 27 — DAL 23
  9. Q4 · 4:52DAL Touchdown

    (4:52) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 33-J.Williams. 33-J.Williams right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-24-C.Valentine, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 27 — DAL 30
  10. Q4 · 1:49GB Touchdown

    (1:49) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 87-R.Doubs for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 34 — DAL 30
  11. Q4 · 0:50DAL Touchdown

    (:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [1-M.Parsons]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 34 — DAL 37
  12. Q4 · 0:04GB Field goal

    (:04) 17-B.McManus 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 37 — DAL 37
  13. OT · 4:42DAL Field goal

    (4:42) 17-B.Aubrey 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: GB 37 — DAL 40
  14. OT · 0:01GB Field goal

    (:01) 17-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 40 — DAL 40

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersCowboys
Offensive plays7867
Total yards490 (edge)436
Yards per play6.36.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.340.36 (edge)
Success rate55%55% (edge)
Dropback rate59%61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.530.55 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.08 (edge)0.06
Third downs10/14 (edge)4/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)9 (edge)7
First downs gained on snaps27 (edge)25
Sacks taken11
Turnovers10 (edge)

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

31/43, 337 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

21.5 expected points added · +15.0% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

31/40, 319 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

22.4 expected points added · +13.1% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Josh JacobsRB

22 att, 86 yds, 2 TD

1.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Javonte WilliamsRB

20 att, 85 yds, 1 TD

-0.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

George PickensWR

8/11 for 134 yds, 2 TD

29% of team targets · 15.1 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Josh JacobsRB

4/4 for 71 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GBGB 3110734:58Touchdown +7
2DALDAL 28562:02Punt
3GBGB 158463:46Punt
4DALDAL 116202:56Punt
5GBGB 3210735:41Touchdown +6
6DALDAL 12592:04Punt
7GBGB 40602:43Punt
8DALDAL 512955:09Touchdown +7
9GBGB 20500:28Fumble
10DALGB 152150:04Touchdown +7
11GBGB 35200:09End of half
12DALDAL 307142:27Punt
13GBGB 2410655:25Touchdown +7
14DALDAL 2014856:34Touchdown +7
15GBGB 3010653:55Touchdown +7
16DALDAL 2316626:49Touchdown +7
17GBGB 2012653:05Touchdown +7
18DALDAL 466541:02Touchdown +7
19GBGB 268390:43Field goal +3
20DALDAL 2011765:20Field goal +3
21GBGB 2014644:40Field goal +3

13 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 95 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love31/4333730121.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs22863.921.5
Emanuel Wilson8445.500.9
Jordan Love3289.302.7
Matthew Golden155.000.5
Savion Williams111.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Josh Jacobs4471011%5.3
Matthew Golden5658017%8.1
Romeo Doubs6858322%8.3
Tucker Kraft5556014%5.1
Emanuel Wilson333708%2.4
Savion Williams332208%-0.5
Dontayvion Wicks2419011%-2.0
Malik Heath11903%0.3
Luke Musgrave11603%0.2
Chris Brooks11103%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Evan Williams550.000
Quay Walker550.000
Edgerrin Cooper520.001
Nate Hobbs250.001
Xavier McKinney340.000
Rashan Gary220.000
Keisean Nixon400.002
Javon Bullard210.000
Nazir Stackhouse210.000
Micah Parsons121.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott31/4031930122.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Javonte Williams20854.31-0.1
Ryan Flournoy11212.000.9
Miles Sanders284.00-0.2
Hunter Luepke166.00-0.4
KaVontae Turpin144.00-0.1
Dak Prescott122.011.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
George Pickens811134229%15.1
Jalen Tolbert4661016%1.6
Jake Ferguson7740118%4.3
KaVontae Turpin3430011%3.6
Miles Sanders221705%1.1
Javonte Williams331508%0.3
Ryan Flournoy221405%1.3
Luke Schoonmaker22805%-0.2
Hunter Luepke01003%-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jack Sanborn650.001
Kenneth Murray, Jr.440.000
Osa Odighizuwa330.000
Reddy Steward600.000
Donovan Wilson510.000
Donovan Ezeiruaku410.000
Shemar James140.000
Trevon Diggs400.000
DaRon Bland310.000
Malik Hooker220.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -7
Closing total
47.5
GB moneyline
-345
DAL moneyline
+275

Packers closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 80 — over by 32.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
GB 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Brian Schottenheimer