2025 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · MetLife Stadium

Los Angeles Chargers

New York GiantsWinner

LAC -6 upsetU 43.5 ✓Chargers closed -6 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Giants 21–18 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q3 3:47, LAC +24% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 3:47LAC 10 — NYG 13LAC ball · 3rd & 6LAC 52%

(3:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Phillips [0-B.Burns] at NYG 41. 22-A.Phillips to LAC 3 for 56 yards (13-K.Allen). Penalty on LAC-83-T.Conklin, Offensive Pass

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 3:47LAC +24% win prob(3:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Phillips [0-B.Burns] at NYG 41. 22-A.Phillips to LAC 3 for 56 yards (13-K.Allen). Penalty on LAC-83-T.Conklin, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q1 · 0:43LAC +18% win prob(:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 9-T.Harris INTERCEPTED by 97-D.Lawrence at LAC 40. 97-D.Lawrence to LAC 3 for 37 yards (10-J.Herbert).
Q4 · 3:46LAC +16% win prob(3:46) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 30 for -16 yards (0-B.Burns).
Q4 · 2:38NYG +15% win prob(2:38) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 84-T.Johnson to NYG 41 for 10 yards (0-D.Henley).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 9:25NYG Touchdown
(9:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 0 — NYG 7
Q2 · 13:52NYG Field goal
(13:52) 99-J.McAtamney 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: LAC 0 — NYG 10
Q2 · 8:10LAC Field goal
(8:10) 11-C.Dicker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott. PENALTY on LAC-74-A.Deculus, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Score after this play: LAC 3 — NYG 10
Q2 · 1:56NYG Field goal
(1:56) 99-J.McAtamney 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: LAC 3 — NYG 13
Q2 · 0:34LAC Touchdown
(:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 10 — NYG 13
Q3 · 2:54NYG Touchdown
(2:54) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 84-T.Johnson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LAC-96-N.Jones, Unnecessary Roughness, 1 yard, enforced between downs. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: LAC 10 — NYG 21
Q3 · 1:37LAC Touchdown
(1:37) (Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton right tackle for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: LAC 18 — NYG 21

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chargers	Giants
Offensive plays	57	70
Total yards	340 (edge)	252
Yards per play	6.0 (edge)	3.6
Expected points added / play	-0.17	-0.15 (edge)
Success rate	40%	41% (edge)
Dropback rate	77%	43%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.40	-0.15 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.63 (edge)	-0.14
Third downs	4/12	7/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	15	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	6
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Chargers outgained Giants 340–252 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

23/41, 203 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-21.1 expected points added · -5.7% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Jaxson DartQB

13/20, 111 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-4.5 expected points added · -0.3% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Omarion HamptonRB

12 att, 128 yds, 1 TD

7.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Cam SkatteboRB

25 att, 79 yds, 0 TD

-4.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Quentin JohnstonWR

8/13 for 98 yds, 1 TD

34% of team targets · 2.5 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

3/4 for 44 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LAC	LAC 35	5	8	1:23	Punt
2	NYG	NYG 11	10	75	4:17	Touchdown +7
3	LAC	LAC 26	10	29	3:48	Punt
4	NYG	NYG 1	7	19	3:36	Punt
5	LAC	LAC 33	4	12	1:23	Interception
6	NYG	LAC 3	4	4	1:46	Field goal +3
7	LAC	LAC 35	11	60	5:41	Field goal +3
8	NYG	NYG 40	16	35	6:14	Field goal +3
9	LAC	LAC 25	10	70	1:25	Touchdown +7
10	NYG	NYG 29	2	7	0:27	End of half
11	NYG	NYG 25	10	30	4:10	Punt
12	LAC	LAC 5	7	38	3:59	Punt
13	NYG	NYG 4	4	1	1:42	Punt
14	LAC	LAC 41	3	4	1:36	Interception
15	NYG	LAC 3	3	5	0:44	Touchdown +8
16	LAC	LAC 34	5	68	1:22	Touchdown +8
17	NYG	NYG 39	9	21	4:11	Punt
18	LAC	LAC 9	4	8	0:53	Punt
19	NYG	LAC 48	10	39	5:47	Turnover on downs
20	LAC	LAC 4	8	21	2:44	Punt
21	NYG	NYG 26	7	16	2:34	Punt
22	LAC	LAC 16	2	22	0:18	End of game

7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 75 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Herbert	23/41	203	1	2	2	-21.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Omarion Hampton	12	128	10.7	1	7.2
Justin Herbert	1	24	24.0	0	4.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Quentin Johnston	8	13	98	1	34%	2.5
Omarion Hampton	5	5	37	0	13%	0.3
Keenan Allen	5	7	37	0	18%	0.4
Oronde Gadsden II	2	3	16	0	8%	1.0
Ladd McConkey	1	6	11	0	16%	-10.2
Tyler Conklin	1	1	3	0	3%	-0.6
Scott Matlock	1	1	1	0	3%	-0.6
Tre Harris	0	1	0	0	3%	-7.9
Tucker Fisk	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Troy Dye	3	11	0.0	0
Tuli Tuipulotu	7	3	4.0	0
Derwin James	4	4	0.5	0
Daiyan Henley	7	1	0.0	0
Elijah Molden	1	4	0.0	0
Tony Jefferson	2	3	0.0	0
Da'Shawn Hand	2	2	0.0	0
Alohi Gilman	2	2	0.0	1
Jamaree Caldwell	1	2	0.0	0
Tarheeb Still	1	2	0.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jaxson Dart	13/20	111	1	0	5	-4.5
Russell Wilson	1/1	8	0	0	1	-2.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cam Skattebo	25	79	3.2	0	-4.1
Jaxson Dart	10	54	5.4	1	0.7
Devin Singletary	7	28	4.0	0	-0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Darius Slayton	3	4	44	0	20%	3.7
Malik Nabers	2	3	20	0	15%	0.6
Theo Johnson	3	5	17	1	25%	0.7
Wan'Dale Robinson	3	5	14	0	25%	-4.9
Daniel Bellinger	1	1	13	0	5%	2.3
Cam Skattebo	2	2	11	0	10%	0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Dane Belton	2	3	0.0	0
Brian Burns	4	1	1.0	0
Darius Muasau	1	4	0.0	0
Cordale Flott	5	0	0.0	0
Bobby Okereke	3	1	0.0	0
Tyler Nubin	3	1	0.0	0
Paulson Adebo	3	1	0.0	1
Jevon Holland	1	2	0.0	0
Deonte Banks	3	0	0.0	1
Chris Manhertz	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LAC -6
Closing total: 43.5
LAC moneyline: -285
NYG moneyline: +230

Chargers closed -6 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 39 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 81°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: LAC 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Jim Harbaugh vs Brian Daboll