2025 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · Paycor Stadium

Detroit LionsWinner

Cincinnati Bengals

DET -10.5 ✓O 49.5 ✓Lions closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 13.

Detroit Lions 37–24. Biggest swing: Q2 14:49, DET +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 14:49DET 7 — CIN 0CIN ball · 1st & 10DET 89%

(14:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass deep left intended for 1-J.Chase INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Robertson at CIN 19. 21-A.Robertson to CIN 17 for 2 yards (1-J.Chase).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 14:49DET +6% win prob(14:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass deep left intended for 1-J.Chase INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Robertson at CIN 19. 21-A.Robertson to CIN 17 for 2 yards (1-J.Chase).
Q3 · 14:17DET +5% win prob(14:17) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass short right intended for 88-M.Gesicki INTERCEPTED by 34-A.Anzalone at CIN 42. 34-A.Anzalone pushed ob at CIN 28 for 14 yards (1-J.Chase).
Q1 · 4:56DET +4% win prob(4:56) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at CIN 39 for -7 yards (91-T.Hendrickson). FUMBLES (91-T.Hendrickson) [91-T.Hendrickson], touched at CIN 26, RECOVERED by CIN-55-L.Wilson at CIN 28. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q1 · 14:16CIN +3% win prob(14:16) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 0-J.Gibbs to CIN 44 for 13 yards (58-J.Ossai; 27-J.Battle) [98-T.Slaton].

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:57DET Touchdown
(10:57) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 87-S.LaPorta for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 7 — CIN 0
Q2 · 12:19DET Touchdown
(12:19) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 5-D.Montgomery. 5-D.Montgomery pass short middle to 89-B.Wright for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 14 — CIN 0
Q2 · 0:03CIN Field goal
(:03) 2-E.McPherson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
Score after this play: DET 14 — CIN 3
Q3 · 11:32DET Touchdown
(11:32) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 0-J.Gibbs for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 21 — CIN 3
Q3 · 5:48DET Touchdown
(5:48) 5-D.Montgomery left tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 28 — CIN 3
Q4 · 15:00CIN Touchdown
(15:00) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass short right to 1-J.Chase for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-A.Hutchinson]. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 28 — CIN 10
Q4 · 10:31CIN Touchdown
(10:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass deep left to 1-J.Chase for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 28 — CIN 17
Q4 · 5:19DET Touchdown
(5:19) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 18-I.TeSlaa for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 35 — CIN 17
Q4 · 3:05CIN Touchdown
(3:05) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass short left to 5-T.Higgins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 35 — CIN 24
Q4 · 1:54DET Safety
(1:54) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning sacked in End Zone for -7 yards, SAFETY (55-D.Barnes).
Score after this play: DET 37 — CIN 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Lions	Bengals
Offensive plays	59	58
Total yards	367 (edge)	322
Yards per play	6.2 (edge)	5.6
Expected points added / play	0.23 (edge)	-0.12
Success rate	53% (edge)	41%
Dropback rate	47%	78%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.46 (edge)	-0.12
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.01 (edge)	-0.13
Third downs	2/7	4/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	4	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	3

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs -0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

19/23, 258 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

11.6 expected points added · +15.9% completion over expected

Passing · CIN

Jake BrowningQB

26/40, 251 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT

-8.8 expected points added · +0.0% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

David MontgomeryRB

18 att, 65 yds, 1 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

12 att, 54 yds, 0 TD

0.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Ja'Marr ChaseWR

6/10 for 110 yds, 2 TD

25% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

8/9 for 100 yds, 0 TD

39% of team targets · 6.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 42	9	58	4:10	Touchdown +7
2	CIN	CIN 25	8	17	2:38	Punt
3	DET	DET 20	6	48	3:20	Fumble
4	CIN	CIN 28	4	6	1:35	Punt
5	DET	DET 10	8	24	3:28	Punt
6	CIN	CIN 3	1	0	0:07	Interception
7	DET	CIN 17	6	16	2:26	Touchdown +7
8	CIN	CIN 19	9	26	3:41	Punt
9	DET	DET 20	5	24	2:13	Punt
10	CIN	CIN 5	4	2	1:10	Interception
11	DET	CIN 45	4	4	1:25	Punt
12	CIN	CIN 8	10	65	3:47	Field goal +3
13	CIN	CIN 27	3	5	0:52	Interception
14	DET	CIN 28	6	38	2:43	Touchdown +7
15	CIN	CIN 28	5	7	1:32	Punt
16	DET	DET 20	8	80	4:10	Touchdown +7
17	CIN	CIN 27	12	67	5:52	Touchdown +7
18	DET	DET 27	5	11	2:22	Punt
19	CIN	CIN 30	5	71	2:07	Touchdown +7
20	DET	DET 32	10	68	5:08	Touchdown +7
21	CIN	CIN 37	10	63	2:13	Touchdown +7
22	DET	CIN 40	5	-4	1:07	Punt
23	CIN	CIN 7	1	-7	0:05	Safety
24	DET	CIN 10	4	0	1:49	End of game

9 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 80 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	19/23	258	3	0	4	11.6
David Montgomery	1/1	3	1	0	0	1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
David Montgomery	18	65	3.6	1	0.5
Jahmyr Gibbs	12	54	4.5	0	0.3
Jameson Williams	1	1	1.0	0	-0.4
Jared Goff	2	-2	-1.0	0	-4.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown	8	9	100	0	39%	6.7
Sam LaPorta	5	6	92	1	26%	7.6
Jahmyr Gibbs	2	2	33	1	9%	4.8
Isaac TeSlaa	1	1	12	1	4%	2.5
Jameson Williams	1	1	9	0	4%	0.6
Brock Wright	2	3	9	1	13%	0.9
David Montgomery	1	1	6	0	4%	1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jack Campbell	3	8	0.0	0	0
Derrick Barnes	5	3	1.0	0	0
Amik Robertson	5	0	0.0	1	1
Kerby Joseph	3	1	0.0	1	2
Aidan Hutchinson	2	2	1.0	0	0
Avonte Maddox	3	1	0.0	0	0
Brian Branch	1	3	0.0	0	0
Trevor Nowaske	2	1	0.0	0	0
Alex Anzalone	2	1	0.0	1	3
Jacob Saylors	2	0	0.0	0	0

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jake Browning	26/40	251	3	3	2	-8.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Jake Browning	4	31	7.8	3.5
Chase Brown	8	27	3.4	-2.1
Samaje Perine	4	27	6.8	0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Ja'Marr Chase	6	10	110	2	25%	4.0
Andrei Iosivas	5	7	82	0	18%	4.9
Tee Higgins	3	7	22	1	18%	-0.8
Chase Brown	7	8	21	0	20%	-4.5
Mike Gesicki	2	5	15	0	13%	-7.7
Samaje Perine	2	2	2	0	5%	-0.5
Drew Sample	1	1	-1	0	3%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Tedarrell Slaton	2	6	0.0
Logan Wilson	2	5	0.0
Demetrius Knight Jr.	3	4	0.0
Barrett Carter	2	4	0.0
B.J. Hill	3	2	0.0
Geno Stone	3	2	0.0
Daxton Hill	2	3	0.0
Joseph Ossai	1	3	1.0
Ja'Marr Chase	3	0	0.0
Cameron Sample	1	2	0.0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DET -10.5
Closing total: 49.5
DET moneyline: -575
CIN moneyline: +425

Lions closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 13.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 61 — over by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Paycor Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 84°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: DET 7 days · CIN 6 days
Coaches: Dan Campbell vs Zac Taylor