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2025 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · Acrisure Stadium

Cleveland Browns

9

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

23

PIT -5.5 ✓U 37.5 ✓

Pittsburgh Steelers 23–9. Biggest swing: Q1 14:55, PIT +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PIT ↑CLE ↓
Q1 · 14:55CLE 0 — PIT 0PIT ball · 1st & 10PIT 70%

(14:55) (Shotgun) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to CLE 36 for 36 yards (7-T.Campbell). FUMBLES (7-T.Campbell), ball out of bounds at CLE 27.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 14:55PIT +7% win prob(14:55) (Shotgun) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to CLE 36 for 36 yards (7-T.Campbell). FUMBLES (7-T.Campbell), ball out of bounds at CLE 27.
  2. Q1 · 6:50PIT +6% win prob(6:50) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 4-D.Metcalf pushed ob at PIT 39 for 25 yards (7-T.Campbell).
  3. Q3 · 4:13PIT +5% win prob(4:13) 25-A.Szmyt 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
  4. Q1 · 2:28CLE +5% win prob(2:28) 8-D.Gabriel sacked at CLE 41 for -7 yards (5-J.Ramsey).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:59PIT Field goal

    (10:59) 9-C.Boswell 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: CLE 0 — PIT 3
  2. Q2 · 11:06PIT Field goal

    (11:06) 9-C.Boswell 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: CLE 0 — PIT 6
  3. Q2 · 3:43PIT Field goal

    (3:43) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: CLE 0 — PIT 9
  4. Q2 · 0:03CLE Field goal

    (:03) 25-A.Szmyt 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 3 — PIT 9
  5. Q3 · 7:54PIT Touchdown

    (7:54) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 83-Co.Heyward for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 3 — PIT 16
  6. Q3 · 4:13CLE Field goal

    (4:13) 25-A.Szmyt 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 6 — PIT 16
  7. Q4 · 15:00PIT Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 4-D.Metcalf for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 6 — PIT 23
  8. Q4 · 9:33CLE Field goal

    (9:33) 25-A.Szmyt 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 9 — PIT 23

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBrownsSteelers
Offensive plays7555
Total yards248335 (edge)
Yards per play3.36.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.190.13 (edge)
Success rate36%42% (edge)
Dropback rate77%56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.240.30 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.00 (edge)-0.08
Third downs6/175/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)210 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1618 (edge)
Sacks taken60 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.19.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PIT

Aaron RodgersQB

21/30, 235 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.6 expected points added · +8.2% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Dillon GabrielQB

29/52, 221 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-13.9 expected points added · -10.2% completion over expected

Rushing · PIT

Jaylen WarrenRB

11 att, 52 yds, 0 TD

-0.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Quinshon JudkinsRB

12 att, 36 yds, 0 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PIT

DK MetcalfWR

4/9 for 95 yds, 1 TD

31% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Harold Fannin Jr.TE

7/10 for 81 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 1.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PITPIT 289464:05Field goal +3
2CLECLE 288183:02Punt
3PITPIT 107273:59Punt
4CLECLE 297163:48Punt
5PITPIT 2911394:05Field goal +3
6CLECLE 28502:04Punt
7PITPIT 2110545:19Field goal +3
8CLECLE 1517723:38Field goal +3
9CLECLE 22551:12Fumble
10PITPIT 2111846:02Touchdown +7
11CLECLE 3110343:38Field goal +3
12PITPIT 279734:13Touchdown +7
13CLECLE 3219495:26Field goal +3
14PITPIT 28562:24Punt
15CLECLE 307123:03Turnover on downs
16PITCLE 42460:23Missed field goal
17CLECLE 4410422:17Turnover on downs
18PITPIT 14301:22End of game

8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 84 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dillon Gabriel29/52221006-13.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Quinshon Judkins12363.00-0.8
Jerome Ford2178.501.1
Dylan Sampson3124.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Harold Fannin Jr.71081020%1.6
Jerry Jeudy51343025%-2.3
David Njoku3628012%-0.5
Gage Larvadain242208%0.3
Jerome Ford5613012%-1.8
Jamari Thrash231306%-0.4
Dylan Sampson221204%0.2
Isaiah Bond259010%-0.1
Quinshon Judkins01002%-0.5
Blake Whiteheart11002%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devin Bush630.000
Carson Schwesinger350.000
Ronnie Hickman Jr.440.000
Grant Delpit150.000
Tyson Campbell320.002
Alex Wright230.000
Denzel Ward210.001
Rayshawn Jenkins120.000
Maliek Collins200.000
Joe Tryon-Shoyinka200.000

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers21/302352009.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jaylen Warren11524.70-0.5
Kenneth Gainwell6223.70-0.3
Kaleb Johnson6152.50-1.8
Jonnu Smith11010.000.5
Aaron Rodgers111.00-0.4
Mason Rudolph300.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DK Metcalf4995131%4.5
Darnell Washington3562017%4.5
Jonnu Smith3418014%0.4
Kenneth Gainwell6614021%-4.3
Connor Heyward111213%2.2
Roman Wilson111203%1.2
Jaylen Warren221107%0.9
Pat Freiermuth111103%0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
DeShon Elliott480.000
Patrick Queen180.001
Juan Thornhill520.000
Payton Wilson430.000
Jalen Ramsey422.000
T.J. Watt050.502
Joey Porter Jr.230.002
Darius Slay310.001
Derrick Harmon131.000
James Pierre120.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PIT -5.5
Closing total
37.5
CLE moneyline
+225
PIT moneyline
-278

Steelers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 37.5; the game landed 32 — under by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Acrisure Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
64°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
CLE 7 days · PIT 14 days
Coaches
Kevin Stefanski vs Mike Tomlin

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.