2025 Week 6 · Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · MetLife Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

New York GiantsWinner

PHI -7 upsetO 40.5 ✓Eagles closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Giants 34–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q4 11:36, PHI +22% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 11:36PHI 17 — NYG 27PHI ball · 2nd & 10NYG 67%

(11:36) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 2-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 28-C.Flott at NYG 9. 28-C.Flott pushed ob at PHI 23 for 68 yards (26-S.Barkley).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 11:36PHI +22% win prob(11:36) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 2-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 28-C.Flott at NYG 9. 28-C.Flott pushed ob at PHI 23 for 68 yards (26-S.Barkley).
Q1 · 11:14NYG +10% win prob(11:14) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep right to 89-L.Humphrey to PHI 22 for 34 yards (7-K.Ringo).
Q3 · 3:12NYG +8% win prob(3:12) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 84-T.Johnson to PHI 43 for 22 yards (8-A.Jackson; 24-A.Mukuba) [58-J.Hunt]. ** Injury Update: PHI-32-R.Blankenship has returned to the game.
Q3 · 8:42NYG +8% win prob(8:42) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo right end to PHI 1 for 12 yards (30-J.Campbell; 53-Z.Baun).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 12:03PHI Field goal
(12:03) 4-J.Elliott 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 3 — NYG 0
Q1 · 10:06NYG Touchdown
(10:06) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart scrambles up the middle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 3 — NYG 7
Q1 · 5:49NYG Touchdown
(5:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 17-W.Robinson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: PHI 3 — NYG 13
Q1 · 1:54PHI Touchdown
(1:54) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 88-D.Goedert for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 10 — NYG 13
Q2 · 7:02PHI Touchdown
(7:02) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. NYG-98-D.Davidson was injured during the play. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — NYG 13
Q2 · 1:22NYG Touchdown
(1:22) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — NYG 20
Q3 · 7:59NYG Touchdown
(7:59) 44-C.Skattebo right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — NYG 27
Q4 · 9:47NYG Touchdown
(9:47) 64-A.Stinnie reported in as eligible. 44-C.Skattebo up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — NYG 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Giants
Offensive plays	56	64
Total yards	339	368 (edge)
Yards per play	6.1 (edge)	5.8
Expected points added / play	-0.10	0.25 (edge)
Success rate	45%	48% (edge)
Dropback rate	68%	52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.10	0.32 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.09	0.18 (edge)
Third downs	1/9	11/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	20	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	3	2 (edge)
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.25 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

24/33, 283 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

2.2 expected points added · +9.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Jaxson DartQB

17/25, 195 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

7.5 expected points added · +4.4% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Cam SkatteboRB

19 att, 98 yds, 3 TD

7.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Jaxson DartQB

13 att, 58 yds, 1 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

9/11 for 110 yds, 1 TD

34% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR

6/7 for 84 yds, 1 TD

27% of team targets · 5.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 40	7	36	3:01	Field goal +3
2	NYG	NYG 46	8	59	2:00	Touchdown +7
3	PHI	PHI 29	5	-6	2:20	Punt
4	NYG	NYG 34	5	66	2:02	Touchdown +6
5	PHI	PHI 25	10	75	3:48	Touchdown +7
6	NYG	NYG 23	5	6	1:59	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 26	14	74	7:54	Touchdown +7
8	NYG	NYG 33	17	67	5:37	Touchdown +7
9	PHI	PHI 7	7	45	1:19	End of half
10	NYG	NYG 29	5	8	1:17	Punt
11	PHI	PHI 7	4	4	1:35	Punt
12	NYG	NYG 44	10	36	4:12	Touchdown +7
13	PHI	PHI 30	6	8	2:31	Punt
14	NYG	NYG 10	10	53	4:11	Punt
15	PHI	PHI 12	4	8	2:16	Punt
16	NYG	NYG 34	4	2	1:07	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 34	4	26	1:26	Interception
18	NYG	PHI 23	4	8	1:44	Touchdown +7
19	PHI	PHI 5	8	69	2:51	Fumble
20	NYG	NYG 25	12	63	6:50	End of game

8 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 75 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	24/33	283	1	1	3	2.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	12	58	4.8	0	-2.1
Jalen Hurts	7	13	1.9	1	0.0
AJ Dillon	1	2	2.0	0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	9	11	110	1	34%	6.1
A.J. Brown	6	9	80	0	28%	3.5
DeVonta Smith	4	5	49	0	16%	5.9
AJ Dillon	2	2	18	0	6%	-4.0
Jahan Dotson	1	2	17	0	6%	-7.6
Saquon Barkley	2	3	9	0	9%	-1.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jihaad Campbell	4	3	0.0	0
Andrew Mukuba	3	4	0.0	1
Adoree' Jackson	4	3	0.0	2
Jordan Davis	2	4	1.0	0
Zack Baun	3	3	0.0	0
Jalyx Hunt	1	5	0.0	0
Reed Blankenship	6	0	0.0	0
Moro Ojomo	1	3	0.0	0
Byron Young	1	3	0.0	0
Kelee Ringo	3	0	0.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jaxson Dart	17/25	195	1	0	2	7.5
Russell Wilson	0/1	0	0	0	0	-1.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cam Skattebo	19	98	5.2	3	7.1
Jaxson Dart	13	58	4.5	1	2.4
Devin Singletary	3	10	3.3	0	-0.5
Tyrone Tracy Jr.	4	6	1.5	0	-1.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Wan'Dale Robinson	6	7	84	1	27%	5.9
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	4	8	55	0	31%	2.1
Theo Johnson	2	4	27	0	15%	0.2
Jalin Hyatt	3	5	17	0	19%	-1.0
Cam Skattebo	2	2	12	0	8%	0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Tyler Nubin	6	3	0.0	0	0
Brian Burns	3	4	2.0	0	0
Dane Belton	3	4	0.0	0	1
Paulson Adebo	5	2	0.0	0	0
Bobby Okereke	2	4	0.0	0	1
Dexter Lawrence	1	4	0.0	0	0
Jevon Holland	1	2	0.0	0	1
Nic Jones	1	2	0.0	0	0
Andru Phillips	2	1	0.0	0	0
Cordale Flott	3	0	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -7
Closing total: 40.5
PHI moneyline: -395
NYG moneyline: +310

Eagles closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 51 — over by 10.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 53°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: PHI 4 days · NYG 4 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Brian Daboll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.