2025 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium

Tennessee Titans

Las Vegas RaidersWinner

LV -3.5 ✓U 41.5 ✓DomeRaiders closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 10.

Las Vegas Raiders 20–10. Biggest swing: Q2 6:12, TEN +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 6:12TEN 0 — LV 3TEN ball · 3rd & 7LV 74%

(6:12) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 3 for -9 yards (45-D.White). FUMBLES (45-D.White) [45-D.White], RECOVERED by LV-9-T.Wilson at TEN 2.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 6:12TEN +9% win prob(6:12) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 3 for -9 yards (45-D.White). FUMBLES (45-D.White) [45-D.White], RECOVERED by LV-9-T.Wilson at TEN 2.
Q1 · 2:51LV +6% win prob(2:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 0-C.Ridley to 50 for 18 yards (36-K.Kelly). Penalty on LV-30-D.Holmes, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q1 · 1:25TEN +5% win prob(1:25) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 35 for -9 yards (96-J.Laulu).
Q2 · 5:18LV +5% win prob(5:18) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 4:11LV Field goal
(4:11) 8-D.Carlson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: TEN 0 — LV 3
Q2 · 5:18LV Touchdown
(5:18) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 0 — LV 10
Q3 · 7:07LV Touchdown
(7:07) 2-A.Jeanty up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 0 — LV 17
Q3 · 1:10TEN Field goal
(1:10) 14-M.Wright 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.
Score after this play: TEN 3 — LV 17
Q4 · 7:17LV Field goal
(7:17) 8-D.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: TEN 3 — LV 20
Q4 · 3:07TEN Touchdown
(3:07) 62-C.Levin and 72-O.Udoh reported in as eligible. 1-C.Ward pass short middle to 88-D.Martin-Robinson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 10 — LV 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Raiders
Offensive plays	58	54
Total yards	225	229 (edge)
Yards per play	3.9	4.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.31	-0.18 (edge)
Success rate	38%	41% (edge)
Dropback rate	74%	46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.34	0.02 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.21 (edge)	-0.35
Third downs	3/13	6/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	14 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	6	2 (edge)
Turnovers	4	2 (edge)

Raiders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.18 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Cam WardQB

26/38, 222 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-14.7 expected points added · +5.5% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Geno SmithQB

17/23, 174 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

0.6 expected points added · +2.8% completion over expected

Rushing · LV

Ashton JeantyRB

23 att, 75 yds, 1 TD

-3.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Tony PollardRB

10 att, 34 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TEN

Van JeffersonWR

4/6 for 75 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 3.5 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Tre TuckerWR

5/5 for 70 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TEN	TEN 35	5	9	2:09	Punt
2	LV	LV 20	13	53	8:44	Field goal +3
3	TEN	TEN 32	8	16	4:21	Punt
4	LV	LV 35	4	1	1:20	Defensive touchdown
5	TEN	TEN 12	6	12	2:22	Punt
6	LV	LV 45	6	-6	3:25	Punt
7	TEN	TEN 9	3	-7	1:31	Fumble
8	LV	TEN 2	4	2	0:55	Touchdown +7
9	TEN	TEN 27	5	-3	2:19	Punt
10	LV	LV 41	4	6	1:01	Punt
11	TEN	TEN 16	10	54	1:48	Interception
12	LV	LV 23	1	0	0:05	End of half
13	LV	LV 30	15	61	7:56	Touchdown +7
14	TEN	TEN 21	9	52	5:58	Field goal +3
15	LV	LV 29	6	47	2:15	Interception
16	TEN	TEN 20	4	1	1:05	Punt
17	LV	LV 30	8	60	5:32	Field goal +3
18	TEN	TEN 35	14	62	4:11	Touchdown +7
19	LV	TEN 41	5	5	0:26	Punt
20	TEN	TEN 10	7	29	1:50	Fumble
21	LV	TEN 39	2	0	0:47	End of game

6 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 62 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cam Ward	26/38	222	1	1	6	-14.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	10	34	3.4	0	-3.5
Tyjae Spears	5	31	6.2	0	0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Van Jefferson	4	6	75	0	18%	3.5
Chig Okonkwo	6	6	46	0	18%	1.9
Elic Ayomanor	3	5	27	0	15%	1.2
Tyjae Spears	4	4	19	0	12%	-0.3
Calvin Ridley	1	1	18	0	3%	2.5
Gunnar Helm	2	3	15	0	9%	0.3
Tony Pollard	2	2	13	0	6%	0.9
Chimere Dike	2	3	8	0	9%	-4.0
David Martin-Robinson	1	1	1	1	3%	0.6
Tyler Lockett	1	3	0	0	9%	-3.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Cedric Gray	3	9	0.0	0	2
L'Jarius Sneed	5	4	0.0	0	0
Xavier Woods	3	3	0.0	0	0
Jeffery Simmons	4	2	1.0	0	0
Dre'Mont Jones	1	4	1.0	0	0
Roger McCreary	3	1	0.0	0	0
Quandre Diggs	2	2	0.0	0	0
Jihad Ward	1	2	0.0	0	1
Cody Barton	0	3	0.0	1	1
Oluwafemi Oladejo	2	1	0.0	0	0

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Geno Smith	17/23	174	1	1	2	0.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ashton Jeanty	23	75	3.3	1	-3.7
Geno Smith	4	-3	-0.8	0	-3.6
Raheem Mostert	5	-4	-0.8	0	-5.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tre Tucker	5	5	70	0	22%	6.0
Michael Mayer	5	7	50	1	30%	-0.7
Jakobi Meyers	4	4	39	0	17%	3.6
Ashton Jeanty	2	4	11	0	17%	-1.3
Ian Thomas	1	1	4	0	4%	-1.3
Alex Cappa	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.3
Jack Bech	0	1	0	0	4%	-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Devin White	4	4	1.0	1	1
Jeremy Chinn	4	2	0.0	0	0
Eric Stokes	2	3	0.0	0	0
Kyu Blu Kelly	5	0	0.0	0	0
Tyree Wilson	2	2	0.0	0	0
Jamal Adams	2	2	0.0	0	0
Elandon Roberts	1	3	0.0	0	0
Adam Butler	1	2	0.0	0	0
Darnay Holmes	2	1	0.0	0	0
Maxx Crosby	3	0	2.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LV -3.5
Closing total: 41.5
TEN moneyline: +154
LV moneyline: -185

Raiders closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 10.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 30 — under by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · grass
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: TEN 7 days · LV 7 days
Coaches: Brian Callahan vs Pete Carroll