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2025 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 19, 2025 · State Farm Stadium

Green Bay PackersWinner

27

Arizona Cardinals

23

GB -7 no coverO 44.5 ✓Dome

Green Bay Packers 27–23. Biggest swing: Q4 2:32, ARI +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ARI ↑GB ↓
Q4 · 2:32GB 20 — ARI 23GB ball · 4th & 2ARI 58%

(2:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 85-T.Kraft pushed ob at ARI 14 for 15 yards (42-D.Taylor-Demerson). ** Injury Update: ARI-10-J.Sweat has returned to the game.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 2:32ARI +23% win prob(2:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 85-T.Kraft pushed ob at ARI 14 for 15 yards (42-D.Taylor-Demerson). ** Injury Update: ARI-10-J.Sweat has returned to the game.
  2. Q4 · 5:58GB +20% win prob(5:58) 7-J.Brissett up the middle to ARI 48 for no gain (58-I.McDuffie).
  3. Q4 · 0:32GB +17% win prob(:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett sacked at GB 35 for -9 yards (1-M.Parsons).
  4. Q3 · 11:51GB +16% win prob(11:51) 7-J.Brissett sacked at ARI 42 for -4 yards (52-R.Gary). FUMBLES (52-R.Gary) [52-R.Gary], RECOVERED by GB-33-E.Williams at ARI 44.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:38ARI Field goal

    (7:38) 38-C.Ryland 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: GB 0 — ARI 3
  2. Q2 · 9:10GB Field goal

    (9:10) 35-L.Havrisik 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 3 — ARI 3
  3. Q2 · 5:06ARI Field goal

    (5:06) 38-C.Ryland 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: GB 3 — ARI 6
  4. Q2 · 0:12ARI Touchdown

    (:12) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 85-T.McBride for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 3 — ARI 13
  5. Q2 · 0:01GB Field goal

    (:01) 35-L.Havrisik 61 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 6 — ARI 13
  6. Q3 · 9:53GB Touchdown

    (9:53) (Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 13 — ARI 13
  7. Q3 · 4:23ARI Touchdown

    (4:23) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 85-T.McBride for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 13 — ARI 20
  8. Q4 · 15:00GB Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 20 — ARI 20
  9. Q4 · 9:02ARI Field goal

    (9:02) 38-C.Ryland 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: GB 20 — ARI 23
  10. Q4 · 1:54GB Touchdown

    (1:54) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 27 — ARI 23

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersCardinals
Offensive plays5270
Total yards263330 (edge)
Yards per play5.1 (edge)4.7
Expected points added / play0.12 (edge)-0.05
Success rate50% (edge)41%
Dropback rate63%66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.25 (edge)0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.11 (edge)-0.24
Third downs3/107/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)45 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1518 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)6
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Cardinals outgained Packers 330–263 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Jacoby BrissettQB

25/36, 279 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.0 expected points added · +4.7% completion over expected

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

19/29, 179 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

6.1 expected points added · -3.0% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

Bam KnightRB

14 att, 57 yds, 0 TD

0.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Josh JacobsRB

13 att, 55 yds, 2 TD

2.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Trey McBrideTE

10/13 for 74 yds, 2 TD

38% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Romeo DoubsWR

6/8 for 72 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 1.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ARIARI 2716517:26Field goal +3
2GBGB 2612366:16Turnover on downs
3ARIARI 396192:52Fumble
4GBGB 209474:20Field goal +3
5ARIARI 299344:04Field goal +3
6GBGB 325-71:58Punt
7ARIARI 2910762:57Touchdown +7
8GBGB 353220:07Field goal +3
9GBGB 30571:41Punt
10ARIARI 20331:36Fumble
11GBARI 445491:56Touchdown +7
12ARIARI 3511655:30Touchdown +7
13GBGB 3311574:22Touchdown +7
14ARIGB 4512195:54Field goal +3
15GBGB 16541:03Punt
16ARIARI 285202:07Turnover on downs
17GBARI 4811484:01Touchdown +7
18ARIARI 359431:44Turnover on downs
19GBGB 27100:06End of game

10 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 76 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love19/291791016.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs13554.222.3
Jordan Love4225.502.2
Emanuel Wilson6172.80-4.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Romeo Doubs6872029%1.5
Tucker Kraft51058136%3.6
Matthew Golden4437014%5.3
John FitzPatrick11604%1.2
Dontayvion Wicks12507%-1.1
Josh Jacobs11304%-0.3
Chris Brooks01004%-0.8
Emanuel Wilson11-204%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quay Walker541.500
Xavier McKinney260.001
Evan Williams350.001
Javon Bullard350.000
Isaiah McDuffie340.000
Colby Wooden330.000
Nate Hobbs330.000
Edgerrin Cooper320.001
Kingsley Enagbare230.500
Warren Brinson130.000

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jacoby Brissett25/362792061.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Bam Knight14574.100.3
Jacoby Brissett6264.30-1.7
Michael Carter7111.60-2.8
D'Ernest Johnson100.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Trey McBride101374238%6.9
Zay Jones226706%5.0
Marvin Harrison Jr.2658018%2.5
Michael Wilson3440012%2.4
Michael Carter222506%1.6
Bam Knight347012%-0.8
Greg Dortch22506%-0.8
Elijah Higgins11303%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Budda Baker440.000
Akeem Davis-Gaither440.001
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson240.000
Jalen Thompson310.001
Max Melton400.000
Mack Wilson300.000
Will Johnson120.000
Calais Campbell120.001
Darius Robinson110.000
Elijah Higgins100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -7
Closing total
44.5
GB moneyline
-395
ARI moneyline
+310

Packers closed -7, won by 4 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 50 — over by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Alex Moore
Rest
GB 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Jonathan Gannon