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2025 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 19, 2025 · U.S. Bank Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

28

Minnesota Vikings

22

PHI -2.5 ✓O 43.5 ✓Dome

Philadelphia Eagles 28–22. Biggest swing: Q2 13:35, PHI +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MINPHI
Q2 · 13:35PHI 13MIN 3MIN ball · 3rd & 5PHI 69%

(13:35) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hunt [98-J.Carter] at MIN 42. 58-J.Hunt for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 13:35PHI +15% win prob(13:35) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hunt [98-J.Carter] at MIN 42. 58-J.Hunt for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 7:07MIN +14% win prob(7:07) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q3 · 8:17MIN +13% win prob(8:17) 74-F.Johnson reported in as eligible. 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 6-D.Smith for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 14:19PHI +10% win prob(14:19) 4-J.Elliott 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:07PHI Touchdown

    (7:07) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 7MIN 0
  2. Q1 · 2:08MIN Field goal

    (2:08) 16-W.Reichard 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: PHI 7MIN 3
  3. Q2 · 13:35PHI Touchdown

    (13:35) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hunt [98-J.Carter] at MIN 42. 58-J.Hunt for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 14MIN 3
  4. Q2 · 6:37MIN Field goal

    (6:37) 16-W.Reichard 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: PHI 14MIN 6
  5. Q3 · 9:05MIN Field goal

    (9:05) 16-W.Reichard 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: PHI 14MIN 9
  6. Q3 · 8:17PHI Touchdown

    (8:17) 74-F.Johnson reported in as eligible. 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 6-D.Smith for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 21MIN 9
  7. Q3 · 3:42MIN Touchdown

    (3:42) Direct snap to 27-J.Mason. 27-J.Mason left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 21MIN 16
  8. Q4 · 10:10MIN Field goal

    (10:10) 16-W.Reichard 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: PHI 21MIN 19
  9. Q4 · 6:40PHI Touchdown

    (6:40) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 11-A.Brown for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: PHI-26-S.Barkley has returned to the game. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 28MIN 19
  10. Q4 · 2:00MIN Field goal

    (2:00) 16-W.Reichard 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: PHI 28MIN 22

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesVikings
Offensive plays4867
Total yards366387 (edge)
Yards per play7.6 (edge)5.8
Expected points added / play0.28 (edge)-0.09
Success rate40%51% (edge)
Dropback rate54%69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.73 (edge)0.04
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.24 (edge)-0.37
Third downs3/107/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)79 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1320 (edge)
Sacks taken32 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Vikings outgained Eagles 387–366 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

19/23, 326 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

18.9 expected points added · +17.9% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Carson WentzQB

26/42, 313 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-2.3 expected points added · -0.5% completion over expected

Rushing · MIN

Jordan MasonRB

15 att, 57 yds, 1 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

18 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-7.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

9/11 for 183 yds, 1 TD

48% of team targets · 10.2 expected points added

Receiving · MIN

Jordan AddisonWR

9/12 for 128 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 7.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 2514758:01Touchdown +7
2MINMIN 2012614:55Field goal +3
3PHIPHI 34591:33Punt
4MINMIN 164232:05Defensive touchdown
5MINMIN 26411:24Interception
6PHIPHI 44432:25Punt
7MINMIN 207743:03Field goal +3
8PHIPHI 265112:14Punt
9MINMIN 327183:21Punt
10PHIPHI 164190:59End of half
11MINMIN 4811525:58Field goal +3
12PHIPHI 164840:55Touchdown +7
13MINMIN 4010464:29Touchdown +7
14PHIPHI 3010574:23Missed field goal
15MINMIN 327514:09Field goal +3
16PHIPHI 309703:31Touchdown +7
17MINMIN 2817614:38Field goal +3
18PHIPHI 438381:57Turnover on downs

9 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 84 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts19/2332630318.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley18442.40-7.9
Tank Bigsby11111.001.2
Jalen Hurts4-10-2.50-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith911183148%10.2
A.J. Brown46121226%14.5
Dallas Goedert3318013%-0.4
Will Shipley11704%-0.7
Tank Bigsby11-104%-0.9
Saquon Barkley11-204%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zack Baun640.000
Cooper DeJean710.001
Nakobe Dean330.000
Kelee Ringo410.000
Reed Blankenship220.000
Quinyon Mitchell400.000
Jihaad Campbell300.000
Patrick Johnson210.000
Andrew Mukuba120.011
Jordan Davis210.000

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Carson Wentz26/42313022-2.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jordan Mason15573.81-1.0
Carson Wentz4287.00-1.1
Zavier Scott441.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jordan Addison912128030%7.2
Justin Jefferson51079025%-3.6
T.J. Hockenson6943023%-2.4
Jalen Nailor2437010%1.1
Adam Thielen121005%1.3
Josh Oliver11903%0.8
C.J. Ham11503%0.1
Zavier Scott11203%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Josh Metellus350.500
Eric Wilson151.500
Theo Jackson230.000
Jalen Redmond220.000
Harrison Smith400.001
Byron Murphy310.000
Jonathan Allen310.500
Blake Cashman220.000
Jeff Okudah210.000
Dallas Turner210.500

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -2.5
Closing total
43.5
PHI moneyline
-148
MIN moneyline
+124

Eagles closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 50 — over by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Bill Vinovich
Rest
PHI 10 days · MIN 14 days
Coaches
Nick Sirianni vs Kevin O'Connell