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2025 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · M&T Bank Stadium

Chicago Bears

16

Baltimore RavensWinner

30

BAL -2.5 ✓O 45.5 ✓

Baltimore Ravens 30–16. Biggest swing: Q4 9:08, CHI +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3BAL ↑CHI ↓
Q4 · 9:08CHI 13 — BAL 16CHI ball · 2nd & 10BAL 75%

(9:08) 18-C.Williams pass short right intended for 15-R.Odunze INTERCEPTED by 2-N.Wiggins at CHI 18. 2-N.Wiggins ran ob at CHI 9 for 9 yards (84-C.Loveland).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 9:08CHI +12% win prob(9:08) 18-C.Williams pass short right intended for 15-R.Odunze INTERCEPTED by 2-N.Wiggins at CHI 18. 2-N.Wiggins ran ob at CHI 9 for 9 yards (84-C.Loveland).
  2. Q2 · 0:26CHI +12% win prob(:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete short left. PENALTY on CHI-18-C.Williams, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 39.
  3. Q3 · 14:55BAL +7% win prob(14:55) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass deep right to 7-R.Bateman to CHI 30 for 36 yards (31-K.Byard).
  4. Q3 · 0:57BAL +7% win prob(:57) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass deep right to 15-R.Odunze to BAL 34 for 27 yards (24-M.Starks).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 6:55CHI Field goal

    (6:55) 8-C.Santos 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 3 — BAL 0
  2. Q1 · 0:07CHI Field goal

    (:07) 8-C.Santos 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 6 — BAL 0
  3. Q2 · 8:19BAL Touchdown

    (8:19) (No Huddle) 22-D.Henry left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 6 — BAL 7
  4. Q2 · 1:11BAL Field goal

    (1:11) 33-T.Loop 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: CHI 6 — BAL 10
  5. Q3 · 10:08BAL Field goal

    (10:08) 33-T.Loop 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: CHI 6 — BAL 13
  6. Q3 · 3:38BAL Field goal

    (3:38) 33-T.Loop 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: CHI 6 — BAL 16
  7. Q4 · 12:26CHI Touchdown

    (12:26) 4-D.Swift right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 13 — BAL 16
  8. Q4 · 8:19BAL Touchdown

    (8:19) 5-T.Huntley pass short left to 88-C.Kolar for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 13 — BAL 23
  9. Q4 · 5:10CHI Field goal

    (5:10) 8-C.Santos 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 16 — BAL 23
  10. Q4 · 2:16BAL Touchdown

    (2:16) 22-D.Henry right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 16 — BAL 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsRavens
Offensive plays6259
Total yards372 (edge)355
Yards per play6.06.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.020.22 (edge)
Success rate44%49% (edge)
Dropback rate66%42%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.060.31 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.050.15 (edge)
Third downs6/13 (edge)4/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)99
First downs gained on snaps1821 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers10 (edge)

Bears outgained Ravens 372–355 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

25/38, 285 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

1.1 expected points added · +7.9% completion over expected

Passing · BAL

Tyler HuntleyQB

17/22, 186 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

5.3 expected points added · +10.7% completion over expected

Rushing · BAL

Derrick HenryRB

21 att, 71 yds, 2 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Tyler HuntleyQB

8 att, 53 yds, 0 TD

3.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

Rome OdunzeWR

7/10 for 114 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 5.8 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

DJ MooreWR

4/7 for 73 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 1.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CHICHI 2214698:10Field goal +3
2BALBAL 28582:16Punt
3CHICHI 1711564:31Field goal +3
4BALBAL 3814826:48Touchdown +7
5CHIBAL 47511:42Punt
6BALBAL 2212565:27Field goal +3
7CHICHI 287421:06Missed field goal
8BALBAL 349564:55Field goal +3
9CHICHI 28572:08Punt
10BALBAL 1010714:22Field goal +3
11CHICHI 1713836:13Touchdown +7
12BALBAL 447172:34Punt
13CHICHI 4220:48Interception
14BALCHI 9390:47Touchdown +7
15CHICHI 2211483:07Field goal +3
16BALBAL 3411562:57Touchdown +7
17CHICHI 358641:45Turnover on downs
18BALBAL 1100:24End of game

10 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 83 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Caleb Williams25/382850111.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift11454.112.3
Caleb Williams3248.000.0
Kyle Monangai7243.40-1.4
DJ Moore231.50-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rome Odunze710114029%5.8
DJ Moore4773020%1.3
Colston Loveland3538014%1.6
Olamide Zaccheaus7733020%-1.4
D'Andre Swift222606%2.2
Devin Duvernay13209%-2.0
Luther Burden III11-103%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nahshon Wright630.000
Dayo Odeyingbo440.000
Montez Sweat341.000
Gervon Dexter Sr.421.000
Kevin Byard420.000
T.J. Edwards150.000
Jaquan Brisker410.000
Noah Sewell320.000
Grady Jarrett130.000
Jaylon Jones300.000

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyler Huntley17/221861025.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Derrick Henry21713.421.3
Tyler Huntley8536.603.2
Keaton Mitchell44310.802.3
Zay Flowers188.000.8
Justice Hill122.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Zay Flowers7963041%4.2
Rashod Bateman2451018%0.5
Mark Andrews3334014%1.8
DeAndre Hopkins111405%1.8
Charlie Kolar111015%2.4
Isaiah Likely22809%-1.3
Tylan Wallace11605%-0.3
Derrick Henry01005%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Roquan Smith750.000
Kyle Hamilton440.000
Nate Wiggins610.011
Teddye Buchanan420.000
Alohi Gilman320.001
Marlon Humphrey410.000
Malaki Starks500.000
David Ojabo120.000
T.J. Tampa200.000
Keondre Jackson200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BAL -2.5
Closing total
45.5
CHI moneyline
+124
BAL moneyline
-148

Ravens closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 46 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
60°F, wind 2 mph
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
CHI 7 days · BAL 14 days
Coaches
Ben Johnson vs John Harbaugh