2025 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · Gillette Stadium

Cleveland Browns

New England PatriotsWinner

NE -7 ✓O 40.5 ✓Patriots closed -7 and covered, winning by 19.

New England Patriots 32–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 13:12, CLE +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 13:12CLE 7 — NE 3NE ball · 3rd & 9NE 57%

(13:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle intended for 8-S.Diggs INTERCEPTED by 49-C.Schwesinger at NE 41. 49-C.Schwesinger to NE 34 for 7 yards (8-S.Diggs).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 13:12CLE +11% win prob(13:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle intended for 8-S.Diggs INTERCEPTED by 49-C.Schwesinger at NE 41. 49-C.Schwesinger to NE 34 for 7 yards (8-S.Diggs).
Q1 · 5:52NE +9% win prob(5:52) 83-M.Corley left end pushed ob at NE 18 for 31 yards (25-M.Jones).
Q2 · 11:26CLE +9% win prob(11:26) 25-A.Szmyt 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Q2 · 1:16NE +8% win prob(1:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 3-D.Douglas to CLE 32 for 44 yards (9-G.Delpit).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:49NE Field goal
(8:49) 36-A.Borregales 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Score after this play: CLE 0 — NE 3
Q1 · 5:15CLE Touchdown
(5:15) 74-T.Jenkins reported in as eligible. 8-D.Gabriel pass short right to 44-H.Fannin for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — NE 3
Q2 · 7:44NE Field goal
(7:44) 36-A.Borregales 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Score after this play: CLE 7 — NE 6
Q2 · 0:02NE Field goal
(:02) 36-A.Borregales 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Score after this play: CLE 7 — NE 9
Q3 · 9:15NE Touchdown
(9:15) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 85-H.Henry for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — NE 16
Q3 · 6:45NE Touchdown
(6:45) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 8-S.Diggs for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — NE 23
Q3 · 0:59NE Touchdown
(:59) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 9-K.Boutte for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — NE 30
Q4 · 9:28CLE Touchdown
(9:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Gabriel pass short middle to 85-D.Njoku for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: CLE 13 — NE 30
Q4 · 4:11NE Safety
(4:11) 8-D.Gabriel pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on CLE-8-D.Gabriel, Intentional Grounding, 2 yards, enforced in End Zone, SAFETY.
Score after this play: CLE 13 — NE 32

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Patriots
Offensive plays	53	62
Total yards	213	425 (edge)
Yards per play	4.0	6.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.35	0.07 (edge)
Success rate	28%	48% (edge)
Dropback rate	74%	55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.51	0.29 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.10 (edge)	-0.19
Third downs	2/11	3/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	11 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	12	21 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	6
Turnovers	2	2

Patriots won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.35.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Drake MayeQB

18/24, 282 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

6.4 expected points added · +18.7% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Dillon GabrielQB

21/35, 156 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-19.8 expected points added · -5.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

TreVeyon HendersonRB

10 att, 75 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Drake MayeQB

7 att, 50 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Mack HollinsWR

7/7 for 89 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Kayshon BoutteWR

3/5 for 75 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NE	NE 28	13	54	6:15	Field goal +3
2	CLE	CLE 30	8	70	3:35	Touchdown +7
3	NE	NE 32	5	8	2:01	Punt
4	CLE	CLE 34	5	12	2:16	Punt
5	NE	NE 15	6	26	2:50	Interception
6	CLE	NE 34	4	5	1:41	Missed field goal
7	NE	NE 37	7	49	3:41	Field goal +3
8	CLE	CLE 24	5	6	1:38	Punt
9	NE	NE 34	4	9	1:48	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 20	5	20	2:06	Punt
11	NE	NE 17	7	64	2:09	Field goal +3
12	CLE	CLE 31	5	1	1:47	Punt
13	NE	NE 23	8	77	4:03	Touchdown +7
14	CLE	CLE 30	4	3	1:39	Interception
15	NE	CLE 6	4	6	0:48	Touchdown +7
16	CLE	CLE 15	6	11	3:01	Interception
17	NE	NE 19	6	76	2:49	Touchdown +7
18	CLE	CLE 31	13	57	3:39	Turnover on downs
19	NE	NE 13	4	-2	1:57	Punt
20	CLE	NE 26	4	26	0:53	Touchdown +6
21	NE	CLE 44	8	43	4:33	Fumble
22	CLE	CLE 1	2	1	0:45	Safety
23	NE	CLE 33	5	1	0:48	Turnover on downs
24	NE	CLE 34	5	15	3:18	End of game

8 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Patriots gained 77 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dillon Gabriel	21/35	156	2	2	1	-19.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Malachi Corley	1	31	31.0	2.6
Quinshon Judkins	9	19	2.1	-2.6
Dillon Gabriel	1	13	13.0	0.8
Gage Larvadain	1	3	3.0	-0.8
Harold Fannin Jr.	1	2	2.0	2.3
Dylan Sampson	3	0	0.0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Harold Fannin Jr.	6	8	62	1	24%	-0.3
David Njoku	4	5	37	1	15%	-3.1
Jamari Thrash	2	3	31	0	9%	1.3
Dylan Sampson	5	6	29	0	18%	-0.2
Jerry Jeudy	0	2	0	0	6%	-4.3
Isaiah Bond	0	4	0	0	12%	-6.0
Jerome Ford	1	2	-1	0	6%	-1.5
Quinshon Judkins	3	3	-2	0	9%	-2.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Ronnie Hickman Jr.	1	7	0.0	0	0
Myles Garrett	6	0	5.0	0	0
Devin Bush	2	3	0.0	0	1
Denzel Ward	4	1	0.0	0	0
Mohamoud Diabate	5	0	0.0	0	0
Carson Schwesinger	1	4	0.0	1	1
Tyson Campbell	2	3	0.0	0	0
Cameron Thomas	1	3	0.0	0	0
Dom Jones	3	1	0.0	0	0
Rayshawn Jenkins	2	2	0.0	0	0

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Drake Maye	18/24	282	3	1	6	6.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
TreVeyon Henderson	10	75	7.5	-0.7
Drake Maye	7	50	7.1	-1.0
Rhamondre Stevenson	14	34	2.4	-5.3
Terrell Jennings	2	15	7.5	1.1
DeMario Douglas	2	3	1.5	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mack Hollins	7	7	89	0	30%	5.2
Kayshon Boutte	3	5	75	1	22%	4.0
DeMario Douglas	1	1	44	0	4%	2.9
Austin Hooper	2	2	38	0	9%	2.7
Rhamondre Stevenson	1	2	15	0	9%	1.8
Stefon Diggs	3	5	14	1	22%	-2.8
Hunter Henry	1	1	7	1	4%	1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Robert Spillane	5	9	1	1
Marcus Jones	5	1	0	2
Jaylinn Hawkins	4	1	1	1
Jahlani Tavai	2	2	0	0
Christian Gonzalez	3	0	0	2
Carlton Davis III	1	2	0	0
Khyiris Tonga	1	1	0	0
Terrell Jennings	1	0	0	0
Stefon Diggs	1	0	0	0
Alex Austin	1	0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NE -7
Closing total: 40.5
CLE moneyline: +300
NE moneyline: -380

Patriots closed -7 and covered, winning by 19.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 45 — over by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 53°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Alex Moore
Rest: CLE 7 days · NE 7 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs Mike Vrabel