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2025 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · Acrisure Stadium

Green Bay PackersWinner

35

Pittsburgh Steelers

25

GB -3 ✓O 46.5 ✓

Green Bay Packers 35–25. Biggest swing: Q3 0:35, PIT +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PIT ↑GB ↓
Q3 · 0:35GB 14 — PIT 19GB ball · 3rd & 7PIT 54%

(:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson to PIT 7 for 33 yards (26-B.Echols). Penalty on PIT-24-J.Porter, Defensive Holding, declined.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 0:35PIT +15% win prob(:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson to PIT 7 for 33 yards (26-B.Echols). Penalty on PIT-24-J.Porter, Defensive Holding, declined.
  2. Q3 · 12:40PIT +14% win prob(12:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 85-T.Kraft to PIT 26 for 59 yards (22-J.Thornhill; 25-D.Elliott) [6-P.Queen]. PIT-25-D.Elliott was injured during the play.
  3. Q1 · 11:52PIT +10% win prob(11:52) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 10-R.Wilson ran ob at GB 28 for 45 yards.
  4. Q3 · 14:12PIT +9% win prob(14:12) 3-C.Waitman punts 51 yards to GB 20, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 87-R.Doubs to GB 23 for 3 yards (46-C.Kuntz). PENALTY on GB-20-J.Bullard, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at GB 20.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:46PIT Field goal

    (8:46) 9-C.Boswell 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: GB 0 — PIT 3
  2. Q1 · 5:12GB Touchdown

    (5:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 7 — PIT 3
  3. Q2 · 12:23PIT Field goal

    (12:23) 9-C.Boswell 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: GB 7 — PIT 6
  4. Q2 · 5:56PIT Field goal

    (5:56) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: GB 7 — PIT 9
  5. Q2 · 0:37PIT Touchdown

    (:37) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 4-D.Metcalf for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 7 — PIT 16
  6. Q3 · 8:54GB Touchdown

    (8:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 83-S.Williams for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 14 — PIT 16
  7. Q3 · 5:39PIT Field goal

    (5:39) 9-C.Boswell 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: GB 14 — PIT 19
  8. Q4 · 15:00GB Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: GB 22 — PIT 19
  9. Q4 · 11:04GB Touchdown

    (11:04) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 29 — PIT 19
  10. Q4 · 5:31GB Field goal

    (5:31) 17-B.McManus 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 32 — PIT 19
  11. Q4 · 4:02GB Field goal

    (4:02) 17-B.McManus 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 35 — PIT 19
  12. Q4 · 2:16PIT Touchdown

    (2:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 10-R.Wilson for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-K.Enagbare].

    Score after this play: GB 35 — PIT 25

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersSteelers
Offensive plays6358
Total yards457 (edge)295
Yards per play7.3 (edge)5.1
Expected points added / play0.33 (edge)-0.16
Success rate49% (edge)40%
Dropback rate60%69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.59 (edge)-0.20
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.06 (edge)-0.07
Third downs5/12 (edge)1/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps22 (edge)15
Sacks taken0 (edge)3
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.33 expected points added per play vs -0.16.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

29/37, 360 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

22.4 expected points added · +13.5% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Aaron RodgersQB

24/36, 219 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-4.1 expected points added · +5.0% completion over expected

Rushing · PIT

Jaylen WarrenRB

13 att, 62 yds, 0 TD

-2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Emanuel WilsonRB

11 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Tucker KraftTE

7/9 for 143 yds, 2 TD

26% of team targets · 11.6 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Christian WatsonWR

4/4 for 85 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GBGB 20591:34Punt
2PITPIT 207524:45Field goal +3
3GBGB 338673:36Touchdown +7
4PITPIT 35571:45Punt
5GBGB 187433:30Missed field goal
6PITPIT 476212:32Field goal +3
7GBGB 26511:12Punt
8PITPIT 369355:14Field goal +3
9GBGB 34571:46Punt
10PITPIT 1610633:32Touchdown +7
11GBGB 206380:34Missed field goal
12PITPIT 27520:59Punt
13GBGB 1010905:13Touchdown +7
14PITPIT 238393:14Field goal +3
15GBGB 2212805:39Touchdown +8
16PITPIT 235-31:57Punt
17GBPIT 455452:01Touchdown +7
18PITPIT 25562:01Punt
19GBGB 448473:28Field goal +3
20PITPIT 23330:21Fumble
21GBPIT 265191:08Field goal +3
22PITPIT 3011701:52Touchdown +6
23GBPIT 485112:07End of game

12 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 90 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love29/3736030022.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Emanuel Wilson11615.501.3
Josh Jacobs13332.51-2.3
Savion Williams111.00-0.6
Jordan Love1-1-1.00-1.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tucker Kraft79143226%11.6
Christian Watson4485011%6.5
Romeo Doubs3644017%2.2
Malik Heath332909%2.2
Emanuel Wilson3426011%0.6
Josh Jacobs331209%0.5
Savion Williams11813%2.3
Luke Musgrave11503%-0.3
John FitzPatrick11403%-0.2
Matthew Golden33409%-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Xavier McKinney610.000
Javon Bullard330.000
Isaiah McDuffie240.000
Quay Walker140.002
Keisean Nixon410.001
Edgerrin Cooper410.000
Evan Williams220.000
Rashan Gary312.000
Kingsley Enagbare210.000
Carrington Valentine300.001

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers24/36219203-4.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jaylen Warren13624.80-2.1
Kenneth Gainwell5316.200.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Roman Wilson4574116%5.2
DK Metcalf5755122%3.6
Calvin Austin III4628019%-0.7
Jonnu Smith231709%-2.0
Pat Freiermuth3413013%-1.8
Ben Skowronek111303%0.6
Jaylen Warren231109%-0.7
Kenneth Gainwell22406%-4.9
Spencer Anderson11403%-0.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Payton Wilson540.000
Cameron Heyward430.000
T.J. Watt240.000
Chuck Clark320.000
DeShon Elliott140.000
Jalen Ramsey310.000
Cole Holcomb310.000
Darius Slay220.000
Connor Heyward220.000
Brandin Echols300.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -3
Closing total
46.5
GB moneyline
-155
PIT moneyline
+130

Packers closed -3 and covered, winning by 10.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 60 — over by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Acrisure Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
46°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
GB 7 days · PIT 10 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Mike Tomlin