2025 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Miami DolphinsWinner
34
Atlanta Falcons
10
Miami Dolphins 34–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 10:31, MIA +12% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(10:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end to MIA 16 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIA-25-T.Dodson at MIA 10. 25-T.Dodson to MIA 16 for 6 yards (70-J.Matthews; 65-M.Bergeron). Penalty on ATL-64-R.Neuzil, Offensive Hold
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 10:31MIA +12% win prob(10:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end to MIA 16 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIA-25-T.Dodson at MIA 10. 25-T.Dodson to MIA 16 for 6 yards (70-J.Matthews; 65-M.Bergeron). Penalty on ATL-64-R.Neuzil, Offensive Holding, declined.
- Q1 · 0:27ATL +8% win prob(:27) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 25-T.Allgeier to MIA 34 for 4 yards (29-M.Fitzpatrick).
- Q1 · 14:05MIA +7% win prob(14:05) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at MIA 27 for -8 yards (20-D.Alford).
- Q2 · 10:40ATL +7% win prob(10:40) 16-J.Bailey punts 49 yards to ATL 8, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 14-J.Agnew. PENALTY on ATL-84-F.Franks, Unnecessary Roughness, 4 yards, enforced at ATL 8.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 2:38MIA Touchdown
(2:38) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right to 28-D.Achane for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 7 — ATL 0 - Q2 · 13:03ATL Field goal
(13:03) 39-J.Romo 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Score after this play: MIA 7 — ATL 3 - Q2 · 6:18MIA Field goal
(6:18) 47-R.Patterson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: MIA 10 — ATL 3 - Q2 · 0:18MIA Touchdown
(:18) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 6-M.Washington for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 17 — ATL 3 - Q3 · 4:26MIA Touchdown
(4:26) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 17-J.Waddle for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 24 — ATL 3 - Q4 · 13:34MIA Touchdown
(13:34) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 31-O.Gordon for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 31 — ATL 3 - Q4 · 8:41MIA Field goal
(8:41) 47-R.Patterson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: MIA 34 — ATL 3 - Q4 · 5:09ATL Touchdown
(5:09) (Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 34 — ATL 10
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Dolphins | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 65 | 48 |
| Total yards | 338 (edge) | 214 |
| Yards per play | 5.2 (edge) | 4.5 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.14 (edge) | -0.34 |
| Success rate | 48% (edge) | 40% |
| Dropback rate | 43% | 67% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.22 (edge) | -0.18 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 (edge) | -0.66 |
| Third downs | 6/13 (edge) | 2/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 10 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.34.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · MIA
20/26, 205 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
9.6 expected points added · +1.9% completion over expected
Passing · ATL
21/31, 173 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-5.9 expected points added · +2.5% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | MIA 34 | 5 | -7 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 2 | ATL | ATL 32 | 4 | 5 | 2:17 | Punt | |
| 3 | MIA | MIA 21 | 14 | 63 | 8:33 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | ATL | ATL 31 | 10 | 43 | 4:34 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | MIA | MIA 27 | 6 | 16 | 2:27 | Punt | |
| 6 | ATL | ATL 4 | 4 | 4 | 2:02 | Punt | |
| 7 | MIA | ATL 40 | 5 | 25 | 2:16 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | ATL | ATL 28 | 5 | 7 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 9 | MIA | MIA 18 | 11 | 72 | 4:29 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | ATL | ATL 36 | 2 | 0 | 0:11 | End of half | |
| 11 | ATL | ATL 29 | 5 | 7 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 12 | MIA | MIA 14 | 4 | 4 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 13 | ATL | ATL 25 | 2 | 20 | 0:57 | Fumble | |
| 14 | MIA | MIA 16 | 11 | 78 | 6:05 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | ATL | ATL 14 | 7 | 27 | 1:44 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | MIA | ATL 41 | 8 | 46 | 4:06 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | ATL | ATL 20 | 8 | 22 | 2:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | MIA | ATL 37 | 5 | 20 | 2:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 19 | ATL | ATL 35 | 13 | 65 | 3:35 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 20 | MIA | ATL 48 | 8 | 21 | 3:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | ATL | ATL 27 | 2 | 14 | 1:02 | End of game |
8 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 78 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Miami Dolphins
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa | 20/26 | 205 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9.6 |
| Zach Wilson | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 18 | 67 | 3.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Ollie Gordon II | 10 | 46 | 4.6 | 0 | 5.2 |
| Jaylen Wright | 9 | 28 | 3.1 | 0 | -1.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Waddle | 5 | 6 | 99 | 1 | 22% | 8.0 |
| Malik Washington | 4 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 19% | 2.4 |
| De'Von Achane | 5 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 26% | -0.8 |
| Ollie Gordon II | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 4% | 3.4 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 1 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 11% | -0.2 |
| Tanner Conner | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7% | -0.2 |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr. | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Jaylen Wright | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -3.4 |
| Alec Ingold | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Brooks | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ifeatu Melifonwu | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie Gay Jr. | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrel Dodson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Jones | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rasul Douglas | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Minkah Fitzpatrick | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dante Trader Jr. | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Zach Sieler | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Atlanta Falcons
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | 21/31 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 9 | 25 | 2.8 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Nate Carter | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Kirk Cousins | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 9 | 9 | 59 | 0 | 30% | -4.6 |
| KhaDarel Hodge | 3 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 27% | -2.1 |
| Casey Washington | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 3% | 1.9 |
| Bijan Robinson | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 10% | 1.1 |
| David Sills | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 10% | -1.1 |
| Darnell Mooney | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 13% | -0.9 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 7% | 3.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Elliss | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| JD Bertrand | 3 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jessie Bates | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Hughes | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Roberts | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Onyemata | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Terrell | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dee Alford | 5 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Pearce Jr. | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arnold Ebiketie | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- ATL -7
- Closing total
- 44.5
- MIA moneyline
- +280
- ATL moneyline
- -355
Falcons closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 44 — under by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- John Hussey
- Rest
- MIA 7 days · ATL 7 days
- Coaches
- Mike McDaniel vs Raheem Morris