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2025 Week 8 · Thu, Oct 23, 2025 · SoFi Stadium

Minnesota Vikings

10

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

37

LAC -3 ✓O 45.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 37–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 10:53, LAC +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LAC ↑MIN ↓
Q1 · 10:53MIN 0 — LAC 0LAC ball · 3rd & 13LAC 55%

(10:53) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 13-K.Allen to LAC 31 for 17 yards (22-H.Smith).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 10:53LAC +7% win prob(10:53) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 13-K.Allen to LAC 31 for 17 yards (22-H.Smith).
  2. Q1 · 14:03LAC +7% win prob(14:03) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson to MIN 32 for 16 yards (24-B.St-Juste) [0-D.Henley].
  3. Q1 · 5:43LAC +6% win prob(5:43) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 15-L.McConkey to MIN 17 for 15 yards (7-B.Murphy). PENALTY on MIN-15-D.Turner, Roughing the Passer, 9 yards, enforced at MIN 17.
  4. Q1 · 4:05LAC +6% win prob(4:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 86-O.Gadsden for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [58-J.Greenard]. PENALTY on LAC-86-O.Gadsden, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 4:05LAC Touchdown

    (4:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 86-O.Gadsden for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [58-J.Greenard]. PENALTY on LAC-86-O.Gadsden, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 0 — LAC 7
  2. Q2 · 13:13LAC Touchdown

    (13:13) 30-K.Vidal left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 0 — LAC 14
  3. Q2 · 9:00MIN Field goal

    (9:00) 16-W.Reichard 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: MIN 3 — LAC 14
  4. Q2 · 0:50LAC Touchdown

    (:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-L.McConkey for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 3 — LAC 21
  5. Q3 · 10:05LAC Field goal

    (10:05) 11-C.Dicker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: MIN 3 — LAC 24
  6. Q3 · 4:40MIN Touchdown

    (4:40) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 3-J.Addison for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 10 — LAC 24
  7. Q4 · 12:48LAC Touchdown

    (12:48) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 9-T.Harris for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 10 — LAC 31
  8. Q4 · 7:04LAC Field goal

    (7:04) 11-C.Dicker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: MIN 10 — LAC 34
  9. Q4 · 2:00LAC Field goal

    (2:00) 11-C.Dicker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: MIN 10 — LAC 37

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricVikingsChargers
Offensive plays4770
Total yards164419 (edge)
Yards per play3.56.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.420.20 (edge)
Success rate28%51% (edge)
Dropback rate77%49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.350.45 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.65-0.03 (edge)
Third downs3/119/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)17 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1027 (edge)
Sacks taken52 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs -0.42.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

18/25, 227 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

11.6 expected points added · +9.1% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Carson WentzQB

15/27, 144 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-12.7 expected points added · -12.4% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Kimani VidalRB

23 att, 117 yds, 1 TD

1.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

7 att, 62 yds, 0 TD

3.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Ladd McConkeyWR

6/10 for 88 yds, 1 TD

42% of team targets · -0.7 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Oronde Gadsden IITE

5/5 for 77 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1MINMIN 168253:20Punt
2LACLAC 1715747:39Touchdown +7
3MINMIN 185-91:49Punt
4LACLAC 419544:04Touchdown +7
5MINMIN 3010354:13Field goal +3
6LACLAC 258442:49Missed field goal
7MINMIN 394182:02Punt
8LACLAC 610943:19Touchdown +7
9MINMIN 416240:45Missed field goal
10LACLAC 3310424:59Field goal +3
11MINMIN 227122:58Punt
12LACLAC 15100:05Interception
13MINLAC 267162:22Touchdown +7
14LACLAC 2714826:54Touchdown +7
15MINMIN 313120:49Interception
16LACLAC 487204:52Field goal +3
17MINMIN 35520:42Turnover on downs
18LACMIN 36794:23Field goal +3
19MINMIN 357291:56End of game

9 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 94 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Carson Wentz15/27144115-12.7
Max Brosmer3/413000-0.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zavier Scott2168.00-2.2
Aaron Jones5153.00-2.3
Jordan Mason430.80-2.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Justin Jefferson71174037%-2.4
T.J. Hockenson2326010%0.5
Jordan Addison3426113%1.8
Aaron Jones2415013%-0.1
Zavier Scott22807%0.5
Ben Yurosek12507%-0.7
Jordan Mason11303%-0.7
Adam Thielen02007%-2.1
Jalen Nailor01003%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Blake Cashman650.000
Eric Wilson640.000
Harrison Smith810.000
Josh Metellus330.011
Jonathan Greenard511.000
Isaiah Rodgers500.000
Levi Drake Rodriguez320.000
Jonathan Allen131.000
Ivan Pace Jr.220.000
Tyler Batty210.000

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert18/2522731211.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kimani Vidal231175.111.1
Justin Herbert7628.903.8
Jaret Patterson11302.70-0.7
Nyheim Hines2-2-1.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Ladd McConkey61088142%-0.7
Oronde Gadsden II5577121%7.0
Keenan Allen4544021%7.4
Kimani Vidal121008%0.3
Tre Harris22818%1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Benjamin St-Juste700.000
Cam Hart400.003
Daiyan Henley130.000
Justin Eboigbe212.000
Tarheeb Still210.001
Odafe Oweh211.000
Teair Tart110.000
Ja'Sir Taylor200.000
Tuli Tuipulotu111.000
Denzel Perryman200.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -3
Closing total
45.5
MIN moneyline
+142
LAC moneyline
-170

Chargers closed -3 and covered, winning by 27.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 47 — over by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
MIN 4 days · LAC 4 days
Coaches
Kevin O'Connell vs Jim Harbaugh