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2025 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 2, 2025 · Acrisure Stadium
20
27
Pittsburgh Steelers 27–20. Biggest swing: Q2 5:21, IND +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(5:21) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle intended for 1-J.Downs INTERCEPTED by 41-P.Wilson at IND 31. 41-P.Wilson to IND 14 for 17 yards (60-T.Bortolini).
How the points landed
(8:07) 17-D.Jones up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: IND 7 — PIT 0(6:13) 30-J.Warren left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: IND 7 — PIT 7(4:27) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 88-P.Freiermuth for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: IND 7 — PIT 14(:03) 9-C.Boswell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
Score after this play: IND 7 — PIT 17(14:21) 30-J.Warren left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: IND 7 — PIT 24(10:50) 12-M.Badgley 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
Score after this play: IND 10 — PIT 24(6:55) 9-C.Boswell 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
Score after this play: IND 10 — PIT 27(4:35) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 1-J.Downs for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: IND 17 — PIT 27(:13) 12-M.Badgley 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
Score after this play: IND 20 — PIT 27Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Colts | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 73 | 60 |
| Total yards | 368 (edge) | 226 |
| Yards per play | 5.0 (edge) | 3.8 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.12 | -0.11 (edge) |
| Success rate | 51% (edge) | 40% |
| Dropback rate | 75% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.30 | -0.10 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.43 (edge) | -0.13 |
| Third downs | 6/14 (edge) | 4/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 (edge) | 0 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 23 (edge) | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 3 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 5 | 1 (edge) |
Colts outgained Steelers 368–226 but lost the turnover battle 5–1. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · IND
31/50, 342 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
-16.3 expected points added · -1.6% completion over expected
Passing · PIT
25/35, 203 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
0.0 expected points added · -2.6% completion over expected
Receiving · IND
9/12 for 115 yds, 0 TD
25% of team targets · 2.5 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | PIT 39 | 5 | 6 | 1:39 | Punt | |
| 2 | IND | IND 21 | 14 | 79 | 5:16 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | PIT | PIT 26 | 5 | -4 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 4 | PIT | IND 11 | 4 | 7 | 1:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | IND | IND 5 | 14 | 47 | 7:56 | Fumble | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 44 | 13 | 41 | 5:12 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | IND | IND 25 | 3 | 5 | 0:57 | Interception | |
| 8 | PIT | IND 14 | 3 | 14 | 0:50 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | IND | IND 30 | 5 | 7 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 10 | PIT | PIT 18 | 12 | 64 | 3:19 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | IND | IND 26 | 9 | 12 | 4:43 | Punt | |
| 12 | PIT | PIT 20 | 6 | 23 | 3:14 | Punt | |
| 13 | IND | IND 20 | 8 | 45 | 3:54 | Interception | |
| 14 | PIT | PIT 44 | 8 | 56 | 3:53 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | IND | IND 25 | 9 | 32 | 3:31 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | PIT | PIT 29 | 5 | 7 | 2:17 | Punt | |
| 17 | IND | IND 32 | 2 | 2 | 0:30 | Fumble | |
| 18 | PIT | IND 34 | 6 | 6 | 1:07 | Field goal +3 | |
| 19 | IND | IND 24 | 11 | 71 | 2:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 20 | PIT | IND 44 | 3 | 11 | 0:54 | Fumble | |
| 21 | IND | IND 24 | 3 | 20 | 0:52 | Interception | |
| 22 | PIT | PIT 39 | 4 | -5 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 23 | IND | IND 12 | 7 | 48 | 0:52 | Field goal +3 | |
| 24 | PIT | IND 48 | 2 | 0 | 0:09 | End of game |
9 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Colts gained 79 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones | 31/50 | 342 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -16.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 14 | 45 | 3.2 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Daniel Jones | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 4.5 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Rodney Thomas | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 2.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Pierce | 6 | 13 | 115 | 0 | 27% | 1.3 |
| Michael Pittman | 9 | 12 | 115 | 0 | 25% | 2.5 |
| Josh Downs | 6 | 9 | 57 | 1 | 19% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine Pratt | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick Cross | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Laiatu Latu | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaire Franklin |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 25/35 | 203 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | 16 | 31 | 1.9 | 2 |
Closing number vs result
Colts closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 51.5; the game landed 47 — under by 4.5.
Conditions and crew
| -1.5 |
| Tyler Warren | 5 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 15% | -1.2 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 4% | 0.0 |
| Tyler Goodson | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4% | -0.4 |
| Adonai Mitchell | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2% | -0.2 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2% | -0.6 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.5 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Neville Gallimore | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mekhi Blackmon | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Jones | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| DeForest Buckner | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kwity Paye | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Moore II | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| -4.2 |
| Kaleb Johnson | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Connor Heyward | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Kenny Gainwell | 3 | -1 | -0.3 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Austin III | 5 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 17% | 3.6 |
| Darnell Washington | 4 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 17% | -0.2 |
| Kenny Gainwell | 4 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 14% | 0.8 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 3 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 11% | 3.4 |
| Jonnu Smith | 3 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 14% | 0.5 |
| Kaleb Johnson | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.7 |
| DK Metcalf | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 11% | -2.2 |
| Roman Wilson | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6% | -3.9 |
| Jaylen Warren | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 6% | -2.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Wilson | 9 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Joey Porter Jr. | 6 | 2 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 |
| Brandin Echols | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Patrick Queen | 0 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Keeanu Benton | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Slay | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Ramsey | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Highsmith | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron Heyward | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kyle Dugger | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
