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2025 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 2, 2025 · Nissan Stadium

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

27

Tennessee Titans

20

LAC -10 no coverO 44.5 ✓

Los Angeles Chargers 27–20. Biggest swing: Q1 11:25, LAC +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3TEN ↑LAC ↓
Q1 · 11:25LAC 0 — TEN 6LAC ball · 2nd & 5LAC 81%

(11:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 13-K.Allen INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Barton at LAC 24. 50-C.Barton for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 11:25LAC +14% win prob(11:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 13-K.Allen INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Barton at LAC 24. 50-C.Barton for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 3:13LAC +9% win prob(3:13) 16-J.Scott punts 60 yards to TEN 33, Center-41-R.Lovato. 17-C.Dike for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q3 · 12:24TEN +8% win prob(12:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep middle to 5-E.Ayomanor to LAC 40 for 29 yards (3-D.James).
  4. Q2 · 3:09LAC +8% win prob(3:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 42 for -8 yards (0-D.Henley).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:25TEN Touchdown

    (11:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 13-K.Allen INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Barton at LAC 24. 50-C.Barton for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — TEN 7
  2. Q1 · 7:29LAC Touchdown

    (7:29) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 44-S.Matlock for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 7 — TEN 7
  3. Q1 · 3:13TEN Touchdown

    (3:13) 16-J.Scott punts 60 yards to TEN 33, Center-41-R.Lovato. 17-C.Dike for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 7 — TEN 14
  4. Q2 · 14:09LAC Field goal

    (14:09) 11-C.Dicker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 10 — TEN 14
  5. Q2 · 8:41LAC Touchdown

    (8:41) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 17 — TEN 14
  6. Q2 · 5:07TEN Field goal

    (5:07) 6-J.Slye 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.

    Score after this play: LAC 17 — TEN 17
  7. Q2 · 0:25LAC Field goal

    (:25) 11-C.Dicker 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 20 — TEN 17
  8. Q4 · 13:02LAC Touchdown

    (13:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 27 — TEN 17
  9. Q4 · 4:23TEN Field goal

    (4:23) 6-J.Slye 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.

    Score after this play: LAC 27 — TEN 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersTitans
Offensive plays6444
Total yards344 (edge)206
Yards per play5.4 (edge)4.7
Expected points added / play0.08 (edge)-0.18
Success rate58% (edge)36%
Dropback rate61%59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.14 (edge)-0.08
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.00 (edge)-0.32
Third downs7/13 (edge)1/9
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)67 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps20 (edge)10
Sacks taken64 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

19/29, 250 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

1.8 expected points added · +6.5% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Cam WardQB

12/21, 145 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-1.7 expected points added · -11.8% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

9 att, 57 yds, 1 TD

4.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Tony PollardRB

10 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

-2.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Oronde Gadsden IITE

5/5 for 68 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 5.8 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Ladd McConkeyWR

4/6 for 56 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1TENTEN 228322:57Punt
2LACLAC 15250:44Defensive touchdown
3LACLAC 249613:55Touchdown +7
4TENTEN 327242:44Punt
5LACLAC 124-51:45Defensive touchdown
6LACLAC 3510563:49Field goal +3
7TENTEN 35592:02Punt
8LACLAC 307703:27Touchdown +7
9TENTEN 406443:35Field goal +3
10LACLAC 205-91:10Punt
11TENTEN 434-11:29Punt
12LACLAC 266402:03Field goal +3
13TENTEN 313-80:20End of half
14LACLAC 28581:46Punt
15TENTEN 2811716:13Turnover on downs
16LACLAC 1161049:03Touchdown +7
17TENTEN 305-52:07Punt
18LACLAC 404-172:19Punt
19TENTEN 418404:13Field goal +3
20LACLAC 3511314:19End of game

7 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 104 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert19/292502161.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Justin Herbert9576.314.1
Jaret Patterson9444.90-1.0
Kimani Vidal12302.50-1.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Oronde Gadsden II5568018%5.8
Ladd McConkey4656021%1.9
Quentin Johnston4653121%3.7
Keenan Allen2541018%-3.7
Tre Harris221807%2.0
Tucker Fisk111204%0.8
Scott Matlock11214%1.2
Kimani Vidal01004%-0.8
KeAndre Lambert-Smith01004%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Daiyan Henley451.001
Derwin James530.000
Denzel Perryman520.001
Elijah Molden130.000
Odafe Oweh212.000
Cam Hart120.001
Troy Dye210.000
R.J. Mickens120.000
Teair Tart200.000
Khalil Mack200.000

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cam Ward12/21145004-1.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard10565.60-2.5
Tyjae Spears7263.70-2.4
Cam Ward263.00-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Elic Ayomanor3646029%2.3
Tyjae Spears3336014%1.2
Van Jefferson1421019%-0.2
Gunnar Helm111505%1.3
Tony Pollard1212010%0.3
Chig Okonkwo2210010%-1.2
Chimere Dike135014%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Cedric Gray1151.000
Amani Hooker610.000
Cody Barton240.011
Quandre Diggs320.000
Jalyn Armour-Davis220.000
Dre'Mont Jones221.500
Jihad Ward222.500
Darrell Baker Jr.220.001
James Lynch210.000
Sebastian Joseph-Day211.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -10
Closing total
44.5
LAC moneyline
-650
TEN moneyline
+470

Chargers closed -10, won by 7 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 47 — over by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
46°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
LAC 10 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches
Jim Harbaugh vs Brian Callahan