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2025 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · Lumen Field

Arizona Cardinals

22

Seattle SeahawksWinner

44

SEA -7 ✓O 44.5 ✓

Seattle Seahawks 44–22 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 9:32, ARI +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SEA ↑ARI ↓
Q1 · 9:32ARI 0 — SEA 13ARI ball · 2nd & 11SEA 84%

(9:32) 68-K.Beachum reported in as eligible. 7-J.Brissett sacked at ARI 32 for -11 yards (48-T.Knight). FUMBLES (48-T.Knight) [48-T.Knight], RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at ARI 34. 0-D.Lawrence for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 9:32ARI +9% win prob(9:32) 68-K.Beachum reported in as eligible. 7-J.Brissett sacked at ARI 32 for -11 yards (48-T.Knight). FUMBLES (48-T.Knight) [48-T.Knight], RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at ARI 34. 0-D.Lawrence for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  2. Q1 · 11:01SEA +9% win prob(11:01) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 12:58SEA +4% win prob(12:58) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to ARI 45 for 8 yards (29-D.Burke).
  4. Q2 · 14:15ARI +3% win prob(14:15) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett sacked at ARI 29 for -12 yards (48-T.Knight). FUMBLES (48-T.Knight) [48-T.Knight], RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at ARI 22. 0-D.Lawrence for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:01SEA Touchdown

    (11:01) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — SEA 7
  2. Q1 · 9:32SEA Touchdown

    (9:32) 68-K.Beachum reported in as eligible. 7-J.Brissett sacked at ARI 32 for -11 yards (48-T.Knight). FUMBLES (48-T.Knight) [48-T.Knight], RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at ARI 34. 0-D.Lawrence for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — SEA 14
  3. Q1 · 1:28SEA Touchdown

    (1:28) (Shotgun) 36-G.Holani right end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — SEA 21
  4. Q2 · 14:15SEA Touchdown

    (14:15) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett sacked at ARI 29 for -12 yards (48-T.Knight). FUMBLES (48-T.Knight) [48-T.Knight], RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at ARI 22. 0-D.Lawrence for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — SEA 28
  5. Q2 · 8:38SEA Touchdown

    (8:38) 74-J.Jones reported in as eligible. 26-Z.Charbonnet up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — SEA 35
  6. Q2 · 2:54ARI Touchdown

    (2:54) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 4-G.Dortch. 4-G.Dortch left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 7 — SEA 35
  7. Q2 · 1:42SEA Field goal

    (1:42) 5-J.Myers 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: ARI 7 — SEA 38
  8. Q3 · 8:47ARI Touchdown

    (8:47) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 85-T.McBride for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: ARI 15 — SEA 38
  9. Q4 · 11:57SEA Field goal

    (11:57) 5-J.Myers 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: ARI 15 — SEA 41
  10. Q4 · 9:53ARI Touchdown

    (9:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 18-M.Harrison for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 22 — SEA 41
  11. Q4 · 5:34SEA Field goal

    (5:34) 5-J.Myers 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: ARI 22 — SEA 44

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCardinalsSeahawks
Offensive plays7454
Total yards337378 (edge)
Yards per play4.67.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.210.07 (edge)
Success rate42%54% (edge)
Dropback rate74%24%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.190.32 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.27-0.00 (edge)
Third downs6/166/9 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)68 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps21 (edge)20
Sacks taken51 (edge)
Turnovers2 (edge)3

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.21.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Jacoby BrissettQB

22/44, 258 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-11.9 expected points added · -9.9% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Sam DarnoldQB

10/12, 178 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

4.1 expected points added · +18.9% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Zach CharbonnetRB

14 att, 83 yds, 1 TD

3.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth Walker IIIRB

14 att, 67 yds, 0 TD

-1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Trey McBrideTE

9/13 for 127 yds, 1 TD

30% of team targets · 14.7 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR

5/6 for 93 yds, 1 TD

50% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1SEASEA 359654:05Touchdown +7
2ARIARI 204141:33Defensive touchdown
3ARIARI 247183:08Punt
4SEASEA 1910664:51Touchdown +7
5ARIARI 295-72:15Defensive touchdown
6ARIARI 24571:51Punt
7SEASEA 247793:44Touchdown +7
8ARIARI 3512644:16Turnover on downs
9SEASEA 1210:50Fumble
10ARISEA 3380:37Touchdown +7
11SEASEA 377351:13Field goal +3
12ARIARI 269290:53Punt
13SEASEA 6200:44End of half
14ARIARI 2518785:12Turnover on downs
15SEASEA 2100:09Interception
16ARISEA 195210:57Touchdown +8
17SEASEA 254112:04Fumble
18ARISEA 246162:06Turnover on downs
19SEASEA 813797:38Field goal +3
20ARIARI 1610842:04Touchdown +7
21SEAARI 458304:19Field goal +3
22ARIARI 20551:28Punt
23SEASEA 306124:03End of game

9 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 84 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jacoby Brissett22/44258205-11.9
Kedon Slovis0/10000-0.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Emari Demercado46416.002.1
Jacoby Brissett4317.802.0
Bam Knight10282.80-5.1
Michael Carter341.30-1.8
Greg Dortch221.01-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Trey McBride913127130%14.7
Emari Demercado344009%1.4
Michael Wilson4734016%-0.1
Marvin Harrison Jr.31233127%-2.8
Elijah Higgins231907%0.6
Bam Knight14509%-3.7
Zay Jones01002%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Garrett Williams330.000
Cody Simon330.001
Calais Campbell320.000
Akeem Davis-Gaither140.000
Budda Baker230.000
Denzel Burke310.011
Dalvin Tomlinson310.000
Darius Robinson220.000
Jalen Thompson400.000
Kei'Trel Clark210.000

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Sam Darnold10/121781114.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zach Charbonnet14835.913.9
Kenneth Walker III14674.80-1.1
George Holani7314.410.4
Rashid Shaheed22010.001.4
AJ Barner231.500.9
Sam Darnold3-2-0.70-5.2
Drew Lock4-4-1.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba5693150%2.6
Cooper Kupp2274017%7.4
Elijah Arroyo11508%0.1
Kenneth Walker III11308%-0.2
Rashid Shaheed11308%-0.2
Nick Kallerup01008%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nick Emmanwori540.504
Tyrice Knight622.000
Ty Okada520.001
Drake Thomas430.000
Coby Bryant150.001
Patrick O'Connell130.000
DeMarcus Lawrence130.500
Devon Witherspoon310.000
Riq Woolen210.002
Uchenna Nwosu200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -7
Closing total
44.5
ARI moneyline
+270
SEA moneyline
-340

Seahawks closed -7 and covered, winning by 22.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 66 — over by 21.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lumen Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
59°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Alan Eck
Rest
ARI 6 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches
Jonathan Gannon vs Mike Macdonald

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.