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2025 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · MetLife Stadium

Cleveland Browns

20

New York JetsWinner

27

CLE -1.5 upsetO 37.5 ✓

New York Jets 27–20. Biggest swing: Q4 14:21, NYJ +26% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYJ ↑CLE ↓
Q4 · 14:21CLE 17 — NYJ 23NYJ ball · 2nd & 17NYJ 50%

(14:21) (Shotgun) 7-J.Fields pass short right to 20-B.Hall for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN [9-G.Delpit].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 14:21NYJ +26% win prob(14:21) (Shotgun) 7-J.Fields pass short right to 20-B.Hall for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN [9-G.Delpit].
  2. Q1 · 6:34NYJ +15% win prob25-A.Szmyt kicks 64 yards from CLE 35 to NYJ 1. 34-K.Nwangwu for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 10:50CLE +13% win prob(10:50) 61-M.Mitchell reported in as eligible. 7-J.Fields pass deep middle intended for 5-G.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 33-R.Hickman at NYJ 37. 33-R.Hickman to NYJ 22 for 15 yards (5-G.Wilson).
  4. Q1 · 6:01CLE +11% win prob(6:01) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 45 yards to NYJ 26, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CLE-28-T.Avery, Offensive Holding, declined.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 6:40CLE Touchdown

    (6:40) 8-D.Gabriel pass short right to 85-D.Njoku for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — NYJ 0
  2. Q1 · 6:34NYJ Touchdown

    25-A.Szmyt kicks 64 yards from CLE 35 to NYJ 1. 34-K.Nwangwu for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — NYJ 7
  3. Q1 · 6:01NYJ Touchdown

    (6:01) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 45 yards to NYJ 26, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CLE-28-T.Avery, Offensive Holding, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — NYJ 14
  4. Q2 · 10:41CLE Touchdown

    (10:41) 8-D.Gabriel pass deep left to 3-J.Jeudy for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 14 — NYJ 14
  5. Q2 · 3:54NYJ Field goal

    (3:54) 6-N.Folk 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.

    Score after this play: CLE 14 — NYJ 17
  6. Q2 · 0:01CLE Field goal

    (:01) 25-A.Szmyt 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — NYJ 17
  7. Q4 · 14:21NYJ Touchdown

    (14:21) (Shotgun) 7-J.Fields pass short right to 20-B.Hall for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN [9-G.Delpit]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — NYJ 24
  8. Q4 · 6:17NYJ Field goal

    (6:17) 6-N.Folk 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — NYJ 27
  9. Q4 · 3:00CLE Field goal

    (3:00) 25-A.Szmyt 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 20 — NYJ 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBrownsJets
Offensive plays7045
Total yards278 (edge)171
Yards per play4.0 (edge)3.8
Expected points added / play-0.08 (edge)-0.29
Success rate34% (edge)22%
Dropback rate61%36%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.06 (edge)-0.50
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.12 (edge)-0.18
Third downs6/16 (edge)3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)7
First downs gained on snaps18 (edge)9
Sacks taken63 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Dillon GabrielQB

17/32, 167 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-7.4 expected points added · -16.4% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Justin FieldsQB

6/11, 54 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-10.2 expected points added · -13.7% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

21 att, 83 yds, 0 TD

-2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Quinshon JudkinsRB

22 att, 75 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Jerry JeudyWR

6/12 for 78 yds, 1 TD

38% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Harold Fannin Jr.TE

4/7 for 44 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -0.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CLECLE 30621:28Punt
2NYJNYJ 41421:56Punt
3CLECLE 510615:02Touchdown +7
4NYJ—200:13Defensive touchdown +7
5CLECLE 29500:36Defensive touchdown
6CLECLE 208244:01Punt
7NYJNYJ 224111:32Punt
8CLECLE 2610124:22Punt
9NYJNYJ 20100:09Interception
10CLENYJ 222220:07Touchdown +7
11NYJNYJ 2812566:43Field goal +3
12CLECLE 23712:12Punt
13NYJNYJ 334-70:54Punt
14CLECLE 397340:45Field goal +3
15NYJNYJ 455-31:36Punt
16CLECLE 109435:29Punt
17NYJNYJ 26471:31Punt
18CLECLE 19452:49Punt
19NYJNYJ 429584:23Touchdown +7
20CLECLE 348263:57Turnover on downs
21NYJNYJ 406364:02Field goal +3
22CLECLE 3111483:16Field goal +3
23NYJNYJ 339112:57End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 61 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dillon Gabriel17/32167206-7.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Quinshon Judkins22753.40-3.5
Dillon Gabriel55410.804.9
Malachi Corley23216.002.7
Jerome Ford111.00-0.6
Dylan Sampson2-4-2.00-1.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jerry Jeudy61278138%4.0
Harold Fannin Jr.4744022%-0.1
David Njoku222116%2.3
Cedric Tillman2411013%-0.9
Quinshon Judkins231009%-0.4
Dylan Sampson11303%-0.3
Malachi Corley01003%-0.8
Jerome Ford01003%-0.7
Jamari Thrash01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Carson Schwesinger450.500
Devin Bush320.000
Tyson Campbell320.001
Ronnie Hickman Jr.220.011
Rayshawn Jenkins220.000
Mason Graham210.001
Grant Delpit120.001
Cameron Thomas111.000
Isaiah McGuire200.000
Maliek Collins110.500

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Fields6/1154113-10.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Breece Hall21834.00-2.4
Justin Fields7284.00-0.4
Arian Smith11313.001.2
Isaiah Davis3103.30-1.3
John Metchie III1-7-7.00-1.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Breece Hall114219%4.9
Isaiah Williams11409%-0.1
Mason Taylor124018%-1.3
John Metchie III11309%-1.2
Isaiah Davis11109%-1.4
Jeremy Ruckert11009%-0.9
Tyler Johnson01009%-0.8
Garrett Wilson030027%-6.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tony Adams710.001
Quincy Williams531.000
Malachi Moore620.000
Isaiah Oliver250.000
Jamien Sherwood420.001
Will McDonald IV414.000
Jermaine Johnson II221.000
Harrison Phillips310.000
Brandon Stephens310.000
Jarvis Brownlee Jr.220.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CLE -1.5
Closing total
37.5
CLE moneyline
-130
NYJ moneyline
+110

Browns closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 37.5; the game landed 47 — over by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
62°F, wind 12 mph
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
CLE 14 days · NYJ 14 days
Coaches
Kevin Stefanski vs Aaron Glenn