2025 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · Levi's Stadium
Los Angeles RamsWinner
42
San Francisco 49ers
26
Los Angeles Rams 42–26. Biggest swing: Q4 12:36, SF +5% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(12:36) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 89-L.Farrell for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 12:36SF +5% win prob(12:36) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 89-L.Farrell for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 9:37SF +4% win prob(9:37) 3-B.Robinson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 14:47SF +3% win prob(14:47) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 17-D.Adams to LA 48 for 12 yards (48-T.Bethune; 0-R.Green).
- Q1 · 10:53SF +3% win prob(10:53) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-D.Adams pushed ob at SF 2 for 13 yards (0-R.Green).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:18LA Touchdown
(10:18) 23-K.Williams left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 7 — SF 0 - Q1 · 5:41LA Touchdown
(5:41) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 12-P.Nacua for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 14 — SF 0 - Q2 · 13:48LA Touchdown
(13:48) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 87-D.Allen for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 21 — SF 0 - Q2 · 3:19SF Touchdown
(3:19) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 15-J.Jennings for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 21 — SF 7 - Q3 · 9:37SF Touchdown
(9:37) 3-B.Robinson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 21 — SF 14 - Q3 · 2:44LA Touchdown
(2:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 28 — SF 14 - Q4 · 12:36SF Touchdown
(12:36) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 89-L.Farrell for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LA 28 — SF 20 - Q4 · 10:07LA Touchdown
(10:07) 23-K.Williams left tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 35 — SF 20 - Q4 · 5:17LA Touchdown
(5:17) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 84-C.Parkinson for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-D.Winters]. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 42 — SF 20 - Q4 · 3:05SF Touchdown
(3:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 85-G.Kittle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LA 42 — SF 26
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Rams | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 61 |
| Total yards | 404 (edge) | 393 |
| Yards per play | 6.3 | 6.4 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.41 (edge) | 0.13 |
| Success rate | 63% (edge) | 57% |
| Dropback rate | 58% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.61 (edge) | 0.30 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.14 (edge) | -0.19 |
| Third downs | 5/9 (edge) | 3/8 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 29 (edge) | 26 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.41 expected points added per play vs 0.13.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · SF
33/39, 319 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
18.3 expected points added · +15.0% completion over expected
Passing · LA
24/36, 280 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
22.6 expected points added · +10.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | LA 36 | 12 | 64 | 4:46 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | SF | SF 35 | 5 | 8 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 3 | LA | LA 14 | 8 | 81 | 3:20 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | SF | SF 35 | 6 | 42 | 2:20 | Fumble | |
| 5 | LA | LA 41 | 10 | 59 | 4:33 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | SF | SF 35 | 10 | 54 | 5:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | LA | LA 11 | 4 | -1 | 1:56 | Punt | |
| 8 | SF | LA 36 | 8 | 36 | 3:29 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | LA | LA 30 | 9 | 29 | 2:09 | Punt | |
| 10 | SF | SF 16 | 6 | 42 | 0:55 | Punt | |
| 11 | LA | LA 8 | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | End of half | |
| 12 | SF | SF 35 | 12 | 65 | 5:27 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 13 | LA | LA 36 | 14 | 49 | 6:54 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | SF | SF 30 | 12 | 70 | 5:10 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 15 | LA | LA 36 | 7 | 64 | 2:25 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | SF | SF 35 | 5 | 6 | 1:35 | Interception | |
| 17 | LA | SF 38 | 7 | 38 | 3:19 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | SF | SF 35 | 9 | 70 | 2:11 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 19 | LA | SF 43 | 8 | 21 | 2:59 | End of game |
10 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 81 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Los Angeles Rams
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 24/36 | 280 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | 14 | 73 | 5.2 | 2 | 3.4 |
| Blake Corum | 13 | 56 | 4.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Matthew Stafford | 3 | -3 | -1.0 | 0 | -3.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 6 | 8 | 77 | 1 | 24% | 5.9 |
| Puka Nacua | 5 | 6 | 64 | 1 | 18% | 9.5 |
| Colby Parkinson | 4 | 5 | 41 | 1 | 15% | 5.2 |
| Tyler Higbee | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 9% | 3.3 |
| Terrance Ferguson | 1 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 12% | -0.0 |
| Xavier Smith | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 3% | 0.9 |
| Kyren Williams | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9% | -0.1 |
| Davis Allen | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 6% | 1.7 |
| Konata Mumpfield | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -1.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Landman | 5 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Omar Speights | 4 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quentin Lake | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kam Curl | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cobie Durant | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Byron Young | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Poona Ford | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamren Kinchens | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Davis | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Shaun Dolac | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
San Francisco 49ers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones | 33/39 | 319 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | 8 | 41 | 5.1 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Christian McCaffrey | 12 | 30 | 2.5 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Mac Jones | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kittle | 9 | 9 | 84 | 1 | 23% | 9.3 |
| Jauan Jennings | 6 | 9 | 71 | 1 | 23% | -3.6 |
| Christian McCaffrey | 8 | 10 | 66 | 0 | 26% | 1.1 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 3 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 10% | 0.4 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3% | 1.3 |
| Skyy Moore | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3% | 1.2 |
| Luke Farrell | 2 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 5% | 1.9 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5% | 0.3 |
| Brian Robinson | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ji'Ayir Brown | 3 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tatum Bethune | 1 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Mustapha | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dee Winters | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Renardo Green | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kalia Davis | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Upton Stout | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| CJ West | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deommodore Lenoir | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Okuayinonu | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LA -5.5
- Closing total
- 49.5
- LA moneyline
- -258
- SF moneyline
- +210
Rams closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 16.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 68 — over by 18.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Levi's Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 77°F, wind 3 mph
- Referee
- Land Clark
- Rest
- LA 7 days · SF 7 days
- Coaches
- Sean McVay vs Kyle Shanahan
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.