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2025 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · Soldier Field

New York Giants

20

Chicago BearsWinner

24

CHI -4.5 no coverU 45.5 ✓

Chicago Bears 24–20. Biggest swing: Q4 3:06, NYG +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CHI ↑NYG ↓
Q4 · 3:06NYG 20 — CHI 17NYG ball · 3rd & 7NYG 72%

(3:06) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at NYG 27 for -11 yards (35-C.Gardner-Johnson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 3:06NYG +18% win prob(3:06) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at NYG 27 for -11 yards (35-C.Gardner-Johnson).
  2. Q4 · 1:54CHI +16% win prob(1:54) 18-C.Williams scrambles left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 2:14CHI +16% win prob(2:14) 18-C.Williams pass deep right to 10-L.Burden to NYG 19 for 27 yards (27-T.Nubin; 38-K.Black).
  4. Q4 · 0:43NYG +13% win prob(:43) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete short middle to 17-W.Robinson (49-T.Edmunds) [49-T.Edmunds].

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:46CHI Touchdown

    (5:46) (No Huddle) 25-K.Monangai right guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — CHI 7
  2. Q2 · 13:09NYG Touchdown

    (13:09) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — CHI 7
  3. Q2 · 0:07NYG Field goal

    (:07) 37-Y.Koo 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — CHI 7
  4. Q3 · 12:23NYG Touchdown

    (12:23) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — CHI 7
  5. Q3 · 0:38CHI Field goal

    (:38) 8-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — CHI 10
  6. Q4 · 10:21NYG Field goal

    (10:21) 37-Y.Koo 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan. Penalty on CHI, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined.

    Score after this play: NYG 20 — CHI 10
  7. Q4 · 3:59CHI Touchdown

    (3:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short middle to 15-R.Odunze for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 20 — CHI 17
  8. Q4 · 1:54CHI Touchdown

    (1:54) 18-C.Williams scrambles left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 20 — CHI 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsBears
Offensive plays7062
Total yards431 (edge)393
Yards per play6.26.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.000.03 (edge)
Success rate39%47% (edge)
Dropback rate61%66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.010.03 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.03 (edge)0.01
Third downs6/15 (edge)3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)12 (edge)9
First downs gained on snaps21 (edge)19
Sacks taken40 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Giants outgained Bears 431–393 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Jaxson DartQB

19/29, 242 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

3.4 expected points added · +8.7% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

20/36, 220 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-6.1 expected points added · -8.2% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

13 att, 80 yds, 0 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB

14 att, 71 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

4/4 for 89 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

Rome OdunzeWR

6/10 for 86 yds, 1 TD

28% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CHICHI 407302:47Turnover on downs
2NYGNYG 316162:51Turnover on downs
3CHINYG 479423:42Touchdown +7
4NYGNYG 355-42:06Punt
5CHICHI 286212:54Punt
6NYGNYG 207802:34Touchdown +7
7CHICHI 356291:43Punt
8NYGNYG 1111655:57Turnover on downs
9CHICHI 199534:18Turnover on downs
10NYGNYG 338531:05Field goal +3
11CHICHI 40200:03End of half
12NYGNYG 448562:43Touchdown +7
13CHICHI 258163:05Punt
14NYGNYG 2010594:07Fumble
15CHICHI 168564:31Field goal +3
16NYGNYG 2011845:15Field goal +3
17CHICHI 36571:38Turnover on downs
18NYGCHI 434192:28Punt
19CHICHI 910862:17Touchdown +7
20NYGNYG 355-81:03Punt
21CHICHI 475531:06Touchdown +7
22NYGNYG 357111:09Turnover on downs
23CHINYG 46100:38End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 86 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jaxson Dart19/292420023.4
Russell Wilson3/745002-2.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy Jr.14715.10-1.0
Jaxson Dart66611.024.1
Devin Singletary8202.50-2.3
Russell Wilson2126.00-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darius Slayton4489013%7.0
Theo Johnson7875025%3.3
Wan'Dale Robinson61162034%0.5
Devin Singletary335309%2.9
Daniel Bellinger12806%-2.9
Tyrone Tracy Jr.12006%-0.8
Gunner Olszewski02006%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tyler Nubin250.000
Jevon Holland420.001
Bobby Okereke150.000
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles420.000
Brian Burns410.001
Deonte Banks320.000
Andru Phillips310.000
Roy Robertson-Harris130.000
Dane Belton210.000
Kayvon Thibodeaux120.000

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Caleb Williams20/36220100-6.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift13806.201.2
Caleb Williams8637.914.5
Kyle Monangai7284.01-0.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rome Odunze61086128%5.0
Colston Loveland4455011%3.8
Luther Burden III335108%3.3
D'Andre Swift5818022%-8.1
Cole Kmet12506%-0.4
Olamide Zaccheaus145011%-3.8
Kyle Monangai01003%-0.5
DJ Moore040011%-5.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
C.J. Gardner-Johnson722.000
Tremaine Edmunds430.002
Tyrique Stevenson420.001
Kevin Byard510.000
Noah Sewell230.000
Jaquan Brisker140.001
Andrew Billings400.000
Austin Booker310.000
Gervon Dexter Sr.130.500
Nahshon Wright300.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CHI -4.5
Closing total
45.5
NYG moneyline
+180
CHI moneyline
-218

Bears closed -4.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 44 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Soldier Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
33°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
NYG 7 days · CHI 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Ben Johnson