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2025 Week 11 · Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

33

Las Vegas Raiders

16

DAL -3.5 ✓O 48.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 33–16 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 9:20, DAL +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LV ↑DAL ↓
Q1 · 9:20DAL 0 — LV 0DAL ball · 1st & 10DAL 59%

(9:20) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 9 for -7 yards (98-M.Crosby). FUMBLES (98-M.Crosby) [98-M.Crosby], RECOVERED by LV-97-T.Hemingway at DAL 15.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 9:20DAL +11% win prob(9:20) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 9 for -7 yards (98-M.Crosby). FUMBLES (98-M.Crosby) [98-M.Crosby], RECOVERED by LV-97-T.Hemingway at DAL 15.
  2. Q2 · 2:35DAL +9% win prob(2:35) 7-G.Smith pass deep right intended for 89-B.Bowers INTERCEPTED by 14-M.Bell (59-K.Murray) at DAL 7. 14-M.Bell pushed ob at DAL 31 for 24 yards (1-T.Tucker).
  3. Q2 · 14:55LV +8% win prob(14:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 6:45LV +7% win prob(6:45) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 40-H.Luepke to LV 39 for 15 yards (48-J.Davis; 36-K.Kelly).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:59LV Field goal

    (7:59) 8-D.Carlson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: DAL 0 — LV 3
  2. Q1 · 5:41DAL Field goal

    (5:41) 17-B.Aubrey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — LV 3
  3. Q1 · 2:06LV Field goal

    (2:06) 8-D.Carlson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — LV 6
  4. Q2 · 14:55DAL Touchdown

    (14:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — LV 6
  5. Q2 · 5:19DAL Touchdown

    (5:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — LV 6
  6. Q2 · 1:20DAL Touchdown

    (1:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DAL-3-G.Pickens, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 24 — LV 6
  7. Q2 · 0:04LV Field goal

    (:04) 8-D.Carlson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: DAL 24 — LV 9
  8. Q3 · 6:22DAL Touchdown

    (6:22) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 31 — LV 9
  9. Q4 · 13:27LV Touchdown

    (13:27) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 1-T.Tucker for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 31 — LV 16
  10. Q4 · 11:43DAL Safety

    (11:43) 2-A.Jeanty up the middle tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (41-D.Ezeiruaku, 26-D.Bland).

    Score after this play: DAL 33 — LV 16

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysRaiders
Offensive plays6157
Total yards385 (edge)237
Yards per play6.3 (edge)4.2
Expected points added / play0.13 (edge)-0.22
Success rate56% (edge)42%
Dropback rate56%86%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.25 (edge)-0.23
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.02 (edge)-0.13
Third downs4/9 (edge)3/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)16
Sacks taken1 (edge)4
Turnovers11

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.22.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

25/33, 268 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

8.6 expected points added · +8.7% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Geno SmithQB

27/42, 238 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-14.2 expected points added · -3.2% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Javonte WilliamsRB

22 att, 93 yds, 0 TD

-2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LV

Ashton JeantyRB

6 att, 7 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

George PickensWR

9/11 for 144 yds, 1 TD

34% of team targets · 12.2 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Brock BowersTE

7/12 for 72 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · -5.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 26561:39Punt
2LVLV 315222:54Punt
3DALDAL 43111:16Fumble
4LVDAL 154-21:16Field goal +3
5DALDAL 318372:19Field goal +3
6LVLV 278463:34Field goal +3
7DALDAL 328682:11Touchdown +7
8LVLV 319143:02Punt
9DALDAL 2113796:33Touchdown +7
10LVLV 228472:52Interception
11DALDAL 315521:14Touchdown +7
12LVLV 3010401:10Field goal +3
13LVLV 32541:34Punt
14DALDAL 2013807:07Touchdown +7
15LVLV 3816667:57Touchdown +7
16DALDAL 43531:39Punt
17LVLV 21-10:04Safety
18DALLV 3813497:43Turnover on downs
19LVLV 5411:25Turnover on downs
20DALLV 6401:55Turnover on downs
21LVLV 7100:36End of game

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 80 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott25/332684018.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Javonte Williams22934.20-2.5
Malik Davis4205.001.2
Hunter Luepke155.000.8
Dak Prescott4-4-1.00-6.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
George Pickens911144134%12.2
CeeDee Lamb5766122%2.4
Hunter Luepke333609%2.5
Jake Ferguson4516116%2.2
Brevyn Spann-Ford11403%0.1
Ryan Flournoy11213%1.0
Javonte Williams11003%-0.8
Jalen Tolbert01003%-1.7
KaVontae Turpin12006%-2.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
DaRon Bland640.002
Marist Liufau250.000
Shemar James340.000
Donovan Ezeiruaku220.000
Quinnen Williams131.500
Reddy Steward210.000
Donovan Wilson210.000
Caelen Carson200.002
James Houston111.000
Malik Hooker200.001

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith27/42238114-14.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Geno Smith4143.502.9
Ashton Jeanty671.20-0.7
Raheem Mostert263.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brock Bowers71272031%-5.5
Tre Tucker4847121%0.1
Tyler Lockett333308%3.9
Ashton Jeanty6827021%-2.5
Ian Thomas112003%1.3
Jack Bech111903%1.2
Michael Mayer3413010%-1.3
Raheem Mostert22705%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devin White370.000
Isaiah Pola-Mao450.000
Jeremy Chinn240.000
Maxx Crosby321.000
Thomas Booker140.001
Kyu Blu Kelly320.000
Adam Butler140.000
Jamal Adams130.000
Elandon Roberts220.000
Lonnie Johnson030.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -3.5
Closing total
48.5
DAL moneyline
-198
LV moneyline
+164

Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 49 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
DAL 14 days · LV 11 days
Coaches
Brian Schottenheimer vs Pete Carroll