2025 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field

Detroit Lions

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

PHI -2.5 ✓U 46.5 ✓15 mph windEagles closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Philadelphia Eagles 16–9. Biggest swing: Q1 11:18, DET +17% win probability on one snap. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 11:18DET 0 — PHI 0DET ball · 1st & 10DET 50%

(11:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle intended for 89-B.Wright INTERCEPTED by 33-C.DeJean (90-J.Davis) at DET 32. 33-C.DeJean to DET 11 for 21 yards (14-A.St. Brown; 60-G.Glasgow).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 11:18DET +17% win prob(11:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle intended for 89-B.Wright INTERCEPTED by 33-C.DeJean (90-J.Davis) at DET 32. 33-C.DeJean to DET 11 for 21 yards (14-A.St. Brown; 60-G.Glasgow).
Q2 · 5:12PHI +13% win prob(5:12) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 1-J.Williams for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-1-J.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q3 · 9:54PHI +9% win prob(9:54) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 0-J.Gibbs to PHI 24 for 42 yards (30-J.Campbell; 53-Z.Baun).
Q2 · 2:21PHI +9% win prob(2:21) (Shotgun) 37-T.Bigsby right end to DET 23 for 17 yards (12-T.Harper).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 9:47PHI Field goal
(9:47) 4-J.Elliott 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: DET 0 — PHI 3
Q2 · 6:06PHI Field goal
(6:06) 4-J.Elliott 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: DET 0 — PHI 6
Q2 · 5:12DET Touchdown
(5:12) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 1-J.Williams for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-1-J.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Score after this play: DET 6 — PHI 6
Q2 · 0:17PHI Touchdown
(:17) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 6 — PHI 13
Q4 · 10:20PHI Field goal
(10:20) 4-J.Elliott 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: DET 6 — PHI 16
Q4 · 2:03DET Field goal
(2:03) 39-J.Bates 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 9 — PHI 16

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Lions	Eagles
Offensive plays	59	68
Total yards	318 (edge)	273
Yards per play	5.4 (edge)	4.0
Expected points added / play	-0.40	-0.23 (edge)
Success rate	34%	37% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.37	-0.32 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.47	-0.15 (edge)
Third downs	3/13	4/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	13	13
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Lions outgained Eagles 318–273 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

14/37, 255 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-14.3 expected points added · -30.1% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

14/28, 135 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-8.4 expected points added · -9.8% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

26 att, 83 yds, 0 TD

-6.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

12 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

-6.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

5/8 for 107 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Jameson WilliamsWR

4/7 for 88 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 35	8	18	2:44	Punt
2	DET	DET 14	3	12	1:08	Interception
3	PHI	DET 11	4	2	1:25	Field goal +3
4	DET	DET 21	5	-6	1:24	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 20	5	22	2:43	Punt
6	DET	DET 12	8	48	4:17	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 15	4	2	1:32	Punt
8	DET	DET 39	4	9	1:45	Turnover on downs
9	PHI	DET 48	4	0	0:24	Punt
10	DET	DET 35	4	8	1:22	Turnover on downs
11	PHI	DET 43	9	27	5:14	Field goal +3
12	DET	DET 26	5	74	0:57	Touchdown +6
13	PHI	PHI 36	12	67	4:49	Touchdown +7
14	DET	DET 35	2	0	0:16	End of half
15	DET	DET 35	7	33	2:45	Turnover on downs
16	PHI	PHI 32	4	9	1:45	Punt
17	DET	DET 28	9	69	5:20	Turnover on downs
18	PHI	PHI 4	6	29	2:13	Punt
19	DET	DET 15	7	40	1:42	Turnover on downs
20	PHI	PHI 45	11	45	6:00	Field goal +3
21	DET	DET 28	6	11	1:09	Punt
22	PHI	PHI 15	5	26	2:52	Punt
23	DET	DET 15	7	27	1:08	Punt
24	PHI	PHI 20	4	9	2:09	Turnover on downs
25	DET	PHI 29	4	-7	0:59	Field goal +3
26	PHI	PHI 35	7	17	1:58	End of game

6 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 74 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	14/37	255	1	1	2	-14.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Jahmyr Gibbs	12	39	3.3	-6.3
David Montgomery	6	27	4.5	-1.0
Jameson Williams	1	9	9.0	0.7
Grant Stuard	1	0	0.0	-2.8
Jared Goff	1	-1	-1.0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jahmyr Gibbs	5	8	107	0	22%	6.9
Jameson Williams	4	7	88	1	19%	1.9
Amon-Ra St. Brown	2	12	42	0	33%	-10.7
David Montgomery	1	1	10	0	3%	0.6
Brock Wright	2	7	8	0	19%	-9.1
Isaac TeSlaa	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jack Campbell	7	8	0.0	0
Rock Ya-Sin	5	1	0.0	1
Alex Anzalone	4	2	0.0	0
Brian Branch	4	2	0.0	0
Thomas Harper	4	1	0.0	0
Tyleik Williams	2	2	0.0	0
Aidan Hutchinson	1	2	0.5	0
Amik Robertson	3	0	0.0	2
DJ Reader	1	2	0.0	0
Derrick Barnes	2	1	0.0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	14/28	135	0	0	1	-8.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	26	83	3.2	0	-6.0
Tank Bigsby	4	34	8.5	0	1.9
Jalen Hurts	10	31	3.1	1	-4.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	7	11	49	41%	-2.5
Jahan Dotson	2	2	43	7%	4.4
Dallas Goedert	2	5	24	19%	-0.4
DeVonta Smith	1	5	8	19%	-4.0
Saquon Barkley	1	2	7	7%	-1.3
Kylen Granson	1	2	4	7%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Zack Baun	2	5	0.0	0	0
Jalen Carter	3	2	0.0	0	2
Jaelan Phillips	2	3	1.0	0	0
Adoree' Jackson	3	1	0.0	0	1
Reed Blankenship	3	1	0.0	0	0
Andrew Mukuba	4	0	0.0	0	0
Moro Ojomo	1	2	0.0	0	0
Cooper DeJean	3	0	0.0	1	2
Nakobe Dean	1	2	1.0	0	0
Kelee Ringo	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -2.5
Closing total: 46.5
DET moneyline: +130
PHI moneyline: -155

Eagles closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 25 — under by 21.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 45°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: DET 7 days · PHI 6 days
Coaches: Dan Campbell vs Nick Sirianni

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.