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2025 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · MetLife Stadium

Green Bay PackersWinner

27

New York Giants

20

GB -7.5 no coverO 41.5 ✓17 mph wind

Green Bay Packers 27–20. Biggest swing: Q4 5:56, NYG +19% win probability on one snap. Played in 17 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑GB ↓
Q4 · 5:56GB 19 — NYG 20GB ball · 3rd & 10GB 56%

(5:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 83-S.Williams to NYG 20 for 33 yards (28-C.Flott) [0-B.Burns].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 5:56NYG +19% win prob(5:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 83-S.Williams to NYG 20 for 33 yards (28-C.Flott) [0-B.Burns].
  2. Q4 · 0:40GB +15% win prob(:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 19-J.Winston pass deep left intended for 13-J.Hyatt INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Williams at GB -5. Touchback.
  3. Q4 · 4:07NYG +14% win prob(4:07) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 9-C.Watson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q3 · 2:02GB +9% win prob(2:02) (Shotgun) 19-J.Winston sacked at GB 17 for -7 yards (sack split by 1-M.Parsons and 58-I.McDuffie).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:40NYG Touchdown

    (10:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 0 — NYG 7
  2. Q2 · 14:00GB Touchdown

    (14:00) 70-D.Kinnard reported in as eligible. 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 9-C.Watson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [0-B.Burns].

    Score after this play: GB 6 — NYG 7
  3. Q2 · 7:43GB Touchdown

    (7:43) 23-E.Wilson right guard for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 13 — NYG 7
  4. Q2 · 1:15NYG Touchdown

    (1:15) 94-E.Chatman reported in as eligible. 26-D.Singletary left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 13 — NYG 13
  5. Q3 · 11:44GB Touchdown

    (11:44) 10-J.Love pass short right to 81-J.Whyle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 19 — NYG 13
  6. Q4 · 7:25NYG Touchdown

    (7:25) 19-J.Winston up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 19 — NYG 20
  7. Q4 · 4:07GB Touchdown

    (4:07) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 9-C.Watson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: GB 27 — NYG 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersGiants
Offensive plays5268
Total yards298337 (edge)
Yards per play5.7 (edge)5.0
Expected points added / play0.35 (edge)0.15
Success rate48% (edge)47%
Dropback rate58%46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.40 (edge)0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.28 (edge)0.11
Third downs7/11 (edge)7/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps1920 (edge)
Sacks taken22
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Giants outgained Packers 337–298 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Jameis WinstonQB

19/29, 201 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

6.4 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

13/24, 174 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.4 expected points added · -1.8% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB

19 att, 88 yds, 0 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Devin SingletaryRB

16 att, 44 yds, 2 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Isaiah HodginsWR

5/6 for 57 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 7.6 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Romeo DoubsWR

4/8 for 53 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 3511654:25Touchdown +7
2GBGB 258212:25Punt
3NYGNYG 15481:55Punt
4GBGB 3813727:21Touchdown +6
5NYGNYG 23571:27Punt
6GBGB 1611844:48Touchdown +7
7NYGNYG 3213596:28Touchdown +6
8GBGB 28640:51Fumble
9NYGNYG 28100:20End of half
10GBGB 348313:20Touchdown +6
11NYGNYG 2717569:46Turnover on downs
12GBGB 17481:33Punt
13NYGNYG 1516917:59Touchdown +7
14GBGB 359773:20Touchdown +8
15NYGNYG 3511513:26Interception
16GBGB 20410:26Punt
17NYGNYG 35100:10Fumble

7 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 91 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love13/2417420210.4
Malik Willis2/261002.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Emanuel Wilson11403.610.2
Josh Jacobs7405.702.6
Bo Melton11717.000.9
Malik Willis11616.002.2
Chris Brooks188.000.3
Jordan Love273.50-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Romeo Doubs4853032%1.9
Christian Watson4546220%5.9
Savion Williams113304%3.3
Matthew Golden1324012%0.3
Emanuel Wilson11904%1.9
Dontayvion Wicks12908%0.1
John FitzPatrick11504%0.8
Josh Whyle11214%1.2
Josh Jacobs01004%-0.1
Luke Musgrave12-108%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Isaiah McDuffie560.500
Evan Williams540.011
Keisean Nixon800.002
Quay Walker160.000
Micah Parsons151.500
Edgerrin Cooper230.000
Xavier McKinney230.001
Colby Wooden220.000
Javon Bullard220.001
Rashan Gary210.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jameis Winston19/292010126.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy Jr.19884.600.7
Devin Singletary16442.821.2
Jameis Winston3103.312.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Isaiah Hodgins5657021%7.6
Tyrone Tracy Jr.4451014%5.3
Wan'Dale Robinson4936031%-1.9
Theo Johnson3436014%3.8
Jalin Hyatt2418014%-3.0
Devin Singletary11303%-1.1
Daniel Bellinger01003%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dane Belton520.000
Bobby Okereke510.000
Jevon Holland320.000
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles320.001
Brian Burns322.001
Cordale Flott300.001
Dalen Cambre110.000
Roy Robertson-Harris200.000
Zaire Barnes110.000
Dexter Lawrence100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -7.5
Closing total
41.5
GB moneyline
-440
NYG moneyline
+340

Packers closed -7.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 47 — over by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
55°F, wind 17 mph
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
GB 6 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Brian Daboll

Wind at 17 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.